2004 Week 2 (9-11 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 101 Tennessee State           over  232 Tennessee - Martin         49.0 to  7.0
 135 Alabama State             over  235 Texas Southern             49.0 to  7.0
  39 Louisville                over  213 Army                       45.5 to  7.0
  29 Bowling Green             over  197 Southeast Missouri State   52.5 to  7.0
   6 California                over  191 New Mexico State           66.5 to  7.0
  15 Florida                   over  187 Eastern Michigan           56.0 to 10.5
   8 Louisiana State           over  207 Arkansas State             59.5 to  3.5
  23 Maryland                  over  144 Temple                     42.0 to 10.5
  37 McNeese State             over  229 Southeast Louisiana        66.5 to 14.0
  35 Memphis State             over  219 Tennessee - Chattanooga    52.5 to  3.5
  95 Michigan State            over  210 Central Michigan           42.0 to 10.5
  10 Minnesota                 over  147 Illinois State             56.0 to 14.0
  70 Monmouth                  over  223 La Salle                   45.5 to  3.5
   2 Oklahoma                  over  154 Houston                    56.0 to  7.0
  30 Oklahoma State            over  157 Tulsa                      42.0 to 10.5
   5 Purdue                    over  140 Ball State                 45.5 to  3.5
  99 Southern                  over  234 Mississippi Valley State   56.0 to  3.5
   3 Southern California       over   71 Colorado State             38.5 to 10.5
  69 Texas Christian           over  200 Southern Methodist         42.0 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  45 West Virginia             over  175 Central Florida            38.5 to 17.5
 150 Coastal Carolina          over  222 Davidson                   38.5 to 17.5
  51 Connecticut               over  128 Duke                       35.0 to 17.5
  87 Dayton                    over  189 Morehead State             28.0 to  7.0
  49 Delaware                  over  118 Towson                     28.0 to 10.5
  68 Wake Forest               over  192 East Carolina              49.0 to 24.5
 122 Hampton                   over  205 Howard                     31.5 to 10.5
  89 San Diego                 over  203 Holy Cross                 42.0 to 21.0
   7 Kansas State              over   58 Fresno State               35.0 to 10.5
 145 Kent State                over  215 Liberty                    42.0 to 21.0
  56 Maine                     over  168 Northern Colorado          38.5 to 10.5
  25 Auburn                    over  141 Mississippi State          28.0 to  7.0
  12 Nebraska                  over   72 Southern Mississippi       28.0 to  7.0
   4 Michigan                  over   96 Notre Dame                 42.0 to 10.5
  26 Ohio State                over  104 Marshall                   31.5 to 10.5
  47 Pittsburgh                over  131 Ohio                       35.0 to 17.5
  78 Rhode Island              over  163 Central Connecticut        35.0 to 17.5
  67 Furman                    over  164 Samford                    31.5 to 17.5
  92 South Florida             over  196 Tennessee Tech             38.5 to 14.0
 162 Southwest Missouri State  over  220 Sam Houston State          38.5 to 17.5
 227 Austin Peay               over  239 Valparaiso                 31.5 to 14.0
  21 Virginia                  over   94 North Carolina             45.5 to 24.5
  20 Virginia Tech             over  107 Western Michigan           35.0 to  7.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 120 Air Force                 over  160 Eastern Washington         35.0 to 21.0
  34 Alabama                   over   53 Mississippi                28.0 to 21.0
  98 Fordham                   over  179 Albany                     35.0 to 21.0
  36 Utah                      over  112 Arizona                    24.5 to 10.5
   1 Texas                     over   17 Arkansas                   38.5 to 24.5
 119 Bethune - Cookman         over  182 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      31.5 to 21.0
  11 Boise State               over   27 Oregon State               38.5 to 28.0
 143 Syracuse                  over  209 Buffalo                    31.5 to 21.0
  38 Miami - Ohio              over  102 Cincinnati                 31.5 to 21.0
  33 Clemson                   over   66 Georgia Tech               24.5 to 14.0
 193 Eastern Illinois          over  221 Indiana State              21.0 to  7.0
  73 Lafayette                 over  153 Georgetown                 31.5 to 21.0
  24 Iowa                      over   77 Iowa State                 24.5 to  7.0
  85 Kansas                    over  117 Toledo                     31.5 to 21.0
 129 Louisiana Tech            over  174 Louisiana - Lafayette      28.0 to 17.5
  28 Massachusetts             over   43 Colgate                    24.5 to 14.0
  32 Northeastern              over   82 Navy                       28.0 to 21.0
 172 Nevada - Reno             over  198 Sacramento State           31.5 to 21.0
  80 Florida Atlantic          over  158 North Texas                28.0 to 17.5
  19 Washington State          over   48 Colorado                   31.5 to 21.0
  64 Oregon                    over  126 Indiana                    35.0 to 17.5
  65 Duquesne                  over  137 Robert Morris              28.0 to 14.0
  44 Wofford                   over  108 South Carolina State       28.0 to 17.5
  83 Stanford                  over  111 Brigham Young              24.5 to 17.5
  93 Stephen F. Austin         over  139 Northern Arizona           28.0 to 17.5
  54 Wyoming                   over  125 Texas A&M                  38.5 to 28.0
 176 Tulane                    over  201 Florida A&M                31.5 to 21.0
 106 Nicholls State            over  161 Western Carolina           28.0 to 21.0
  61 Wisconsin                 over  113 Nevada - Las Vegas         28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 136 Akron                     over  149 Middle Tennessee State     42.0 to 35.0
 151 Grambling                 over  181 Alabama A&M                24.5 to 24.5
 130 Alcorn State              over  134 North Carolina A&T         24.5 to 17.5
 138 Eastern Kentucky          over  180 Appalachian State          28.0 to 24.5
  31 Penn State                over   63 Boston College             21.0 to 17.5
 152 Idaho State               over  156 California Poly            31.5 to 28.0
  76 Illinois                  over   81 California - Los Angeles   28.0 to 21.0
 171 Northwestern State        over  199 Jackson State              21.0 to 17.5
  46 Lehigh                    over   52 Villanova                  21.0 to 14.0
 183 Wagner                    over  217 Marist                     24.5 to 17.5
  42 Montana                   over   50 Hofstra                    24.5 to 21.0
 166 Morgan State              over  190 Gardner - Webb             38.5 to 28.0
  75 New Mexico                over   74 Texas Tech                 35.0 to 31.5
 233 Norfolk State             over  237 Savannah State             28.0 to 21.0
  57 Northern Illinois         over   62 Southern Illinois          28.0 to 24.5
  60 New Hampshire             over   90 Rutgers                    31.5 to 28.0
 202 Sacred Heart              over  225 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   24.5 to 17.5
  14 Georgia                   over   40 South Carolina             24.5 to 17.5
 184 Weber State               over  214 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 24.5
  55 Missouri                  over   91 Troy State                 21.0 to 21.0
 169 Utah State                over  188 Idaho                      31.5 to 24.5
 165 Youngstown State          over  170 Florida International      21.0 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  13 Miami - Florida           over    9 Florida State              21.0 to 21.0
  84 Arizona State             over   97 Northwestern               28.0 to 28.0
 186 Richmond                  over  206 Virginia Military          21.0 to 17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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