rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 43 Colorado State over 202 Wyoming 55 Appalachian State over 208 Liberty 73 Duquesne over 235 Canisius 67 Fresno State over 186 Southern Methodist 149 Hampton over 228 Morgan State 105 Fairfield over 212 La Salle 84 McNeese State over 215 Nicholls State 62 Middle Tennessee State over 221 Southwestern Louisiana 7 Mississippi State over 88 Arkansas 6 Kansas State over 110 Missouri 107 Montana over 232 Montana State 130 Wofford over 230 Northeast Louisiana 2 Oklahoma over 36 Texas Tech 29 Notre Dame over 166 Rutgers 226 Saint Peter's over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 115 South Florida over 233 Austin Peay 60 Robert Morris over 222 Stony Brook 18 Toledo over 171 Bowling Green 23 Western Michigan over 168 Eastern Michigan 80-90% chance of victory: 134 Jackson State over 220 Alcorn State 24 Boise State over 118 Idaho 123 Brown over 185 Columbia 86 Bucknell over 160 Colgate 136 Miami - Ohio over 229 Buffalo 40 Delaware over 139 Villanova 146 East Tennessee State over 203 Charleston Southern 1 Florida State over 5 Florida 44 Furman over 140 Tennessee - Chattanooga 25 Louisville over 155 Houston 68 Troy State over 192 Jacksonville State 135 Akron over 216 Kent State 46 Lehigh over 167 Lafayette 66 Northern Illinois over 200 Central Michigan 141 Princeton over 207 Dartmouth 22 Purdue over 94 Indiana 4 Miami - Florida over 38 Syracuse 14 Tennessee over 96 Kentucky 10 Texas Christian over 49 Texas - El Paso 61 San Jose State over 174 Tulsa 142 Utah State over 199 Idaho State 76 Western Kentucky over 179 Southern Illinois 132 North Carolina A&T over 217 South Carolina State 70-80% chance of victory: 69 Air Force over 92 San Diego State 151 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 175 Alabama A&M 71 Alabama - Birmingham over 159 Army 48 California - Los Angeles over 64 Southern California 114 Youngstown State over 196 California Poly 21 Southern Mississippi over 63 Cincinnati 17 Clemson over 33 South Carolina 80 North Carolina over 162 Duke 89 Eastern Illinois over 133 Eastern Kentucky 19 Georgia over 58 Mississippi 100 Hofstra over 119 Albany 129 Holy Cross over 188 Fordham 106 Illinois State over 150 Southwest Missouri State 72 Iowa State over 87 Kansas 191 Monmouth over 213 Jacksonville 13 Georgia Tech over 70 Maryland 42 Minnesota over 90 Iowa 120 Rice over 189 Nevada - Reno 182 Texas Southern over 224 Norfolk State 127 New Mexico State over 198 North Texas 99 James Madison over 180 Northeastern 109 Southern Utah over 184 Northern Arizona 137 Oklahoma State over 194 Baylor 16 Oregon State over 27 Oregon 147 Portland State over 183 California State - North 93 Massachusetts over 177 Rhode Island 124 Sacred Heart over 148 Wagner 201 Tennessee State over 211 Southeast Missouri State 31 East Carolina over 75 West Virginia 101 Tennessee Tech over 170 Western Carolina 60-70% chance of victory: 178 Ball State over 195 Connecticut 82 New Mexico over 116 Brigham Young 52 California over 50 Stanford 104 Pennsylvania over 154 Cornell 153 Davidson over 165 Georgetown 113 Drake over 117 Towson 91 Harvard over 95 Yale 111 Louisiana Tech over 157 Hawaii 197 Delaware State over 214 Howard 78 Western Illinois over 125 Northern Iowa 30 Northwestern over 35 Illinois 79 Ohio over 85 Marshall 144 Sam Houston State over 163 Southwest Texas State 152 Northwestern State over 193 Stephen F. Austin 51 Pittsburgh over 108 Temple 81 Memphis State over 112 Tulane 28 Washington over 65 Washington State 83 Richmond over 131 William & Mary 74 Florida A&M over 102 Bethune - Cookman 50-60% chance of victory: 37 Alabama over 34 Auburn 206 Saint John's over 218 Iona 138 Maine over 122 New Hampshire 161 Wake Forest over 176 Navy 9 Michigan over 15 Ohio State 39 Michigan State over 53 Penn State 57 North Carolina State over 77 Virginia
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