2004 Preseason (28 Aug) Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 91%  13 Miami - Ohio            49 55.9,   203 Indiana State            0  6.8
 82%   2 Southern California     24 42.0,    24 Virginia Tech           13 23.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   1 1.22   1 1.09   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   2   2   1.7 1.16

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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