rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 68 Hofstra over 213 Liberty 123 Texas Southern over 220 Alcorn State 22 Texas A&M over 148 Baylor 119 Bethune - Cookman over 229 South Carolina State 73 Bucknell over 202 Lafayette 77 Montana over 215 California State - North 9 Clemson over 101 Maryland 31 East Carolina over 168 Army 97 Elon over 205 Samford 87 Fairfield over 232 Saint Peter's 1 Florida State over 188 Duke 76 Furman over 210 The Citadel 11 Georgia over 115 Vanderbilt 23 Georgia Tech over 145 Wake Forest 143 Hampton over 225 Norfolk State 118 Jackson State over 233 Mississippi Valley State 89 McNeese State over 193 Jacksonville State 154 Monmouth over 237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 104 Northwestern State over 231 Nicholls State 56 Portland State over 206 Idaho State 160 Alabama State over 234 Prairie View 147 Sacramento State over 230 Montana State 48 Drake over 196 Southern Illinois 131 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 226 Virginia Military 132 Tennessee State over 236 Tennessee - Martin 62 Troy State over 180 Southwest Texas State 6 Southern Mississippi over 138 Tulane 29 Notre Dame over 176 Navy 80-90% chance of victory: 5 Virginia Tech over 49 West Virginia 13 Arizona over 71 Washington State 39 Boise State over 152 Eastern Washington 146 Wagner over 224 Central Connecticut 65 Central Florida over 126 Eastern Kentucky 37 Colorado State over 110 Nevada - Las Vegas 112 Holy Cross over 207 Dartmouth 75 Duquesne over 156 Georgetown 57 Florida A&M over 134 North Carolina A&T 91 Yale over 182 Fordham 69 Fresno State over 139 Nevada - Reno 92 Idaho over 155 Arkansas State 80 Ohio over 198 Kent State 33 Louisville over 106 Cincinnati 94 Massachusetts over 179 Maine 107 Miami - Ohio over 178 Bowling Green 150 Middle Tennessee State over 223 Northeast Louisiana 79 James Madison over 172 Rhode Island 153 Sacred Heart over 222 Stony Brook 7 Nebraska over 70 Texas Tech 127 Towson over 195 Howard 85 Western Kentucky over 151 Tennessee Tech 19 Delaware over 149 William & Mary 120 Wofford over 194 Western Carolina 83 Air Force over 187 Wyoming 114 Youngstown State over 170 Northern Iowa 70-80% chance of victory: 46 Northern Illinois over 109 Akron 18 Washington over 54 Arizona State 199 Charleston Southern over 228 Austin Peay 28 Boston College over 52 Syracuse 43 Georgia Southern over 61 Appalachian State 58 Lehigh over 117 Harvard 44 Illinois over 103 Iowa 183 Illinois State over 218 Indiana State 3 Kansas State over 4 Oklahoma 55 Louisiana State over 82 Kentucky 189 Louisiana Tech over 201 Southwestern Louisiana 158 Marist over 197 Iona 24 Michigan over 67 Indiana 136 New Mexico State over 159 Tulsa 163 Northern Arizona over 208 Weber State 8 Ohio State over 26 Minnesota 36 Oregon State over 63 Stanford 108 Brown over 177 Princeton 66 San Jose State over 95 Texas - El Paso 60-70% chance of victory: 32 Mississippi over 45 Alabama 81 Alabama - Birmingham over 74 Memphis State 171 Ball State over 186 Eastern Michigan 51 California - Los Angeles over 100 California 121 Eastern Illinois over 141 Murray State 10 Florida over 17 Auburn 165 Hawaii over 166 Southern Methodist 111 New Hampshire over 116 Richmond 35 North Carolina State over 78 North Carolina 133 Northeastern over 128 Villanova 59 Iowa State over 102 Oklahoma State 122 Pennsylvania over 142 Columbia 124 Rutgers over 113 Temple 96 San Diego State over 98 Utah 14 Oregon over 42 Southern California 86 Western Illinois over 137 Southwest Missouri State 164 Stephen F. Austin over 175 Sam Houston State 41 Toledo over 53 Marshall 50-60% chance of victory: 173 Albany over 191 Saint John's 27 Colorado over 21 Texas 135 Cornell over 125 Colgate 60 Robert Morris over 88 Dayton 140 Grambling over 129 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 47 Michigan State over 34 Wisconsin 90 Missouri over 84 Kansas 184 North Texas over 174 Utah State 30 Northwestern over 20 Purdue 157 Davidson over 190 San Diego 40 South Carolina over 38 Arkansas 200 Valparaiso over 192 Butler
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