2003 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  14 Miami - Ohio              over   90 Louisville                 42.0 to 24.5
  13 Boise State               over   70 Texas Christian            35.0 to 17.5
  34 Bowling Green             over  107 Northwestern               35.0 to 21.0
   3 Kansas State              over   29 Ohio State                 31.5 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  28 North Carolina State      over   85 Kansas                     42.0 to 28.0
  78 Hawaii                    over  135 Houston                    45.5 to 35.0
  22 Virginia                  over   44 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 21.0
  27 Nebraska                  over   60 Michigan State             28.0 to 17.5
   5 Texas                     over   15 Washington State           35.0 to 24.5
  17 Auburn                    over   43 Wisconsin                  24.5 to 17.5
  25 Minnesota                 over   59 Oregon                     38.5 to 28.0
  11 Maryland                  over   32 West Virginia              28.0 to 21.0
   2 Southern California       over    7 Michigan                   38.5 to 28.0
  68 Georgia Tech              over  123 Tulsa                      28.0 to 17.5
   1 Oklahoma                  over    4 Louisiana State            28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  71 Memphis State             over   86 North Texas                24.5 to 21.0
  21 Delaware                  over   36 Colgate                    28.0 to 21.0
  69 California - Los Angeles  over  109 Fresno State               24.5 to 17.5
  38 Texas Tech                over   66 Navy                       42.0 to 35.0
  24 Arkansas                  over   39 Missouri                   35.0 to 28.0
  35 Utah                      over   55 Southern Mississippi       21.0 to 17.5
  10 Florida                   over   19 Iowa                       24.5 to 21.0
   9 Georgia                   over   26 Purdue                     24.5 to 17.5
   6 Florida State             over    8 Miami - Florida            21.0 to 21.0
  16 Tennessee                 over   31 Clemson                    24.5 to 21.0
  20 Mississippi               over   30 Oklahoma State             31.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  46 Oregon State              over   49 New Mexico                 28.0 to 24.5
  18 California                over   23 Virginia Tech              31.5 to 28.0
  45 Boston College            over   53 Colorado State             28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net