ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
3 Southern California over 161 Arizona 56.0 to 10.5
18 Arkansas over 184 New Mexico State 52.5 to 10.5
13 Boise State over 223 Texas - El Paso 66.5 to 7.0
29 Bowling Green over 165 Kent State 45.5 to 17.5
154 Florida Atlantic over 235 Siena 35.0 to 3.5
102 Grambling over 239 Savannah State 59.5 to 3.5
99 James Madison over 238 Charleston Southern 52.5 to 3.5
88 North Texas over 207 Arkansas State 38.5 to 10.5
42 Northeastern over 155 Richmond 38.5 to 14.0
8 Michigan over 105 Northwestern 38.5 to 14.0
1 Oklahoma over 206 Baylor 77.0 to 3.5
82 Monmouth over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 3.5
233 Southeast Louisiana over 240 Prairie View 52.5 to 21.0
9 Virginia Tech over 150 Temple 42.0 to 14.0
16 Tennessee over 151 Mississippi State 42.0 to 7.0
55 Southern over 221 Texas Southern 49.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
202 Murray State over 236 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 14.0
96 Akron over 185 Ohio 45.5 to 24.5
100 Appalachian State over 186 Western Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
26 California over 75 Washington 35.0 to 21.0
45 Clemson over 128 Duke 31.5 to 14.0
51 Colorado State over 120 San Diego State 28.0 to 14.0
220 Delaware State over 237 Norfolk State 42.0 to 17.5
68 Duquesne over 167 Robert Morris 35.0 to 14.0
98 Georgia Southern over 217 Elon 38.5 to 14.0
5 Florida State over 31 North Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
103 Fresno State over 174 San Jose State 35.0 to 21.0
168 Georgetown over 227 Davidson 42.0 to 21.0
89 Lafayette over 187 Holy Cross 42.0 to 28.0
110 Bethune - Cookman over 204 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
115 Jacksonville State over 195 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
73 McNeese State over 138 Northwestern State 35.0 to 21.0
10 Miami - Florida over 71 Syracuse 35.0 to 14.0
152 Middle Tennessee State over 200 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 21.0
141 Alabama State over 228 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
53 Missouri over 116 Texas A&M 38.5 to 21.0
34 Montana over 136 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 17.5
76 Notre Dame over 147 Brigham Young 28.0 to 14.0
35 Oklahoma State over 112 Kansas 42.0 to 24.5
39 Oregon State over 91 Stanford 31.5 to 17.5
84 Penn State over 169 Indiana 28.0 to 10.5
114 Northern Arizona over 213 Sam Houston State 38.5 to 21.0
7 Florida over 67 South Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
48 Southern Mississippi over 145 Tulane 35.0 to 14.0
4 Texas over 43 Texas Tech 49.0 to 24.5
47 Utah over 107 Wyoming 35.0 to 21.0
17 Washington State over 85 Arizona State 38.5 to 17.5
77 Western Illinois over 140 Southwest Missouri State 35.0 to 21.0
65 Western Kentucky over 171 Youngstown State 28.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
20 Miami - Ohio over 44 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5
12 Maryland over 36 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
111 Alabama A&M over 190 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
160 Houston over 211 Army 35.0 to 24.5
49 Lehigh over 113 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
46 California - Los Angeles over 79 Oregon 28.0 to 17.5
130 Columbia over 192 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
144 Ball State over 210 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
78 Georgia Tech over 134 North Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
19 Pennsylvania over 70 Harvard 31.5 to 21.0
172 Illinois State over 193 Indiana State 28.0 to 17.5
2 Kansas State over 14 Nebraska 21.0 to 14.0
81 Hawaii over 157 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 28.0
106 Montana State over 188 Portland State 24.5 to 14.0
209 Southern Utah over 231 Saint Mary's 28.0 to 21.0
178 Rice over 224 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 14.0
57 Texas Christian over 92 Cincinnati 31.5 to 21.0
60 Albany over 131 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
69 Kentucky over 133 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 28.0
56 Wake Forest over 83 Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
153 Weber State over 205 Sacramento State 31.5 to 17.5
127 Western Michigan over 173 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
6 Louisiana State over 22 Alabama 21.0 to 17.5
124 Brown over 117 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
156 California Poly over 159 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
30 Colgate over 37 Fordham 35.0 to 28.0
38 Delaware over 41 Massachusetts 24.5 to 21.0
203 East Tennessee State over 198 Tennessee - Chattanooga 21.0 to 17.5
163 Gardner - Webb over 177 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0
11 Georgia over 15 Auburn 21.0 to 17.5
23 Iowa over 21 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0
63 Colorado over 123 Iowa State 28.0 to 21.0
59 Louisville over 72 Memphis State 31.5 to 28.0
28 Maine over 33 Villanova 28.0 to 24.5
201 Central Connecticut over 219 Marist 28.0 to 24.5
61 New Mexico over 64 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
97 North Carolina A&T over 119 Hampton 21.0 to 17.5
25 Ohio State over 24 Purdue 21.0 to 17.5
66 Yale over 104 Princeton 31.5 to 28.0
58 Boston College over 109 Rutgers 35.0 to 31.5
143 South Carolina State over 148 Florida A&M 21.0 to 17.5
108 Stephen F. Austin over 122 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
149 Eastern Kentucky over 181 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
183 Southeast Missouri State over 215 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
50 Northern Illinois over 90 Toledo 31.5 to 28.0
139 Utah State over 137 Troy State 17.5 to 17.5
125 William & Mary over 121 New Hampshire 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
54 Wofford over 93 Furman 21.0 to 17.5
170 Iona over 158 Stony Brook 28.0 to 28.0
218 Saint Peter's over 226 La Salle 24.5 to 21.0
225 Liberty over 216 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
189 Idaho over 208 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0
87 Northern Iowa over 74 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
129 Hofstra over 146 Rhode Island 28.0 to 28.0
142 Tulsa over 132 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
175 Wagner over 162 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
40 West Virginia over 32 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 21.0
62 Wisconsin over 52 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5
164 Virginia Military over 166 The Citadel 28.0 to 28.0
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