ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
64 Arizona State over 224 Texas - El Paso 52.5 to 14.0
115 Western Michigan over 234 Tennessee - Martin 52.5 to 10.5
26 Arkansas over 183 New Mexico State 49.0 to 10.5
18 Auburn over 206 Northeast Louisiana 56.0 to 7.0
17 Boise State over 177 Idaho 49.0 to 10.5
52 Connecticut over 205 Murray State 45.5 to 10.5
19 Iowa over 166 Kent State 49.0 to 10.5
2 Kansas State over 55 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 10.5
41 Missouri over 209 Arkansas State 49.0 to 7.0
119 Bethune - Cookman over 236 Savannah State 52.5 to 3.5
213 Texas Southern over 239 Prairie View 52.5 to 7.0
149 The Citadel over 237 Charleston Southern 52.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
45 Boston College over 168 Ball State 38.5 to 17.5
15 Delaware over 116 New Hampshire 45.5 to 17.5
179 Florida International over 226 Jacksonville 31.5 to 17.5
86 Southern Illinois over 185 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 14.0
33 Utah over 128 Texas A&M 38.5 to 17.5
36 Villanova over 121 Bucknell 35.0 to 10.5
38 Alabama over 161 Utah State 42.0 to 14.0
125 Alabama - Birmingham over 197 Baylor 31.5 to 14.0
28 Clemson over 70 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
50 Massachusetts over 216 Delaware State 45.5 to 10.5
114 Towson over 219 Elon 31.5 to 10.5
48 Fordham over 127 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
171 Georgetown over 227 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 17.5
10 Georgia over 88 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 14.0
54 Georgia Tech over 175 Samford 38.5 to 14.0
124 Hampton over 201 Jackson State 35.0 to 17.5
80 Lafayette over 208 Marist 45.5 to 14.0
174 Wagner over 230 La Salle 31.5 to 14.0
42 Lehigh over 152 Stony Brook 38.5 to 17.5
4 Louisiana State over 32 Oregon State 31.5 to 14.0
56 Marshall over 136 Troy State 28.0 to 10.5
9 Maryland over 83 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
25 Mississippi over 72 Memphis State 35.0 to 21.0
111 Morehead State over 217 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 7.0
20 North Carolina State over 182 Richmond 52.5 to 14.0
22 Ohio State over 105 Cincinnati 35.0 to 14.0
1 Oklahoma over 35 Bowling Green 42.0 to 17.5
106 Monmouth over 218 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 7.0
37 Texas Tech over 220 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 10.5
23 Virginia over 141 Temple 38.5 to 17.5
6 Texas over 91 North Texas 42.0 to 14.0
39 West Virginia over 196 East Carolina 49.0 to 14.0
49 Wisconsin over 191 Central Florida 42.0 to 10.5
29 Purdue over 79 Syracuse 31.5 to 17.5
24 Tennessee over 100 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
192 Eastern Michigan over 207 Buffalo 24.5 to 17.5
77 Albany over 153 Hofstra 31.5 to 21.0
155 Southwest Missouri State over 194 Drake 38.5 to 24.5
61 Texas Christian over 102 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
14 Washington State over 69 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0
21 California over 71 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5
63 Notre Dame over 143 Brigham Young 24.5 to 14.0
117 Grambling over 178 Alcorn State 38.5 to 24.5
81 Hawaii over 109 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 28.0
89 Duquesne over 189 Holy Cross 38.5 to 24.5
130 Illinois over 160 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
82 Northern Iowa over 164 Iowa State 28.0 to 21.0
96 Kansas over 147 Tulsa 38.5 to 28.0
134 Northwestern State over 202 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
27 Minnesota over 75 Toledo 42.0 to 28.0
87 Navy over 123 Duke 28.0 to 17.5
30 Nebraska over 68 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
154 Nevada - Reno over 199 Sacramento State 35.0 to 21.0
146 Alabama State over 200 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
62 Michigan State over 118 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
112 San Diego State over 148 Idaho State 28.0 to 21.0
131 Stanford over 188 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
173 Gardner - Webb over 212 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
74 South Carolina over 135 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
145 Weber State over 193 Southern Utah 28.0 to 17.5
78 Washington over 101 Fresno State 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
133 Nicholls State over 132 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 31.5
103 Northern Arizona over 156 Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
34 Oklahoma State over 66 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
163 Sacred Heart over 203 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
181 Indiana over 187 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
7 Michigan over 8 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 229 Mississippi Valley State 17.5 to 14.0
47 Montana over 43 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
97 North Dakota State over 167 Northern Colorado 21.0 to 14.0
73 Penn State over 90 Akron 31.5 to 24.5
120 Alabama A&M over 169 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
92 Louisville over 95 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
158 Louisiana Tech over 154 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 28.0
46 Pittsburgh over 94 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
57 Colorado over 51 Colorado State 28.0 to 28.0
150 Tulane over 180 Mississippi State 31.5 to 31.5
137 Houston over 151 Rice 35.0 to 35.0
98 William & Mary over 122 North Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
170 Virginia Military over 190 Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
65 Southern over 59 McNeese State 28.0 to 28.0
110 Appalachian State over 129 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
11 Miami - Florida over 5 Florida State 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net