rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 8 Fresno State over 154 San Jose State 146 Alabama A&M over 232 Mississippi Valley State 3 Texas over 50 Texas A&M 36 Boise State over 175 Central Michigan 56 Central Florida over 190 Southwestern Louisiana 1 Miami - Florida over 34 Washington 35 North Carolina State over 169 Ohio 5 Oklahoma over 93 Oklahoma State 13 Tennessee over 147 Vanderbilt 80-90% chance of victory: 191 Marist over 224 La Salle 231 Saint John's over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24 Illinois over 109 Northwestern 4 Nebraska over 23 Colorado 131 California over 229 Rutgers 127 Akron over 208 Eastern Michigan 111 Montana over 193 Idaho 85 New Mexico over 140 New Mexico State 133 Portland State over 209 Sacramento State 141 Saint Mary's over 203 California Poly 159 South Carolina State over 226 Norfolk State 49 South Florida over 135 Utah State 123 Temple over 202 Connecticut 83 Louisiana Tech over 194 Tulsa 70-80% chance of victory: 86 Hawaii over 119 Air Force 148 Eastern Washington over 212 Idaho State 12 Iowa over 44 Iowa State 112 McNeese State over 181 Jacksonville State 25 Louisiana State over 58 Arkansas 10 Michigan over 37 Ohio State 137 North Carolina A&T over 179 Delaware State 102 Rice over 163 Southern Methodist 165 Texas - El Paso over 195 Nevada - Reno 15 Louisville over 79 Texas Christian 60 Wake Forest over 104 Northern Illinois 20 Pittsburgh over 65 West Virginia 60-70% chance of victory: 43 Mississippi over 76 Mississippi State 130 Jackson State over 170 Tennessee State 52 Arizona State over 66 Arizona 218 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 213 Alcorn State 54 Indiana over 61 Purdue 12 Iowa over 44 Iowa State 101 Miami - Ohio over 132 Kent State 36 Boise State over 83 Louisiana Tech 69 Memphis State over 90 Cincinnati 110 Robert Morris over 151 Monmouth 32 Stanford over 38 Notre Dame 16 Boston College over 45 Syracuse 50-60% chance of victory: 192 Nicholls State over 216 Arkansas State 71 Bowling Green over 63 Toledo 30 East Carolina over 29 Southern Mississippi 14 Georgia over 31 Georgia Tech 166 Kansas over 156 Wyoming 64 Michigan State over 48 Penn State 55 Wisconsin over 81 Minnesota 107 Southern over 118 Grambling
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