6 Jan 2001: Average model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk u spd  off  def                          rnk u spd  off  def
  1 0  10 13.0  5.4 Florida State            120 *   0  8.7  0.6 Southern Utah           
  2 1   9 12.8  4.2 Miami - Florida          121 *   0  8.7  0.6 Akron                   
  3 1   7 12.2  3.8 Oklahoma                 122 *   0  8.6  0.6 Wofford                 
  4 1   7 12.5  3.4 Nebraska                 123 *   0  8.2  0.9 Maine                   
  5 1   7 12.9  2.9 Florida                  124 *   0  9.0  0.2 Idaho                   
  6 2   7 12.2  3.2 Kansas State             125 *   0  9.1  0.1 Southern                
  7 2   7 13.0  2.6 Virginia Tech            126 *   0  6.8  1.9 Grambling               
  8 5   6 11.2  3.6 Michigan                 127 *   0  9.7 -0.3 Northern Iowa           
  9 3   6 11.9  2.9 Texas                    128 *   0  9.9 -0.5 Brown                   
 10 3   6 10.0  4.2 Texas Christian          129 *   0  9.0  0.2 Portland State          
 11 *   5 11.5  2.8 Tennessee                130 *   0  9.2  0.0 Jackson State           
 12 4   5 11.7  2.7 Georgia Tech             131 *   0 10.1 -0.7 Villanova               
 13 5   5 10.9  3.1 Washington               132 *   0  8.7  0.3 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 14 8   5 10.6  3.3 Ohio State               133 *   0  8.3  0.6 William & Mary          
 15 4   5 11.5  2.6 Clemson                  134 *   0  8.9  0.1 Louisiana Tech          
 16 6   5  9.8  3.7 Texas A&M                135 *   0  7.6  1.0 East Tennessee State    
 17 6   5 10.1  3.4 Toledo                   136 *   0  6.9  1.4 Davidson                
 18 *   5 11.3  2.5 Purdue                   137 *   0  9.4 -0.4 Albany                  
 19 8   5 10.7  2.8 Oregon State             138 *   0  6.9  1.4 Holy Cross              
 20 6   5 10.0  3.2 Georgia                  139 *   0  8.9 -0.1 New Mexico State        
 21 6   4 12.4  1.4 Northwestern             140 *   0  7.9  0.6 Miami - Ohio            
 22 6   4 12.2  1.6 Boise State              141 *   0  7.7  0.7 Wagner                  
 23 *   4  9.7  3.4 Wisconsin                142 *   0  7.3  1.0 Eastern Washington      
 24 *   4 11.0  2.4 Mississippi State        143 *   0  6.8  1.4 Tulsa                   
 25 7   4  9.3  3.6 Auburn                   144 *   0  8.2  0.2 New Hampshire           
 26 8   4  9.2  3.6 Southern Mississippi     145 *   0  6.8  1.3 Colgate                 
 27 7   4 10.3  2.8 Notre Dame               146 *   0  7.2  1.0 Wake Forest             
 28 *   4 10.3  2.8 Oregon                   147 *   0  8.7 -0.2 Hampton                 
 29 8   4 11.2  1.9 Louisville               148 *   0  6.4  1.5 Sacred Heart            
 30 *   4  8.9  3.5 Western Michigan         149 *   0  8.3 -0.1 Sacramento State        
 31 *   4  9.7  2.9 Louisiana State          150 *   0  9.0 -0.6 Murray State            
 32 *   4 10.1  2.5 East Carolina            151 *   0  7.6  0.4 Houston                 
 33 *   4 10.1  2.5 Georgia Southern         152 *   0  8.3 -0.1 Hawaii                  
 34 8   3  8.3  3.8 South Carolina           153 *   0  5.8  1.8 Southwest Texas State   
 35 *   3 10.6  1.9 Delaware                 154 *   0  5.5  2.0 Eastern Kentucky        
 36 *   3  9.2  3.0 Arizona                  155 *   0  9.1 -0.8 Morehead State          
 37 *   3  9.7  2.6 Colorado                 156 *   0  7.9  0.2 Sam Houston State       
 38 *   3 10.4  2.0 Minnesota                157 *   0  7.9  0.1 Utah State              
 39 *   3 10.1  2.1 Colorado State           158 *   0  7.0  0.8 Northwestern State      
