ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
193 Alcorn State over 239 Texas Southern 38.5 to 7.0
16 Bowling Green over 192 Ball State 59.5 to 10.5
63 Miami - Ohio over 216 Buffalo 45.5 to 17.5
18 Florida over 151 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 14.0
46 Furman over 183 The Citadel 42.0 to 10.5
11 Georgia over 117 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 10.5
22 Georgia Southern over 115 Appalachian State 52.5 to 28.0
102 Hampton over 232 Norfolk State 52.5 to 14.0
1 Oklahoma over 53 Kansas State 38.5 to 10.5
49 Memphis over 171 Tulane 42.0 to 17.5
72 Nebraska over 173 Baylor 35.0 to 10.5
198 Alabama A&M over 238 Savannah State 42.0 to 14.0
25 Pennsylvania over 163 Columbia 45.5 to 10.5
105 Alabama State over 237 Prairie View 56.0 to 14.0
78 Duquesne over 231 Saint Peter's 49.0 to 10.5
20 Virginia Tech over 202 Florida A&M 49.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
165 Drake over 230 Butler 35.0 to 17.5
4 California over 32 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 21.0
142 California Poly over 200 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 17.5
90 Clemson over 177 Utah State 42.0 to 21.0
65 Colorado over 126 Iowa State 28.0 to 14.0
52 Georgia Tech over 130 Duke 28.0 to 10.5
21 Michigan over 113 Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
104 Jacksonville State over 161 Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
81 Marshall over 166 Kent State 31.5 to 17.5
28 South Carolina over 121 Kentucky 31.5 to 10.5
15 Minnesota over 101 Michigan State 38.5 to 21.0
106 Florida Atlantic over 199 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 10.5
73 Northern Illinois over 176 Central Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
131 Northwestern State over 213 McNeese State 38.5 to 17.5
68 Oregon over 133 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
2 Purdue over 31 Wisconsin 31.5 to 10.5
140 Stony Brook over 221 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 17.5
197 Samford over 233 Tennessee - Martin 45.5 to 21.0
139 San Diego over 220 Valparaiso 45.5 to 24.5
110 South Florida over 174 Army 35.0 to 17.5
201 Elon over 236 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 28.0
19 Texas over 42 Missouri 24.5 to 14.0
34 Boise State over 132 Tulsa 42.0 to 24.5
14 Utah over 83 North Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
66 Villanova over 135 Richmond 31.5 to 14.0
162 Wagner over 225 Iona 35.0 to 14.0
99 Wofford over 169 Western Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
5 Miami - Florida over 12 Louisville 17.5 to 10.5
26 Alabama over 74 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 14.0
59 Alabama - Birmingham over 89 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
108 Troy State over 189 Arkansas State 31.5 to 17.5
9 Auburn over 23 Arkansas 28.0 to 17.5
62 Colgate over 152 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
137 Dartmouth over 172 Holy Cross 31.5 to 17.5
186 Howard over 215 Morgan State 35.0 to 28.0
146 Louisiana - Lafayette over 207 Idaho 28.0 to 21.0
157 Sacred Heart over 219 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
29 Tennessee over 92 Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
67 New Mexico over 118 Nevada - Las Vegas 21.0 to 14.0
111 Rice over 179 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 31.5
54 New Hampshire over 107 Massachusetts 31.5 to 17.5
124 Florida International over 211 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma State over 27 Texas A&M 35.0 to 21.0
196 Weber State over 228 Sacramento State 28.0 to 21.0
100 South Carolina State over 119 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 21.0
129 Eastern Kentucky over 203 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
3 Southern California over 17 Arizona State 28.0 to 21.0
77 Toledo over 116 Ohio 35.0 to 24.5
190 Coastal Carolina over 223 Virginia Military 24.5 to 17.5
85 Oregon State over 144 Washington 28.0 to 17.5
114 Northern Iowa over 184 Youngstown State 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
24 West Virginia over 45 Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
80 Wyoming over 123 Brigham Young 24.5 to 17.5
88 Bucknell over 98 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
109 California - Davis over 112 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 31.5
168 Akron over 205 Central Florida 35.0 to 31.5
217 Morehead State over 229 Davidson 28.0 to 21.0
218 North Carolina A&T over 227 Delaware State 17.5 to 14.0
94 Eastern Washington over 96 Montana 31.5 to 28.0
10 Florida State over 7 Virginia 21.0 to 21.0
181 Indiana State over 185 Southwest Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
69 Maine over 76 James Madison 24.5 to 17.5
35 Maryland over 38 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
128 Portland State over 159 Montana State 17.5 to 14.0
138 North Dakota State over 143 Southern Utah 21.0 to 17.5
167 Southern over 182 Jackson State 28.0 to 24.5
30 Boston College over 57 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 21.0
84 Dayton over 125 Robert Morris 24.5 to 17.5
136 Rutgers over 153 Temple 35.0 to 28.0
148 Sam Houston State over 145 Nicholls State 31.5 to 28.0
97 San Diego State over 103 Colorado State 21.0 to 17.5
50 Southern Illinois over 43 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
150 Louisiana Tech over 194 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 21.0
60 Hawaii over 95 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 31.5
55 Washington State over 58 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
160 Western Illinois over 155 Illinois State 38.5 to 38.5
75 William & Mary over 91 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
122 Monmouth over 147 Albany 17.5 to 14.0
191 Murray State over 210 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
158 Grambling over 149 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 24.5
41 Harvard over 36 Northeastern 35.0 to 35.0
33 Delaware over 48 Hofstra 35.0 to 31.5
61 Iowa over 39 Ohio State 21.0 to 17.5
235 Jacksonville over 234 Austin Peay 21.0 to 17.5
40 Notre Dame over 44 Navy 21.0 to 21.0
64 Brown over 79 Princeton 24.5 to 21.0
206 Western Michigan over 188 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 35.0
51 Lehigh over 82 Yale 21.0 to 21.0
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