Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 8.03 13.0-0.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Southern California 2 1 7.07 13.0-0.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Auburn 3 2 7.02 12.0-1.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 4 1 5.97 11.0-1.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 5 1 5.74 10.0-2.0 4.3-7.7 IA SEC Georgia 6 3 5.42 10.0-2.0 4.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Iowa 7 2 5.39 12.0-0.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Utah 8 3 4.96 9.0-3.0 4.0-8.0 IA ACC Miami - Florida 9 2 4.81 10.0-3.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Virginia Tech 10 4 4.69 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Tennessee 11 3 4.63 10.0-2.0 5.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 California 12 5 4.52 9.0-3.0 4.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 13 3 4.39 9.0-3.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Florida State 14 3 4.02 9.0-3.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Michigan 15 7 3.94 11.0-1.0 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Louisville 16 5 3.92 9.0-3.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Louisiana State 17 2 3.59 11.0-1.0 7.4-4.6 IA WAC Boise State 18 3 3.30 9.0-3.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 19 5 3.22 8.0-4.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 20 4 3.19 8.0-4.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Virginia 21 3 3.17 8.0-4.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 22 3 2.91 7.0-5.0 4.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 23 4 2.87 9.0-3.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_East Boston College 24 7 2.75 7.0-5.0 4.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 25 4 2.74 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Colorado 26 6 2.69 10.0-2.0 7.3-4.7 IA Indep Navy 27 7 2.62 6.0-6.0 3.4-8.6 IA ACC North Carolina 28 5 2.45 7.0-5.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Georgia Tech 29 3 2.15 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 30 4 1.96 8.0-4.0 6.0-6.0 IA Big_East West Virginia 31 9 1.90 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Iowa State 32 6 1.89 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 33 13 1.79 9.0-3.0 7.2-4.8 IA WAC Fresno State 34 6 1.76 6.0-5.0 4.2-6.8 IA ACC Clemson 35 5 1.71 7.0-5.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Florida 36 6 1.61 9.0-3.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Northern Illinois 37 4 1.55 7.0-5.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Purdue 38 7 1.53 9.0-4.0 7.5-5.5 IA MAC Toledo 39 5 1.44 6.0-6.0 4.6-7.4 IA Indep Notre Dame 40 7 1.37 7.0-5.0 5.6-6.4 IA MWC New Mexico 41 5 1.31 6.0-5.0 4.7-6.3 IA SEC South Carolina 42 5 1.29 9.0-3.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Bowling Green 43 18 1.24 7.0-5.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 44 8 0.95 6.0-6.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 45 8 0.90 5.0-6.0 4.1-6.9 IA ACC Maryland 46 8 0.86 6.0-6.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_East Syracuse 47 17 0.85 8.0-4.0 7.1-4.9 IA Big_East Connecticut 48 15 0.80 7.0-5.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Wyoming 49 10 0.74 5.0-6.0 4.3-6.7 IA ACC North Carolina State 50 10 0.69 8.0-4.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Memphis 51 7 0.65 5.0-6.0 4.3-6.7 IA SEC Arkansas 52 19 0.64 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 53 16 0.56 8.0-4.0 7.4-4.6 IA WAC Texas - El Paso 54 6 0.44 5.0-6.0 4.6-6.4 IA MWC Brigham Young 55 14 0.27 7.0-5.0 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Cincinnati 56 8 0.20 6.0-6.0 5.8-6.2 IA SEC Alabama 57 6 0.15 7.0-5.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 58 6 0.06 5.0-6.0 4.9-6.1 IA PAC_10 Washington State 59 6 -0.05 5.0-6.0 5.1-5.9 IA PAC_10 Oregon 60 6 -0.08 5.0-6.0 5.1-5.9 IA Big_12 Nebraska 61 8 -0.11 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 62 15 -0.15 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA WAC Hawaii 63 17 -0.29 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 64 7 -0.44 4.0-7.0 4.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Kansas State 65 7 -0.49 4.0-7.0 4.5-6.5 IA PAC_10 Stanford 66 8 -0.53 4.0-7.0 4.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Kansas 67 18 -0.53 7.0-5.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 68 14 -0.61 7.0-5.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 69 9 -0.64 5.0-6.0 5.6-5.4 IA MWC Air Force 70 9 -0.65 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 71 7 -0.66 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IA Big_12 Missouri 72 9 -0.68 4.0-7.0 4.7-6.3 IA ACC Wake Forest 73 7 -0.68 4.0-7.0 4.7-6.3 IA SEC Mississippi 74 17 -0.77 6.0-6.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Marshall 75 7 -0.81 6.0-5.0 6.8-4.2 IA MAC Akron 76 6 -0.93 4.0-7.0 4.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Penn State 77 6 -1.14 3.0-8.0 4.1-6.9 IA PAC_10 Arizona 78 6 -1.14 4.0-7.0 5.1-5.9 IA MWC Colorado State 79 7 -1.34 4.0-7.0 5.3-5.7 IA Big_East Rutgers 80 11 -1.37 7.0-5.0 8.4-3.6 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 81 6 -1.40 4.0-7.0 5.4-5.6 IA MWC San Diego State 82 7 -1.47 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 83 6 -1.53 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IA CUSA Texas Christian 84 6 -1.64 3.0-8.0 4.