 40 *   3  9.4  2.7 Alabama                  159 *   0  6.3  1.3 Alabama A&M             
 41 9   3  8.9  3.0 Texas Tech               160 *  -1  5.9  1.4 Southern Methodist      
 42 *   3  9.4  2.5 Penn State               161 *  -1  7.0  0.5 Princeton               
 43 *   3 10.3  1.9 Mississippi              162 9  -1  5.8  1.4 Southwest Missouri State
 44 *   3 10.0  2.0 Arizona State            163 9  -1  7.8 -0.2 Cornell                 
 45 *   3  9.3  2.5 Lehigh                   164 9  -1  7.5  0.0 Northeastern            
 46 *   3  9.0  2.7 Pittsburgh               165 *  -1  7.2  0.2 Army                    
 47 *   3  8.5  3.1 Michigan State           166 *  -1  7.7 -0.2 Georgetown              
 48 *   3 10.0  1.9 Boston College           167 *  -1  6.3  0.9 Bowling Green           
 49 *   3  8.8  2.7 Syracuse                 168 *  -1  7.5  0.0 Rutgers                 
 50 *   3  9.6  2.1 Appalachian State        169 9  -1  7.1  0.3 Stephen F. Austin       
 51 *   3  9.8  1.9 Illinois                 170 *  -1  8.3 -0.7 Arkansas State          
 52 *   3  9.5  2.2 Stanford                 171 9  -1  5.7  1.3 Rhode Island            
 53 *   3 10.9  1.0 California - Los Angeles 172 *  -1  6.7  0.5 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
 54 *   3  9.5  2.0 Robert Morris            173 *  -1  5.9  1.1 Weber State             
 55 *   3  8.8  2.5 Fresno State             174 9  -1  8.4 -0.8 Western Carolina        
 56 *   3  9.3  2.2 Furman                   175 *  -1  7.2  0.1 Lafayette               
 57 *   2  9.1  2.3 Arkansas                 176 *  -1  6.5  0.5 Northern Arizona        
 58 *   2 11.0  0.8 Northern Illinois        177 *  -1  6.1  0.8 Texas Southern          
 59 *   2  9.0  2.3 Central Florida          178 *  -1  7.2  0.0 Duke                    
 60 *   2  9.8  1.6 Iowa State               179 *  -1  7.2  0.0 Eastern Michigan        
 61 *   2 10.1  1.4 North Carolina State     180 8  -1  6.6  0.4 Ball State              
 62 *   2 10.1  1.4 West Virginia            181 *  -1  6.0  0.8 Valparaiso              
 63 *   2  9.6  1.8 Southern California      182 *  -1  7.1 -0.1 Columbia                
 64 *   2 10.5  1.0 Air Force                183 *  -1  7.9 -0.7 Saint Mary's            
 65 *   2  8.6  2.4 Troy State               184 *  -1  6.9  0.0 Navy                    
 66 *   2  9.0  2.1 North Carolina           185 8  -1  8.1 -0.9 Alabama State           
 67 *   2  8.8  2.2 California               186 *  -1  6.2  0.5 Marist                  
 68 *   2  8.4  2.5 Virginia                 187 8  -1  6.5  0.3 Southern Illinois       
 69 *   2  8.0  2.7 Utah                     188 *  -2  7.2 -0.4 Nevada - Reno           
 70 *   2 10.3  0.9 Texas - El Paso          189 *  -2  6.6  0.1 Fordham                 
 71 *   2  7.8  2.7 Alabama - Birmingham     190 *  -2  5.0  1.3 Monmouth                
 72 *   2  7.6  2.9 Western Kentucky         191 8  -2  7.7 -0.9 Tennessee State         
 73 *   2  9.2  1.7 Cincinnati               192 8  -2  8.9 -1.9 Delaware State          
 74 *   2  9.7  1.3 Florida A&M              193 *  -2  6.3  0.1 Baylor                  
 75 *   2  8.5  2.1 Maryland                 194 *  -2  6.9 -0.4 Connecticut             
 76 *   2  9.7  1.2 Duquesne                 195 8  -2  4.4  1.4 North Texas             
 77 *   2  9.1  1.7 Montana                  196 *  -2  6.4 -0.2 Wyoming                 
 78 *   2  9.2  1.6 Marshall                 197 8  -2  7.3 -0.9 Gardner - Webb          
 79 *   2  9.2  1.5 Ohio                     198 *  -2  7.8 -1.4 California State - North
