2002 Week 16 (14 Dec) Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 59% 113 Grambling               31 30.8,   145 Alabama A&M             19 29.0

 42%  72 McNeese State           39 25.8,    51 Villanova               28 27.5
 18%  57 Western Kentucky        31 13.9,    19 Georgia Southern        28 29.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.85   0 0.00   0 0.00   1 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   3   1   2.0 0.50

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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