ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
18 Alabama over 128 Western Carolina 42.0 to 7.0
36 Memphis State over 201 Arkansas State 49.0 to 14.0
1 Southern California over 147 Brigham Young 56.0 to 7.0
35 Colorado over 154 North Texas 35.0 to 7.0
12 Fresno State over 175 Portland State 52.5 to 7.0
61 Harvard over 192 Holy Cross 45.5 to 17.5
30 Kansas State over 181 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 3.5
53 Lehigh over 219 Liberty 45.5 to 7.0
25 Massachusetts over 137 Richmond 35.0 to 7.0
8 Miami - Florida over 141 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 7.0
77 Missouri over 189 Ball State 42.0 to 17.5
21 Arkansas over 205 Northeast Louisiana 59.5 to 10.5
157 Northwestern State over 238 Texas Southern 49.0 to 3.5
2 Oklahoma over 98 Oregon 56.0 to 10.5
28 Oklahoma State over 212 Southern Methodist 52.5 to 3.5
52 Penn State over 182 Central Florida 38.5 to 7.0
7 Boise State over 169 Texas - El Paso 56.0 to 14.0
16 Virginia over 161 Akron 52.5 to 14.0
3 Virginia Tech over 116 Duke 45.5 to 3.5
32 Washington State over 187 Idaho 42.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
158 Alabama A&M over 218 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 10.5
104 Alabama State over 180 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 17.5
46 Wisconsin over 133 Arizona 21.0 to 7.0
102 Brown over 188 Albany 28.0 to 7.0
105 Bucknell over 195 Cornell 35.0 to 10.5
55 Colgate over 126 Dartmouth 35.0 to 17.5
31 Fordham over 140 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
60 Western Kentucky over 162 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
9 Florida State over 90 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 14.0
44 Furman over 164 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 17.5
11 Georgia over 81 Marshall 38.5 to 17.5
152 Houston over 224 Army 42.0 to 17.5
106 Illinois over 167 Western Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
142 Illinois State over 199 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
225 Jacksonville over 237 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 14.0
66 Miami - Ohio over 145 Ohio 35.0 to 17.5
14 Michigan over 93 San Diego State 35.0 to 10.5
79 Mississippi over 179 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 7.0
209 Morehead State over 232 Butler 24.5 to 7.0
113 Nevada - Reno over 203 Buffalo 42.0 to 17.5
76 New Hampshire over 127 William & Mary 42.0 to 28.0
86 Troy State over 191 New Mexico State 31.5 to 10.5
121 Alcorn State over 204 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
163 Southern over 239 Prairie View 49.0 to 7.0
101 Tennessee State over 200 Jackson State 38.5 to 17.5
50 Montana over 211 Sam Houston State 52.5 to 21.0
99 South Carolina State over 234 Savannah State 52.5 to 7.0
34 South Carolina over 125 South Florida 28.0 to 7.0
135 Temple over 196 Florida A&M 38.5 to 21.0
138 Jacksonville State over 227 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 21.0
39 Louisville over 151 Tulane 38.5 to 21.0
42 Utah over 153 Utah State 35.0 to 14.0
40 Villanova over 115 James Madison 28.0 to 10.5
67 Wake Forest over 156 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
233 Austin Peay over 235 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 14.0
194 Central Michigan over 206 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
19 Minnesota over 82 Colorado State 42.0 to 28.0
29 Dayton over 80 Yale 31.5 to 17.5
221 Elon over 230 Delaware State 24.5 to 17.5
43 Maine over 129 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0
109 Montana State over 131 California Poly 21.0 to 14.0
47 Georgia Tech over 112 North Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
33 Kansas over 118 Northwestern 38.5 to 21.0
38 Oregon State over 58 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
122 Rutgers over 146 Kent State 28.0 to 21.0
171 Southern Utah over 222 Sacramento State 38.5 to 28.0
215 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 231 Valparaiso 31.5 to 21.0
17 Pennsylvania over 88 San Diego 38.5 to 24.5
6 California over 49 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
54 Cincinnati over 124 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
41 Clemson over 95 Texas A&M 31.5 to 24.5
56 Navy over 155 Tulsa 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
193 Central Connecticut over 223 Saint Peter's 24.5 to 17.5
63 Boston College over 65 Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
132 Appalachian State over 149 The Citadel 28.0 to 24.5
10 Louisiana State over 24 Auburn 17.5 to 14.0
123 Duquesne over 144 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
51 Wofford over 100 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 24.5
94 Hampton over 117 Western Illinois 42.0 to 35.0
202 Indiana State over 207 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
74 Iowa State over 71 Northern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
78 Florida Atlantic over 108 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
134 Bethune - Cookman over 143 Grambling 28.0 to 24.5
15 North Carolina State over 23 Ohio State 28.0 to 17.5
172 Northern Colorado over 186 Idaho State 31.5 to 24.5
89 Stephen F. Austin over 136 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 17.5
27 Nebraska over 62 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 17.5
75 Lafayette over 110 Princeton 21.0 to 17.5
92 Hawaii over 130 Rice 28.0 to 24.5
173 Iona over 208 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
166 Morgan State over 213 San Jose State 42.0 to 35.0
183 Tennessee Tech over 216 Virginia Military 24.5 to 17.5
69 California - Los Angeles over 107 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
26 Maryland over 45 West Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
37 Iowa over 68 Arizona State 21.0 to 21.0
170 Toledo over 185 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
96 Indiana over 120 Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
177 McNeese State over 176 Youngstown State 21.0 to 17.5
57 Notre Dame over 87 Michigan State 17.5 to 17.5
91 Air Force over 114 Nevada - Las Vegas 21.0 to 21.0
85 Monmouth over 103 Robert Morris 17.5 to 14.0
13 Florida over 20 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
70 Texas Tech over 59 Texas Christian 38.5 to 38.5
148 Stony Brook over 165 Wagner 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net