rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 122 Stephen F. Austin over 236 Sam Houston State 152 Alabama State over 240 Prairie View 95 Grambling over 220 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 9 Auburn over 102 Mississippi State 36 Marshall over 221 Buffalo 91 Duquesne over 211 Saint Peter's 20 Bowling Green over 208 Eastern Michigan 27 Southern over 189 Jackson State 74 Kansas over 207 Baylor 7 Kansas State over 93 Colorado 2 Miami - Florida over 120 Temple 14 Michigan over 133 Illinois 105 Hampton over 227 Norfolk State 1 Oklahoma over 69 Missouri 64 South Florida over 237 Charleston Southern 35 Boise State over 215 Southern Methodist 40 McNeese State over 210 Southern Utah 6 Georgia over 144 Vanderbilt 136 Alabama A&M over 238 Savannah State 80-90% chance of victory: 87 Akron over 198 Central Florida 25 Miami - Ohio over 149 Ball State 164 California Poly over 222 Saint Mary's 23 Pennsylvania over 123 Columbia 41 Delaware over 110 Rhode Island 187 Drake over 232 Butler 159 Eastern Kentucky over 200 Southeast Missouri State 193 Elon over 225 Tennessee - Chattanooga 26 Harvard over 81 Lafayette 90 Western Kentucky over 192 Illinois State 16 Texas over 108 Iowa State 68 Connecticut over 186 Kent State 65 Kentucky over 134 Ohio 60 Louisville over 148 Tulane 55 Massachusetts over 116 Hofstra 119 Morehead State over 197 Davidson 145 Morgan State over 203 Howard 199 Murray State over 229 Eastern Illinois 43 Arizona State over 132 North Carolina 100 North Texas over 183 Utah State 51 Northern Illinois over 99 Western Michigan 3 Southern California over 59 Notre Dame 24 Oregon State over 107 Washington 44 Pittsburgh over 154 Rutgers 181 Wagner over 233 Siena 103 Northwestern State over 219 Southwest Texas State 19 Washington State over 109 Stanford 180 Stony Brook over 228 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 170 Samford over 234 Tennessee - Martin 62 Texas Christian over 114 Alabama - Birmingham 94 San Diego over 195 Valparaiso 155 Virginia Military over 205 Gardner - Webb 70-80% chance of victory: 97 Bethune - Cookman over 125 South Carolina State 124 Brown over 162 Princeton 79 Bucknell over 137 Towson 72 Toledo over 163 Central Michigan 67 Wake Forest over 153 Duke 212 East Tennessee State over 226 Liberty 161 Holy Cross over 178 Dartmouth 84 Montana over 175 Idaho State 147 Youngstown State over 188 Indiana State 63 Hawaii over 139 Louisiana Tech 17 Minnesota over 52 Michigan State 37 Nebraska over 78 Texas A&M 115 North Carolina A&T over 167 Florida A&M 53 Northeastern over 75 Maine 86 Northern Arizona over 141 Eastern Washington 118 Navy over 182 Rice 8 Louisiana State over 49 South Carolina 98 Northern Iowa over 171 Southwest Missouri State 143 Tennessee State over 185 Jacksonville State 190 Alcorn State over 231 Texas Southern 80 Furman over 160 The Citadel 130 Troy State over 176 Florida International 4 Florida State over 29 Virginia 66 Wofford over 150 Western Carolina 54 Western Illinois over 77 Southern Illinois 11 Purdue over 50 Wisconsin 60-70% chance of victory: 48 Colorado State over 57 Air Force 28 North Carolina State over 38 Clemson 92 Georgia Southern over 142 Appalachian State 194 East Carolina over 218 Army 32 Yale over 58 Colgate 158 Florida Atlantic over 169 Northern Colorado 146 Middle Tennessee State over 184 Idaho 191 Marist over 216 Iona 179 New Mexico State over 214 Louisiana - Lafayette 30 Mississippi over 34 Alabama 61 Albany over 111 Monmouth 13 Iowa over 31 Ohio State 15 Oklahoma State over 21 Texas Tech 121 New Hampshire over 172 Richmond 33 Boston College over 83 Syracuse 113 Tulsa over 129 Nevada - Reno 131 Montana State over 168 Weber State 101 James Madison over 156 William & Mary 117 Wyoming over 138 Brigham Young 50-60% chance of victory: 18 Arkansas over 10 Florida 217 Jacksonville over 223 Austin Peay 47 California - Los Angeles over 42 California 157 Cornell over 151 Georgetown 135 Houston over 127 Memphis State 45 Utah over 70 Nevada - Las Vegas 177 Portland State over 166 Sacramento State 104 Sacred Heart over 140 Robert Morris 88 New Mexico over 112 San Diego State
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