Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.37 13.0-1.0 5.6-8.4 IA SEC Louisiana State 2 3 6.61 12.0-1.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_10 Southern California 3 2 6.01 12.0-2.0 6.0-8.0 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 4 4 5.89 11.0-2.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 5 2 5.78 11.0-3.0 5.2-8.8 IA SEC Georgia 6 4 5.68 10.0-3.0 4.3-8.7 IA ACC Florida State 7 2 5.54 11.0-2.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_East Miami - Florida 8 2 5.23 13.0-1.0 7.8-6.2 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 9 4 4.68 11.0-4.0 6.3-8.7 IA Big_12 Kansas State 10 4 4.67 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_Ten Iowa 11 2 4.53 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Tennessee 12 8 4.21 10.0-3.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 Washington State 13 4 4.17 10.0-3.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Maryland 14 4 4.06 10.0-3.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Michigan 15 7 4.04 9.0-4.0 5.0-8.0 IA ACC Clemson 16 4 4.03 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA SEC Mississippi 17 3 3.95 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Nebraska 18 7 3.94 10.0-3.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Texas 19 5 3.60 9.0-4.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Arkansas 20 5 3.55 13.0-1.0 9.4-4.6 IA WAC Boise State 21 3 3.49 10.0-2.0 6.5-5.5 IA MWC Utah 22 5 3.34 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Purdue 23 9 3.29 8.0-5.0 4.7-8.3 IA SEC Florida 24 3 3.11 11.0-3.0 7.9-6.1 IA MAC Bowling Green 25 5 2.99 8.0-5.0 5.0-8.0 IA SEC Auburn 26 7 2.85 11.0-2.0 8.1-4.9 IA CUSA Texas Christian 27 7 2.75 10.0-3.0 7.3-5.7 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 28 10 2.71 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Virginia 29 7 2.71 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC North Carolina State 30 5 2.47 9.0-4.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 31 17 2.40 8.0-6.0 5.6-8.4 IA PAC_10 California 32 5 2.39 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_10 Oregon 33 4 2.24 10.0-2.0 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Northern Illinois 34 13 2.21 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_East Boston College 35 6 2.16 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 36 6 2.10 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 37 5 2.08 9.0-3.0 6.9-5.1 IA Indep Connecticut 38 10 2.07 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 39 7 2.01 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_East West Virginia 40 7 1.93 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_East Virginia Tech 41 8 1.85 7.0-6.0 5.1-7.9 IA ACC Georgia Tech 42 8 1.82 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 43 11 1.79 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 44 7 1.54 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 45 9 1.45 8.0-5.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Missouri 46 4 1.19 8.0-4.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Marshall 47 14 1.18 9.0-5.0 7.8-6.2 IA WAC Fresno State 48 6 1.06 9.0-4.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Louisville 49 5 0.90 8.0-5.0 7.1-5.9 IA MWC New Mexico 50 6 0.76 7.0-6.0 6.2-6.8 IA MWC Colorado State 51 6 0.71 5.0-7.0 4.3-7.7 IA Indep Notre Dame 52 6 0.64 6.0-7.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 53 8 0.61 9.0-4.0 8.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 54 14 0.55 9.0-4.0 8.5-4.5 IA CUSA Memphis State 55 8 0.53 8.0-4.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Toledo 56 8 0.52 5.0-7.0 4.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Colorado 57 7 0.42 6.0-6.0 5.6-6.4 IA PAC_10 Washington 58 6 0.39 5.0-7.0 4.6-7.4 IA SEC South Carolina 59 10 0.37 5.0-7.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Wake Forest 60 12 0.36 6.0-7.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 61 8 0.35 7.0-5.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Air Force 62 9 0.33 9.0-5.0 8.7-5.3 IA WAC Hawaii 63 7 0.18 6.0-6.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_East Syracuse 64 9 0.08 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA Indep Navy 65 6 0.08 7.0-4.0 6.9-4.1 IA CUSA South Florida 66 6 -0.14 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 67 6 -0.24 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 68 12 -0.26 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IA WAC Tulsa 69 6 -0.29 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IA Indep Troy State 70 8 -0.55 4.0-7.0 4.5-6.5 IA PAC_10 Stanford 71 8 -0.62 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 72 6 -0.65 4.0-9.0 4.6-8.4 IA SEC Alabama 73 11 -0.67 6.0-6.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC San Diego State 74 6 -0.72 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 75 6 -0.87 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_East Rutgers 76 7 -0.93 4.0-8.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Duke 77 7 -0.97 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Akron 78 7 -1.19 4.0-8.0 5.2-6.8 IA MWC Brigham Young 79 15 -1.22 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Houston 80 10 -1.48 6.0-6.0 7.5-4.5 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 81 8 -1.59 5.0-7.0 6.6-5.4 IA MAC Western Michigan 82 8 -1.62 5.0-7.0 6.6-5.4 IA CUSA Cincinnati 83 7 -1.68 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IA MAC Kent State 84 7 -1.77 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 85 7 -1.82 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 86 9 -1.94 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA MWC Wyoming 87 8 -2.09 5.0-7.0 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Tulane 88 9 -2.13 2.0-*** 4.