ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
67 Alabama State over 207 Southern 45.5 to 14.0
37 Boise State over 203 Southern Methodist 52.5 to 10.5
113 California Poly over 224 South Dakota State 42.0 to 7.0
75 Dayton over 221 Davidson 45.5 to 3.5
57 Hampton over 236 Delaware State 63.0 to 7.0
5 Florida State over 120 North Carolina 49.0 to 14.0
42 Furman over 163 Western Carolina 38.5 to 7.0
30 Georgia Southern over 197 Elon 56.0 to 17.5
62 Fordham over 190 Holy Cross 38.5 to 14.0
139 Monmouth over 231 Iona 42.0 to 10.5
47 Lehigh over 160 Albany 28.0 to 3.5
28 Fresno State over 154 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 17.5
12 Louisville over 181 East Carolina 49.0 to 7.0
61 Northern Illinois over 165 Akron 45.5 to 21.0
156 Grambling over 238 Prairie View 45.5 to 7.0
18 Pennsylvania over 134 Dartmouth 42.0 to 10.5
4 Texas over 195 Baylor 66.5 to 3.5
40 Western Kentucky over 178 Youngstown State 35.0 to 3.5
112 Wofford over 234 Tennessee - Chattanooga 59.5 to 10.5
92 Wyoming over 212 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
142 Appalachian State over 218 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 17.5
90 Texas Christian over 215 Army 52.5 to 24.5
64 Princeton over 162 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
7 Miami - Florida over 94 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 7.0
13 Michigan over 116 Indiana 42.0 to 21.0
171 Drake over 239 Jacksonville 59.5 to 21.0
107 Jacksonville State over 206 Murray State 42.0 to 17.5
69 Memphis over 137 Houston 42.0 to 28.0
17 Minnesota over 74 Penn State 35.0 to 14.0
102 Mississippi over 186 Arkansas State 42.0 to 21.0
131 Bethune - Cookman over 216 Morgan State 42.0 to 28.0
193 North Carolina A&T over 235 Norfolk State 38.5 to 10.5
19 North Carolina State over 58 Wake Forest 31.5 to 17.5
119 Northern Arizona over 217 Sacramento State 42.0 to 17.5
16 Ohio State over 104 Northwestern 31.5 to 10.5
2 Purdue over 38 Notre Dame 35.0 to 21.0
1 Oklahoma over 27 Texas Tech 42.0 to 21.0
23 Oklahoma State over 89 Iowa State 38.5 to 17.5
105 Rice over 201 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5
41 Southern Illinois over 124 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 7.0
55 Stanford over 143 Washington 38.5 to 17.5
199 Tennessee Tech over 227 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 14.0
182 Alabama A&M over 233 Texas Southern 35.0 to 10.5
83 Montana over 209 Weber State 42.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
20 Alabama over 36 South Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
45 Boston College over 80 Massachusetts 21.0 to 10.5
177 Central Florida over 222 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
228 Butler over 232 Austin Peay 17.5 to 10.5
78 Colorado State over 126 Brigham Young 28.0 to 17.5
29 Delaware over 60 Maine 24.5 to 10.5
141 Duke over 196 The Citadel 31.5 to 17.5
106 Bucknell over 187 Georgetown 24.5 to 10.5
149 Illinois State over 202 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
84 Kentucky over 136 Ohio 28.0 to 14.0
32 Nebraska over 53 Kansas 28.0 to 17.5
10 Utah over 48 New Mexico 28.0 to 17.5
76 North Dakota State over 140 Nicholls State 21.0 to 10.5
147 Middle Tennessee State over 200 North Texas 31.5 to 24.5
26 Arizona State over 79 Oregon 31.5 to 21.0
9 California over 63 Oregon State 35.0 to 24.5
214 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 226 La Salle 35.0 to 24.5
44 Southern Mississippi over 114 South Florida 24.5 to 14.0
95 Syracuse over 127 Rutgers 24.5 to 17.5
56 Bowling Green over 135 Temple 38.5 to 24.5
161 Texas - El Paso over 194 New Mexico State 31.5 to 21.0
130 Toledo over 180 Ball State 38.5 to 24.5
108 Towson over 153 Cornell 21.0 to 7.0
117 Troy State over 152 Utah State 24.5 to 14.0
121 Vanderbilt over 159 Mississippi State 28.0 to 17.5
8 Virginia Tech over 31 West Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
52 Wisconsin over 97 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
66 Marshall over 72 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
50 Navy over 98 Air Force 31.5 to 24.5
49 Pittsburgh over 82 Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
54 California - Los Angeles over 65 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
174 Central Connecticut over 185 Marist 28.0 to 24.5
223 Virginia Military over 229 Charleston Southern 17.5 to 14.0
191 Eastern Illinois over 204 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
24 Florida over 22 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
138 Florida International over 151 Louisiana - Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
6 Louisiana State over 15 Georgia 17.5 to 14.0
123 Hawaii over 129 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
77 Iowa over 91 Michigan State 24.5 to 17.5
170 Gardner - Webb over 208 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
175 Southern Utah over 211 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
33 Colorado over 59 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
118 Nevada - Reno over 157 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 21.0
122 California - Davis over 169 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
128 South Carolina State over 150 Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
125 Portland State over 145 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 24.5
219 Southeast Louisiana over 225 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 24.5
133 Western Illinois over 189 Southwest Missouri State 38.5 to 31.5
111 Stony Brook over 110 Robert Morris 21.0 to 21.0
21 Tennessee over 14 Auburn 21.0 to 17.5
51 Villanova over 68 New Hampshire 24.5 to 17.5
34 Northeastern over 70 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
43 Colgate over 103 Yale 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
155 Kent State over 179 Central Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
88 Cincinnati over 73 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 24.5
210 Eastern Michigan over 205 Idaho 28.0 to 28.0
158 Montana State over 176 Idaho State 31.5 to 31.5
81 Hofstra over 109 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
71 Harvard over 87 Lafayette 24.5 to 24.5
213 Valparaiso over 220 Morehead State 24.5 to 21.0
86 Brown over 100 Rhode Island 35.0 to 35.0
148 Wagner over 173 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
172 Eastern Kentucky over 198 Samford 31.5 to 31.5
46 Texas A&M over 39 Kansas State 24.5 to 24.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net