rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 2 Miami - Florida over 29 Virginia Tech 80-90% chance of victory: 49 Hawaii over 117 San Diego State 70-80% chance of victory: 27 Georgia Southern over 75 Maine 7 Georgia over 24 Arkansas 60-70% chance of victory: 85 Fresno State over 127 Louisiana Tech 28 California - Los Angeles over 31 Washington State 66 McNeese State over 74 Montana 51 Villanova over 56 Fordham 57 Western Illinois over 52 Western Kentucky 174 Navy over 187 Army 6 Oklahoma over 10 Colorado 50-60% chance of victory: 63 East Carolina over 53 Cincinnati 54 Marshall over 41 Toledo
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