rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 17 Marshall 206 Southeast Missouri State 6 Miami - Florida 160 McNeese State 55 Air Force 211 California State - North 26 Clemson 218 The Citadel 9 Florida 215 Ball State 57 Louisiana State 208 Western Carolina 16 Minnesota 186 Northeast Louisiana 1 Nebraska 180 San Jose State 39 Oregon State 178 Eastern Washington 20 Purdue 188 Central Michigan 53 Syracuse 227 Buffalo 80 Duquesne 235 Virginia Military 2 Virginia Tech 154 Akron 80-90% chance of victory: 34 Massachusetts 101 William & Mary 7 Wisconsin 92 Western Michigan 19 Arkansas 121 Southwest Missouri State 23 Florida A&M 195 Delaware State 143 Towson 221 Fordham 24 Georgia Tech 107 Central Florida 29 Illinois 182 Middle Tennessee State 66 Iowa State 140 Ohio 4 Kansas State 41 Louisiana Tech 10 Michigan 149 Bowling Green 31 Mississippi 127 Tulane 93 North Carolina 175 Tulsa 85 North Carolina State 165 Arkansas State 15 Oklahoma 126 Texas - El Paso 22 Oregon 164 Nevada - Reno 8 Penn State 83 Toledo 89 Pittsburgh 207 Kent State 146 Sacramento State 228 Saint Mary's 116 South Florida 217 Jacksonville State 104 Tennessee State 210 Alabama State 35 Washington 112 Idaho 47 Jackson State 187 Howard 172 Texas Southern 236 Prairie View 70-80% chance of victory: 42 Auburn 75 Wyoming 155 Indiana State 199 Eastern Illinois 117 Northwestern 152 Northern Illinois 91 Troy State 167 Alabama A&M 14 Alabama 81 California - Los Angeles 32 East Carolina 129 Duke 151 Grambling 196 Alcorn State 166 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 225 Mississippi Valley State 109 Navy 162 Temple 68 Boise State 124 New Mexico 28 Ohio State 51 Fresno State 97 Delaware 189 Rhode Island 106 Villanova 197 Rutgers 220 La Salle 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 153 Sam Houston State 209 Southwestern Louisiana 5 Tennessee 18 Southern Mississippi 79 Texas Tech 135 Utah State 30 Utah 60 Arizona 37 Stanford 103 Washington State 88 Cincinnati 133 Army 60-70% chance of victory: 131 Murray State 138 Southern Illinois 204 North Texas 200 Baylor 48 San Diego State 65 Arizona State 157 Tennessee - Chattanooga 159 Samford 63 Wake Forest 69 Appalachian State 163 Eastern Michigan 176 Connecticut 45 Furman 62 Elon 12 Georgia Southern 38 Georgia 49 Louisville 59 Kentucky 27 Mississippi State 64 Memphis State 110 Southern 161 Northwestern State 122 South Carolina 132 New Mexico State 86 Kansas 119 Southern Methodist 76 Vanderbilt 96 Miami - Ohio 54 West Virginia 74 Boston College 21 Colorado 44 Colorado State 50-60% chance of victory: 113 New Hampshire 130 Hampton 170 East Tennessee State 193 Liberty 70 Western Illinois 98 Missouri 58 Montana 50 Hofstra 36 Notre Dame 25 Texas A&M 99 Rice 82 Houston 114 Bucknell 134 Richmond 43 Brigham Young 67 Virginia
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