2003 Week 14 (25-29 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  15 Miami - Ohio              over  181 Central Florida            45.5 to 14.0
  61 Marshall                  over  184 Ohio                       42.0 to 17.5
   5 Texas                     over  124 Texas A&M                  45.5 to 21.0
  17 Boise State               over  142 Nevada - Reno              45.5 to 14.0
  59 Southern Mississippi      over  199 East Carolina              38.5 to 10.5
  57 Texas Christian           over  224 Southern Methodist         42.0 to  7.0
  99 Fresno State              over  226 Texas - El Paso            45.5 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  79 North Texas               over  188 New Mexico State           35.0 to 17.5
  30 Mississippi               over  172 Mississippi State          45.5 to 21.0
  66 Arizona State             over  154 Arizona                    35.0 to 17.5
  23 Bowling Green             over   69 Toledo                     38.5 to 24.5
  24 Delaware                  over   73 Southern Illinois          35.0 to 17.5
   6 Georgia                   over   74 Georgia Tech               28.0 to 10.5
  14 Tennessee                 over   95 Kentucky                   35.0 to 21.0
  43 McNeese State             over  116 Northern Arizona           38.5 to 21.0
  46 Missouri                  over  152 Iowa State                 38.5 to 14.0
  35 West Virginia             over  136 Temple                     38.5 to 17.5
  64 Western Kentucky          over  126 Jacksonville State         31.5 to 17.5
  60 Wofford                   over  137 North Carolina A&T         28.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  36 Colgate                   over   58 Massachusetts              28.0 to 21.0
  31 Alabama                   over   93 Hawaii                     35.0 to 24.5
   4 Louisiana State           over   12 Arkansas                   24.5 to 17.5
 138 Louisiana Tech            over  160 Rice                       35.0 to 28.0
  62 Memphis State             over  100 South Florida              28.0 to 17.5
  49 Montana                   over   72 Western Illinois           35.0 to 28.0
   9 Miami - Florida           over   47 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 17.5
  13 Maryland                  over   75 Wake Forest                31.5 to 17.5
  70 Southern                  over  120 Grambling                  35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 102 Bethune - Cookman         over  108 Florida Atlantic           28.0 to 21.0
 115 Alabama - Birmingham      over  144 Houston                    31.5 to 28.0
  83 Northern Iowa             over  101 Montana State              21.0 to 17.5
  68 Syracuse                  over  117 Rutgers                    31.5 to 28.0
  78 Notre Dame                over  127 Stanford                   21.0 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 103 Cincinnati                over   88 Louisville                 28.0 to 28.0
  28 Nebraska                  over   50 Colorado                   21.0 to 21.0
  10 Florida                   over    7 Florida State              21.0 to 21.0
  21 Virginia Tech             over   34 Virginia                   28.0 to 24.5
 112 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  135 Wyoming                    24.5 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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