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Iowa State 89 7 -2.17 4.0-8.0 6.2-5.8 IA SEC Kentucky 90 8 -2.26 2.0-*** 4.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Arizona 91 8 -2.26 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Penn State 92 6 -2.45 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IA MAC Ball State 93 6 -2.64 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Baylor 94 6 -2.69 2.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA ACC North Carolina 95 6 -2.79 2.0-*** 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Mississippi State 96 6 -2.89 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA WAC Rice 97 6 -3.14 2.0-*** 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Vanderbilt 98 6 -3.16 5.0-7.0 8.2-3.8 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 99 6 -3.28 2.0-*** 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Indiana 100 6 -3.31 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 101 6 -3.47 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 102 8 -3.76 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IA WAC San Jose State 103 6 -3.81 1.0-*** 4.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Illinois 104 8 -3.82 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Central Florida 105 7 -3.84 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 106 7 -3.91 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Central Michigan 107 7 -4.03 1.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA Big_East Temple 108 6 -4.30 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Utah State 109 6 -4.39 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 110 6 -4.42 2.0-9.0 6.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 111 6 -5.05 2.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA MAC Ohio 112 5 -5.17 1.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA MAC Buffalo 113 4 -5.52 1.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA East Carolina 114 3 -6.10 1.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 115 3 -6.76 2.0-*** 8.8-4.2 IA WAC Texas - El Paso 116 3 -7.35 0.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA WAC Southern Methodist 117 3 -7.46 0.0-*** 7.5-5.5 IA CUSA Army
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 3 6.04 14.0-1.0 8.0-7.0 IAA Atl_10 Delaware 2 4 5.76 15.0-1.0 9.2-6.8 IAA Patriot Colgate 3 3 4.26 10.0-0.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 4 5 3.53 10.0-3.0 6.5-6.5 IAA Atl_10 Massachusetts 5 4 2.96 11.0-2.0 8.0-5.0 IAA Southern Wofford 6 9 1.90 9.0-3.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Gateway Northern Iowa 7 5 1.81 8.0-3.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Lehigh 8 7 1.71 8.0-2.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Gateway Southern Illinois 9 9 1.60 9.0-2.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southland McNeese State 10 5 1.55 7.0-4.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Atl_10 Northeastern 11 9 1.54 11.0-2.0 9.5-3.5 IAA Indep Florida Atlantic 12 4 1.20 7.0-3.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Harvard 13 4 1.15 7.0-3.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Patriot Fordham 14 12 1.06 10.0-1.0 8.9-2.1 IAA SWAC Southern 15 5 1.05 7.0-4.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Atl_10 Villanova 16 9 0.83 8.0-4.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Gateway Western Illinois 17 14 0.71 10.0-2.0 9.3-2.7 IAA NE Monmouth 18 11 0.68 9.0-3.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Montana 19 11 0.47 7.0-4.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Gateway Western Kentucky 20 14 0.32 9.0-3.0 8.7-3.3 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 21 7 0.24 6.0-4.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Yale 22 14 0.21 9.0-4.0 8.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 23 11 0.17 6.0-1.0 5.8-1.2 IAA Pioneer San Diego 24 8 0.05 6.0-5.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Atl_10 Maine 25 13 -0.11 8.0-3.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 26 16 -0.13 7.0-4.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 27 9 -0.15 7.0-4.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Southern Appalachian State 28 12 -0.25 8.0-3.0 8.2-2.8 IAA MAAC Duquesne 29 7 -0.39 5.0-5.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Brown 30 16 -0.41 9.0-3.0 9.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Grambling 31 12 -0.44 3.0-2.0 3.4-1.6 IAA Indep Northern Colorado 32 14 -0.48 9.0-3.0 9.5-2.5 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 33 7 -0.52 5.0-5.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 34 13 -0.61 6.0-2.0 6.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Dayton 35 9 -0.61 5.0-5.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Atl_10 William & Mary 36 11 -0.68 7.0-4.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 37 7 -0.68 6.0-6.0 6.7-5.3 IAA Atl_10 James Madison 38 12 -0.71 8.0-4.0 8.7-3.3 IAA NE Albany 39 12 -0.88 6.0-4.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 40 16 -0.90 7.0-3.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 41 7 -0.91 6.0-6.0 6.9-5.1 IAA Patriot Bucknell 42 12 -1.19 7.0-4.0 8.2-2.8 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 43 14 -1.29 6.0-4.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Indep California Poly 44 14 -1.29 7.0-4.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 45 7 -1.30 4.0-6.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Columbia 46 9 -1.32 6.0-6.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Southern The Citadel 47 11 -1.41 5.0-6.