ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
106 Nicholls State over 218 Southwest Texas State 49.0 to 21.0
44 Air Force over 222 Army 52.5 to 14.0
51 Northern Illinois over 206 Buffalo 42.0 to 10.5
185 Valparaiso over 236 Butler 38.5 to 14.0
69 South Florida over 197 East Carolina 38.5 to 14.0
155 Eastern Kentucky over 235 Tennessee - Martin 49.0 to 10.5
7 Florida over 125 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 10.5
180 Gardner - Webb over 238 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 10.5
22 Villanova over 153 Hofstra 35.0 to 14.0
5 Kansas State over 107 Iowa State 42.0 to 14.0
103 North Carolina A&T over 202 Delaware State 35.0 to 7.0
1 Oklahoma over 93 Texas A&M 56.0 to 10.5
176 Wagner over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 10.5
45 Wofford over 209 East Tennessee State 42.0 to 3.5
221 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 240 Prairie View 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
109 Alabama - Birmingham over 172 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
78 Albany over 151 Robert Morris 31.5 to 17.5
191 Alcorn State over 227 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
60 Washington over 173 Arizona 38.5 to 21.0
53 Texas Tech over 196 Baylor 45.5 to 24.5
99 Cincinnati over 164 Rhode Island 38.5 to 24.5
3 Florida State over 70 Clemson 35.0 to 14.0
122 Dartmouth over 199 Cornell 31.5 to 14.0
192 Drake over 232 Saint Mary's 42.0 to 21.0
47 Georgia Tech over 160 Duke 24.5 to 10.5
117 Appalachian State over 212 Elon 31.5 to 14.0
61 Fordham over 175 Holy Cross 45.5 to 21.0
89 Western Illinois over 204 Indiana State 38.5 to 17.5
145 Florida International over 216 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
136 Louisiana Tech over 220 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 14.0
100 Duquesne over 214 Marist 38.5 to 17.5
39 Massachusetts over 148 Richmond 35.0 to 14.0
4 Miami - Florida over 36 Tennessee 38.5 to 17.5
15 Minnesota over 64 Wisconsin 38.5 to 21.0
33 Alabama over 129 Mississippi State 35.0 to 21.0
38 Wake Forest over 138 North Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
82 North Texas over 210 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
18 Pennsylvania over 98 Princeton 31.5 to 14.0
57 Montana over 198 Sacramento State 45.5 to 21.0
112 Northwestern State over 225 Sam Houston State 42.0 to 21.0
81 Southern Illinois over 184 Youngstown State 35.0 to 14.0
71 Syracuse over 147 Temple 38.5 to 21.0
179 Virginia Military over 228 Austin Peay 38.5 to 14.0
40 Yale over 141 Brown 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
27 Arkansas over 56 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
134 Alabama A&M over 188 Jackson State 24.5 to 14.0
11 Auburn over 30 Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
94 Akron over 170 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
19 Colgate over 48 Lehigh 35.0 to 21.0
76 Harvard over 152 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
77 Connecticut over 111 Rutgers 38.5 to 28.0
219 Davidson over 226 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
59 Southern Mississippi over 150 Houston 31.5 to 21.0
135 South Carolina State over 200 Howard 28.0 to 17.5
24 Nebraska over 95 Kansas 31.5 to 21.0
229 Liberty over 234 Norfolk State 31.5 to 21.0
79 McNeese State over 124 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 28.0
63 Maine over 131 Morgan State 31.5 to 21.0
137 Utah State over 187 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
120 Northern Arizona over 162 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
23 Ohio State over 42 Michigan State 24.5 to 14.0
25 California over 92 Oregon 35.0 to 24.5
8 Virginia Tech over 32 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0
223 Jacksonville over 237 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
167 Northern Colorado over 208 Southern Utah 31.5 to 21.0
126 Southwest Missouri State over 169 Illinois State 24.5 to 14.0
154 Stony Brook over 193 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
159 The Citadel over 205 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 17.5
17 Washington State over 43 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 17.5
84 Montana State over 140 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
21 Miami - Ohio over 26 Bowling Green 35.0 to 31.5
62 Texas Christian over 66 Louisville 24.5 to 21.0
189 Idaho over 215 Arkansas State 24.5 to 21.0
149 California Poly over 194 California - Davis 28.0 to 21.0
68 Dayton over 80 San Diego 28.0 to 21.0
183 Central Florida over 207 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
133 Illinois over 178 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
97 Lafayette over 113 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
104 Nevada - Las Vegas over 127 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
121 Fresno State over 161 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 28.0
31 Delaware over 54 Northeastern 24.5 to 21.0
72 Penn State over 105 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
83 Notre Dame over 86 Navy 21.0 to 17.5
168 Ohio over 174 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
9 Texas over 20 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0
177 Portland State over 171 Weber State 21.0 to 17.5
144 Tulsa over 181 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
102 Monmouth over 157 Sacred Heart 17.5 to 14.0
182 Iona over 213 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 21.0
123 Jacksonville State over 165 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
231 Siena over 233 La Salle 24.5 to 17.5
163 Tennessee State over 195 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
67 Arizona State over 118 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
186 San Jose State over 217 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
128 Western Michigan over 146 Ball State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
73 New Mexico over 52 Colorado State 28.0 to 28.0
110 Grambling over 132 Alabama State 31.5 to 31.5
96 Hampton over 114 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 21.0
50 Boston College over 37 West Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
65 Colorado over 49 Missouri 31.5 to 31.5
211 Eastern Illinois over 203 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 24.5
130 Towson over 156 Georgetown 21.0 to 21.0
88 Furman over 116 Georgia Southern 21.0 to 21.0
142 Troy State over 166 Middle Tennessee State 21.0 to 17.5
90 James Madison over 115 New Hampshire 31.5 to 31.5
28 Purdue over 16 Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
87 Western Kentucky over 75 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 24.5
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