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Baylor 85 7 -1.81 3.0-8.0 4.8-6.2 IA SEC Mississippi State 86 7 -1.97 5.0-6.0 7.0-4.0 IA CUSA Tulane 87 7 -2.05 2.0-9.0 4.0-7.0 IA ACC Duke 88 7 -2.10 3.0-8.0 5.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Indiana 89 7 -2.13 3.0-8.0 5.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Illinois 90 7 -2.27 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 91 9 -2.32 4.0-7.0 6.3-4.7 IA CUSA South Florida 92 8 -2.34 2.0-9.0 4.3-6.7 IA SEC Kentucky 93 8 -2.67 5.0-6.0 7.7-3.3 IA MAC Kent State 94 8 -2.72 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IA MAC Ohio 95 8 -2.73 3.0-8.0 5.7-5.3 IA CUSA Houston 96 8 -2.86 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 97 9 -2.89 3.0-8.0 5.9-5.1 IA WAC Southern Methodist 98 8 -2.92 2.0-9.0 4.9-6.1 IA Big_East Temple 99 11 -3.05 2.0-9.0 5.1-5.9 IA SEC Vanderbilt 100 10 -3.19 4.0-7.0 7.2-3.8 IA MAC Central Michigan 101 10 -3.21 5.0-7.0 8.2-3.8 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 102 11 -3.28 4.0-7.0 7.3-3.7 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 103 11 -3.30 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA WAC Tulsa 104 9 -3.35 1.0-*** 4.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 Washington 105 7 -3.40 2.0-9.0 5.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 106 8 -3.69 3.0-8.0 6.7-4.3 IA WAC Rice 107 8 -3.80 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Utah State 108 8 -3.85 2.0-9.0 5.9-5.1 IA CUSA East Carolina 109 8 -4.06 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 110 10 -4.09 4.0-7.0 8.1-2.9 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 111 7 -4.22 2.0-9.0 6.2-4.8 IA MAC Ball State 112 6 -4.38 2.0-9.0 6.4-4.6 IA CUSA Army 113 6 -4.66 3.0-9.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 114 6 -4.85 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IA WAC San Jose State 115 5 -5.41 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IA MAC Buffalo 116 4 -5.48 1.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 117 3 -6.36 0.0-*** 6.4-4.6 IA MAC Central Florida
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 5.46 12.0-2.0 6.5-7.5 IAA Atl_10 James Madison 2 4 4.29 10.0-0.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Harvard 3 2 3.93 10.0-3.0 6.1-6.9 IAA Atl_10 New Hampshire 4 4 3.30 11.0-3.0 7.7-6.3 IAA Atl_10 William & Mary 5 4 2.73 8.0-2.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 6 4 2.38 8.0-4.0 5.6-6.4 IAA Atl_10 Delaware 7 8 1.84 12.0-3.0 10.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Montana 8 7 1.74 9.0-3.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Patriot Lehigh 9 5 1.37 8.0-4.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Patriot Lafayette 10 11 1.03 9.0-2.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Gateway Southern Illinois 11 15 0.87 10.0-1.0 9.1-1.9 IAA NE Monmouth 12 13 0.87 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Southern Furman 13 14 0.82 9.0-3.0 8.2-3.8 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 14 10 0.82 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Bucknell 15 9 0.81 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Colgate 16 12 0.80 8.0-3.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Gateway Western Kentucky 17 10 0.77 6.0-5.0 5.2-5.8 IAA Atl_10 Villanova 18 13 0.57 8.0-3.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 19 15 0.56 8.0-0.0 7.4-0.6 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 20 20 0.47 10.0-1.0 9.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Alabama State 21 7 0.45 6.0-5.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Atl_10 Massachusetts 22 11 0.38 7.0-1.0 6.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Drake 23 6 0.33 6.0-4.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Brown 24 14 0.19 8.0-2.0 7.8-2.2 IAA NE Central Connecticut 25 14 0.15 8.0-2.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Great_West California Poly 26 15 -0.04 10.0-2.0 10.0-2.0 IAA MEAC Hampton 27 13 -0.14 8.0-4.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 28 7 -0.16 5.0-5.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Yale 29 14 -0.17 8.0-2.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 30 6 -0.19 5.0-5.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Princeton 31 15 -0.27 7.0-3.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Southern Wofford 32 12 -0.43 8.0-3.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Indep Florida Atlantic 33 9 -0.46 4.0-6.0 4.5-5.5 IAA Atl_10 Northeastern 34 16 -0.46 8.0-2.0 8.5-1.5 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 35 12 -0.63 6.0-3.0 6.6-2.4 IAA Pioneer San Diego 36 9 -0.63 5.0-6.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Atl_10 Hofstra 37 10 -0.68 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Atl_10 Maine 38 10 -0.94 7.0-3.0 7.9-2.1 IAA MAAC Duquesne 39 7 -1.00 6.0-4.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Gateway Northern Iowa 40 15 -1.14 7.0-4.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southland Northwestern State 41 9 -1.20 6.0-4.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 42 10 -1.30 6.0-3.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Dayton 43 12 -1.36 6.0-3.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Great_West North Dakota State 44 6 -1.41 4.0-6.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Cornell 45 7 -1.50 4.0-7.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Atl_10 Rhode Island 46 10 -1.56 6.0-5.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Southern Appalachian State 47 7 -1.70 5.0-6.