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Patriot Towson 48 10 -1.43 6.0-5.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southern Furman 49 12 -1.44 6.0-4.0 7.4-2.6 IAA MEAC Hampton 50 12 -1.48 6.0-4.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 51 14 -1.52 7.0-4.0 8.5-2.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 52 14 -1.57 5.0-4.0 6.6-2.4 IAA NE Robert Morris 53 15 -1.63 6.0-4.0 7.6-2.4 IAA NE Stony Brook 54 8 -1.66 5.0-6.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Lafayette 55 14 -1.70 7.0-5.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 56 19 -1.73 8.0-4.0 9.7-2.3 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 57 14 -1.76 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 58 8 -1.95 5.0-7.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Atl_10 New Hampshire 59 16 -1.95 6.0-4.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 60 7 -2.07 4.0-8.0 6.1-5.9 IAA Atl_10 Rhode Island 61 17 -2.08 7.0-5.0 9.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Alabama State 62 10 -2.17 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA MEAC Morgan State 63 10 -2.17 6.0-4.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Samford 64 10 -2.18 4.0-5.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Southland Nicholls State 65 14 -2.25 7.0-6.0 9.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 66 12 -2.30 5.0-4.0 7.3-1.7 IAA MAAC Iona 67 12 -2.30 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Gateway Illinois State 68 10 -2.34 2.0-3.0 4.3-0.7 IAA Indep California - Davis 69 13 -2.47 6.0-6.0 8.5-3.5 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 70 14 -2.58 7.0-5.0 9.6-2.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 71 13 -2.65 6.0-5.0 8.7-2.3 IAA NE Sacred Heart 72 11 -2.77 6.0-5.0 8.8-2.2 IAA NE Wagner 73 7 -2.85 4.0-7.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Western Carolina 74 10 -2.96 3.0-5.0 6.0-2.0 IAA Pioneer Drake 75 9 -3.00 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Big_South Liberty 76 6 -3.06 2.0-8.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Princeton 77 7 -3.07 2.0-9.0 5.1-5.9 IAA Atl_10 Richmond 78 8 -3.17 2.0-7.0 5.2-3.8 IAA Gateway Southwest Missouri State 79 9 -3.25 3.0-7.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 80 8 -3.26 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Southland Northwestern State 81 9 -3.45 4.0-6.0 7.4-2.6 IAA MAAC Marist 82 14 -3.54 5.0-6.0 8.5-2.5 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 83 8 -3.58 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Gateway Youngstown State 84 9 -3.58 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Patriot Georgetown 85 11 -3.90 3.0-5.0 6.9-1.1 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 86 13 -3.95 3.0-6.0 7.0-2.0 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 87 9 -3.96 6.0-6.0 10.0-2.0 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 88 8 -3.98 4.0-7.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 89 10 -4.02 3.0-5.0 7.0-1.0 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 90 11 -4.07 1.0-6.0 5.1-1.9 IAA Pioneer Butler 91 12 -4.16 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Indep Southern Utah 92 10 -4.21 2.0-6.0 6.2-1.8 IAA Indep Southeast Louisiana 93 8 -4.22 2.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IAA Atl_10 Hofstra 94 9 -4.39 4.0-7.0 8.4-2.6 IAA MEAC Howard 95 9 -4.40 2.0-6.0 6.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 96 6 -4.40 1.0-9.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Cornell 97 7 -4.50 2.0-6.0 6.5-1.5 IAA MAAC La Salle 98 8 -4.57 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Southland Southwest Texas State 99 8 -4.69 5.0-7.0 9.7-2.3 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 100 8 -4.90 3.0-8.0 7.9-3.1 IAA NE Central Connecticut 101 7 -4.91 1.0-8.0 5.9-3.1 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 102 7 -5.03 0.0-7.0 5.0-2.0 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 103 6 -5.04 2.0-9.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Southern Elon 104 8 -5.07 2.0-7.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Pioneer Davidson 105 9 -5.12 2.0-8.0 7.1-2.9 IAA MAAC Saint Peter's 106 8 -5.22 3.0-9.0 8.2-3.8 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 107 8 -5.26 3.0-9.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Gateway Indiana State 108 9 -5.29 2.0-9.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 109 9 -5.32 4.0-8.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 110 6 -5.41 1.0-*** 6.4-5.6 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 111 8 -5.45 3.0-8.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 112 5 -5.57 2.0-9.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Indep Florida International 113 7 -5.65 1.0-8.0 6.7-2.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 114 4 -6.02 1.0-8.0 7.0-2.0 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 115 3 -6.18 1.0-9.0 7.2-2.8 IAA MEAC Delaware State 116 3 -6.25 2.0-9.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 117 4 -6.39 1.0-9.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Indep Saint Mary's 118 3 -6.89 0.0-9.0 6.9-2.1 IAA SWAC Prairie View 119 4 -6.90 2.0-*** 8.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Jackson State 120 2 -7.45 2.0-*** 9.4-2.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 121 4 -7.51 1.0-*** 8.5-2.5 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 122 5 -7.52 0.0-*** 7.5-3.5 IAA Indep Savannah State 123 4 -7.89 0.0-*** 7.9-2.1 IAA MAAC Siena
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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