ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
8 Auburn over 128 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 7.0
114 Bethune - Cookman over 226 Delaware State 42.0 to 7.0
50 Northern Illinois over 212 Central Florida 52.5 to 21.0
80 Duquesne over 225 Iona 49.0 to 10.5
159 Albany over 237 Savannah State 45.5 to 10.5
95 South Carolina State over 231 Norfolk State 52.5 to 14.0
12 South Carolina over 105 Mississippi 35.0 to 7.0
79 North Dakota State over 216 South Dakota State 31.5 to 7.0
109 Jacksonville State over 232 Tennessee - Martin 49.0 to 14.0
171 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 236 Texas Southern 35.0 to 10.5
20 Georgia Southern over 170 Western Carolina 52.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
49 Southern Mississippi over 147 Houston 38.5 to 17.5
10 Virginia over 77 Clemson 38.5 to 14.0
159 Albany over 219 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 10.5
35 Furman over 143 Appalachian State 42.0 to 21.0
108 Cincinnati over 209 Army 35.0 to 14.0
210 Morehead State over 235 Austin Peay 21.0 to 7.0
43 Missouri over 160 Baylor 35.0 to 14.0
13 Pennsylvania over 85 Bucknell 31.5 to 14.0
38 California - Los Angeles over 107 Arizona 28.0 to 10.5
17 Bowling Green over 166 Central Michigan 49.0 to 17.5
221 Davidson over 238 Jacksonville 42.0 to 17.5
197 Georgetown over 227 Virginia Military 28.0 to 14.0
6 Georgia over 36 Tennessee 35.0 to 17.5
106 Hampton over 168 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 21.0
40 Harvard over 144 Cornell 35.0 to 7.0
55 Lehigh over 167 Holy Cross 38.5 to 17.5
178 Howard over 224 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 14.0
41 Alabama over 129 Kentucky 28.0 to 14.0
75 William & Mary over 211 Liberty 42.0 to 17.5
208 Marist over 234 Saint Peter's 31.5 to 14.0
26 Maryland over 91 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 10.5
71 Miami - Ohio over 169 Kent State 38.5 to 17.5
51 Alabama - Birmingham over 162 Mississippi State 35.0 to 14.0
140 Grambling over 230 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 21.0
82 Montana over 185 Idaho State 49.0 to 28.0
92 Alabama State over 180 Jackson State 42.0 to 24.5
139 Louisiana - Lafayette over 218 New Mexico State 31.5 to 17.5
31 North Carolina State over 118 North Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
2 Purdue over 62 Penn State 35.0 to 10.5
176 Alcorn State over 239 Prairie View 45.5 to 14.0
110 Robert Morris over 177 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
76 Stephen F. Austin over 157 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
5 Florida State over 72 Syracuse 38.5 to 14.0
57 Pittsburgh over 156 Temple 38.5 to 21.0
200 Tennessee Tech over 233 Tennessee - Chattanooga 45.5 to 24.5
87 Florida Atlantic over 215 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0
86 Dayton over 217 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
59 Southern Illinois over 196 Youngstown State 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
103 Lafayette over 150 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
119 Wofford over 202 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
64 Fresno State over 120 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5
113 Hawaii over 146 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 28.0
154 Illinois State over 186 Southwest Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
29 Texas A&M over 96 Iowa State 31.5 to 21.0
44 Kansas over 68 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
151 Middle Tennessee State over 182 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
155 Montana State over 199 Weber State 24.5 to 14.0
42 Western Kentucky over 121 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 21.0
83 Northwestern over 135 Indiana 35.0 to 24.5
1 Oklahoma over 9 Texas 28.0 to 21.0
48 Marshall over 125 Ohio 24.5 to 17.5
33 Ohio State over 39 Wisconsin 17.5 to 10.5
138 Rice over 191 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 17.5
65 Maine over 130 Richmond 24.5 to 14.0
175 Portland State over 222 Sacramento State 31.5 to 21.0
3 Southern California over 7 California 35.0 to 24.5
23 Texas Tech over 32 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
111 Vanderbilt over 142 Rutgers 35.0 to 24.5
16 Virginia Tech over 56 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5
148 Washington over 184 San Jose State 42.0 to 31.5
34 Washington State over 74 Oregon 31.5 to 17.5
136 Western Illinois over 189 Indiana State 42.0 to 28.0
115 Toledo over 173 Western Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
116 Brigham Young over 127 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 17.5
193 Akron over 204 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
181 Alabama A&M over 188 Southern 24.5 to 17.5
195 Ball State over 192 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
63 Colgate over 70 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
19 Oklahoma State over 37 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
84 Yale over 133 Dartmouth 28.0 to 21.0
137 San Diego over 172 Drake 38.5 to 35.0
163 Tulane over 207 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
165 Eastern Kentucky over 174 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
152 Nicholls State over 201 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
69 Fordham over 73 Brown 28.0 to 21.0
203 Idaho over 206 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
14 Michigan over 18 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
98 Michigan State over 100 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
198 Murray State over 194 Samford 35.0 to 31.5
213 North Carolina A&T over 214 Morgan State 31.5 to 28.0
47 Northeastern over 53 Villanova 24.5 to 21.0
46 Notre Dame over 45 Stanford 21.0 to 17.5
187 Northern Colorado over 223 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
132 Southern Utah over 149 California Poly 24.5 to 17.5
164 Utah State over 183 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0
126 Monmouth over 153 Wagner 17.5 to 14.0
89 Wyoming over 78 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
81 Air Force over 67 New Mexico 24.5 to 21.0
124 Eastern Washington over 112 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
21 Florida over 15 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0
99 James Madison over 88 Massachusetts 17.5 to 17.5
93 Hofstra over 123 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
122 Towson over 117 Rhode Island 21.0 to 21.0
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