 80 *   2 10.4  0.6 Hofstra                  199 7  -2  5.9  0.0 Jacksonville State      
 81 *   1  8.9  1.5 Brigham Young            200 *  -2  7.5 -1.3 Idaho State             
 82 *   1  8.7  1.6 Massachusetts            201 7  -2  6.6 -0.6 California Poly         
 83 *   1  8.9  1.4 Fairfield                202 *  -3  4.3  1.0 Saint John's            
 84 *   1  8.0  2.0 Yale                     203 *  -3  5.5 -0.1 Central Michigan        
 85 *   1  7.7  2.2 Iowa                     204 6  -3  6.7 -1.1 Dartmouth               
 86 *   1  9.2  1.1 Washington State         205 *  -3  8.6 -2.5 Butler                  
 87 *   1  8.9  1.3 Western Illinois         206 *  -3  5.8 -0.4 San Diego               
 88 *   1  9.3  1.0 Kansas                   207 6  -3  4.6  0.5 The Citadel             
 89 *   1 10.5  0.1 Indiana                  208 6  -3  4.9  0.2 Liberty                 
 90 *   1  7.7  2.1 Vanderbilt               209 *  -3  5.3 -0.4 Southwestern Louisiana  
 91 *   1  8.2  1.8 Dayton                   210 6  -4  6.2 -1.2 Virginia Military       
 92 *   1  7.3  2.4 Bucknell                 211 *  -3  6.6 -1.5 Iona                    
 93 *   1  9.9  0.5 San Jose State           212 5  -4  4.5  0.1 Nicholls State          
 94 *   1  9.3  0.9 Eastern Illinois         213 *  -4  5.8 -1.0 Jacksonville            
 95 *   1  7.2  2.4 New Mexico               214 6  -4  4.8 -0.2 Charleston Southern     
 96 *   1  9.3  0.9 Pennsylvania             215 *  -4  4.3  0.1 La Salle                
 97 *   1  6.5  2.8 Memphis State            216 5  -4  5.3 -0.7 Howard                  
 98 *   1  8.9  1.1 Missouri                 217 5  -4  6.5 -1.6 Southeast Missouri State
 99 *   1  6.9  2.5 Richmond                 218 6  -4  4.8 -0.3 Kent State              
100 *   1  7.5  2.0 James Madison            219 5  -4  5.1 -0.7 Indiana State           
101 *   1  9.5  0.5 Kentucky                 220 5  -4  4.7 -0.4 Samford                 
102 *   1  8.2  1.4 Bethune - Cookman        221 5  -4  4.5 -0.3 Alcorn State            
103 *   1  9.5  0.4 Middle Tennessee State   222 4  -4  7.4 -2.8 South Carolina State    
104 *   1  7.1  2.2 North Carolina A&T       223 6  -4  4.3 -0.5 Northeast Louisiana     
105 *   1  7.1  2.2 San Diego State          224 9  -5  4.8 -0.9 Stony Brook             
106 *   1  7.2  2.1 Elon                     225 3  -4  3.1  0.5 Norfolk State           
107 *   0  7.5  1.9 South Florida            226 *  -5  5.3 -1.5 Central Connecticut     
108 *   0  7.8  1.6 McNeese State            227 *  -4  2.9  0.5 Saint Peter's           
109 *   0  8.1  1.4 Illinois State           228 9  -5  5.0 -1.2 Siena                   
110 *   0  8.7  0.9 Harvard                  229 3  -5  5.1 -1.4 Morgan State            
111 *   0  8.2  1.3 Oklahoma State           230 3  -5  5.3 -1.6 Buffalo                 
112 *   0  7.3  1.9 Youngstown State         231 3  -5  3.9 -0.6 Montana State           
113 *   0  7.9  1.5 Nevada - Las Vegas       232 2  -5  5.3 -2.0 Mississippi Valley State
114 *   0  9.4  0.4 Drake                    233 2  -7  4.4 -2.5 Austin Peay             
115 *   0 10.0 -0.2 Tulane                   234 2  -8  3.2 -2.3 Prairie View            
116 *   0  7.4  1.7 Temple                   235 1  -8  2.4 -2.2 Canisius                
117 *   0  7.8  1.3 Towson                   236 1  -9  1.9 -2.3 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
118 *   0  7.2  1.8 Tennessee Tech           237 1 -10  2.4 -3.0 Tennessee - Martin      
119 *   0  8.1  1.0 Rice                    

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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