2003 Week 6 (30 Sep - 4 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   3 Miami - Florida           over   63 West Virginia           
  16 Bowling Green             over  174 Central Michigan        
   7 Pennsylvania              over  190 Dartmouth               
  31 Dayton                    over  209 Davidson                
  85 Duquesne                  over  229 Siena                   
 139 Florida Atlantic          over  231 Southwest Texas State   
  53 Lafayette                 over  195 Georgetown              
 142 Virginia Military         over  236 Liberty                 
 117 Monmouth                  over  213 Iona                    
  23 Nebraska                  over  114 Troy State              
  27 Northern Illinois         over  180 Ohio                    
  32 Oklahoma State            over  207 Louisiana - Lafayette   
   8 Virginia Tech             over  148 Rutgers                 
 106 Sacramento State          over  230 California - Davis      
  67 McNeese State             over  237 Southeast Louisiana     
  54 Southern                  over  216 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
  92 Wofford                   over  218 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 144 Tennessee Tech            over  238 Tennessee - Martin      
  80 Texas Christian           over  227 Army                    
  13 Villanova                 over  118 James Madison           
  14 Washington State          over  172 Arizona                 
 129 Albany                    over  239 Savannah State          
 130 Grambling                 over  240 Prairie View            

80-90% chance of victory:

 156 Alabama A&M               over  214 Texas Southern          
 173 Appalachian State         over  210 East Tennessee State    
   4 Southern California       over   77 Arizona State           
  72 Colorado                  over  203 Baylor                  
  84 Bethune - Cookman         over  166 Morgan State            
 165 Central Florida           over  222 Buffalo                 
  51 Colgate                   over  175 Cornell                 
  42 Delaware                  over  119 William & Mary          
 185 Drake                     over  221 Jacksonville            
 115 Western Michigan          over  205 Eastern Michigan        
  15 Florida                   over   62 Mississippi             
  37 Fordham                   over  146 Bucknell                
  90 Georgia Southern          over  155 Florida International   
  17 North Carolina State      over   78 Georgia Tech            
 108 Hampton                   over  206 Delaware State          
  52 Yale                      over  154 Holy Cross              
   5 Oklahoma                  over   75 Iowa State              
  30 Boise State               over  105 Louisiana Tech          
  68 Maine                     over  163 Richmond                
  12 Maryland                  over   47 Clemson                 
  46 Massachusetts             over  124 New Hampshire           
  69 Memphis State             over  179 Alabama - Birmingham    
  79 Michigan State            over  137 Indiana                 
  61 Montana                   over  128 California Poly         
 107 North Carolina A&T        over  223 Norfolk State           
  36 Virginia                  over  113 North Carolina          
  22 Minnesota                 over  126 Northwestern            
  25 Purdue                    over   83 Illinois                
 120 Morehead State            over  220 Valparaiso              
  48 Furman                    over  162 Western Carolina        
  50 Air Force                 over  161 Navy                    

70-80% chance of victory:

 129 Albany                    over  193 Saint Peter's           
  64 Cincinnati                over   95 Southern Mississippi    
 200 Gardner - Webb            over  232 Coastal Carolina        
  40 Lehigh                    over  104 Connecticut             
  11 Georgia                   over   28 Alabama                 
  81 Northern Iowa             over  177 Illinois State          
  89 Southern Illinois         over  183 Indiana State           
 228 La Salle                  over  234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
  38 Miami - Ohio              over   96 Akron                   
 101 Temple                    over  159 Middle Tennessee State  
  70 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  141 Nevada - Reno           
 102 New Mexico                over  150 Utah State              
 158 Montana State             over  215 Saint Mary's            
  93 San Diego State           over  110 Brigham Young           
 111 Stephen F. Austin         over  171 Portland State          
  44 Texas Tech                over   88 Texas A&M               
 181 Wagner                    over  204 Central Connecticut     
  99 Northern Arizona          over  188 Weber State             
 136 Youngstown State          over  170 Southwest Missouri State

60-70% chance of victory:

 138 Houston                   over  186 East Carolina           
  56 Utah                      over   59 Oregon                  
  20 Auburn                    over   21 Tennessee               
 122 Brown                     over  123 Rhode Island            
 191 Eastern Kentucky          over  202 Samford                 
 157 Eastern Washington        over  192 Idaho State             
  26 Iowa                      over   18 Michigan                
 153 Kent State                over  151 Ball State              
 131 Jacksonville State        over  196 Murray State            
 160 New Mexico State          over  182 Idaho                   
  55 Penn State                over   65 Wisconsin               
 109 Princeton                 over  121 Columbia                
 189 Rice                      over  187 San Jose State          
 169 Sacred Heart              over  167 Marist                  
  35 South Florida             over   45 Louisville              
 197 Eastern Illinois          over  219 Southeast Missouri State
 211 Southern Methodist        over  217 Texas - El Paso         
  87 Hawaii                    over  135 Tulsa                   
  94 Western Illinois          over  112 Western Kentucky        

50-60% chance of victory:

 208 Arkansas State            over  201 Northeast Louisiana     
 226 Austin Peay               over  225 Butler                  
  24 Oregon State              over   33 California              
  73 California - Los Angeles  over   57 Washington              
  74 Fresno State              over   86 Colorado State          
  29 Northeastern              over   41 Harvard                 
 116 Vanderbilt                over  140 Mississippi State       
 147 Robert Morris             over  132 Stony Brook             
   2 Kansas State              over    6 Texas                   
 176 The Citadel               over  164 Elon                    
 178 Florida A&M               over  184 Jackson State           

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