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Fordham 48 15 -1.73 5.0-3.0 6.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49 13 -1.79 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Gateway Southwest Missouri State 50 13 -1.81 6.0-4.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 51 13 -1.98 5.0-4.0 7.0-2.0 IAA Great_West California - Davis 52 14 -2.11 6.0-4.0 8.1-1.9 IAA NE Sacred Heart 53 11 -2.14 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 54 16 -2.15 6.0-4.0 8.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 55 17 -2.17 7.0-4.0 9.2-1.8 IAA SWAC Southern 56 8 -2.20 3.0-8.0 5.2-5.8 IAA Atl_10 Richmond 57 15 -2.30 3.0-5.0 5.3-2.7 IAA Great_West South Dakota State 58 19 -2.39 7.0-4.0 9.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 59 15 -2.51 6.0-5.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 60 17 -2.51 7.0-4.0 9.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 61 16 -2.52 6.0-5.0 8.5-2.5 IAA NE Wagner 62 15 -2.54 5.0-5.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 63 15 -2.58 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_South Liberty 64 15 -2.60 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA NE Robert Morris 65 16 -2.72 5.0-5.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Southland Nicholls State 66 17 -2.87 4.0-4.0 6.9-1.1 IAA Indep Southeast Louisiana 67 21 -2.88 6.0-5.0 8.9-2.1 IAA MEAC Howard 68 19 -3.00 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IAA NE Albany 69 16 -3.14 5.0-5.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 70 17 -3.16 2.0-4.0 5.2-0.8 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 71 16 -3.17 6.0-5.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 72 14 -3.18 2.0-7.0 5.2-3.8 IAA Southern The Citadel 73 14 -3.21 2.0-7.0 5.2-3.8 IAA Gateway Western Illinois 74 16 -3.23 4.0-6.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 75 16 -3.25 4.0-6.0 7.2-2.8 IAA MEAC Delaware State 76 11 -3.25 2.0-8.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Atl_10 Towson 77 12 -3.26 3.0-7.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Gateway Illinois State 78 11 -3.27 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 79 19 -3.37 6.0-5.0 9.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Grambling 80 13 -3.42 3.0-7.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Southern Western Carolina 81 19 -3.43 5.0-6.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 82 13 -3.49 4.0-7.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Gateway Indiana State 83 9 -3.64 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 84 12 -3.82 3.0-6.0 6.8-2.2 IAA MAAC Marist 85 7 -3.92 1.0-9.0 4.9-5.1 IAA Ivy Columbia 86 12 -4.00 3.0-7.0 7.0-3.0 IAA NE Stony Brook 87 12 -4.07 3.0-6.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 88 8 -4.10 1.0-9.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 89 13 -4.12 5.0-6.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 90 13 -4.13 4.0-7.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southland McNeese State 91 10 -4.14 3.0-7.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Gateway Youngstown State 92 10 -4.16 3.0-8.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Patriot Georgetown 93 12 -4.18 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Ohio_V Samford 94 9 -4.18 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Indep Florida International 95 12 -4.19 5.0-6.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 96 12 -4.26 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA MEAC Morgan State 97 12 -4.44 2.0-6.0 6.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Davidson 98 10 -4.61 1.0-6.0 5.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Butler 99 16 -4.64 4.0-7.0 8.6-2.4 IAA SWAC Jackson State 100 10 -4.68 3.0-8.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 101 8 -4.82 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 102 9 -4.83 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 103 7 -4.85 1.0-6.0 5.9-1.1 IAA MAAC La Salle 104 8 -4.95 2.0-8.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Indep Florida A&M 105 10 -4.99 4.0-7.0 9.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 106 10 -5.06 2.0-6.0 7.1-0.9 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 107 9 -5.13 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 108 8 -5.16 3.0-8.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Southern Elon 109 8 -5.21 1.0-7.0 6.2-1.8 IAA MAAC Iona 110 9 -5.30 1.0-7.0 6.3-1.7 IAA MAAC Saint Peter's 111 6 -5.42 1.0-6.0 6.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 112 7 -5.42 1.0-7.0 6.4-1.6 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 113 7 -5.70 2.0-9.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Great_West Northern Colorado 114 5 -5.72 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 115 6 -5.76 2.0-8.0 7.8-2.2 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 116 4 -6.12 1.0-8.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Indep Savannah State 117 4 -6.29 2.0-8.0 8.3-1.7 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 118 3 -6.49 1.0-8.0 7.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Prairie View 119 3 -6.76 1.0-*** 7.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 120 2 -7.14 2.0-9.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 121 2 -7.99 0.0-*** 8.0-3.0 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 122 1 -8.89 0.0-*** 8.9-2.1 IAA SWAC Texas Southern
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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