ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
11 Louisville over 130 South Florida 45.5 to 14.0
6 California over 140 Arizona 49.0 to 10.5
5 Auburn over 114 Kentucky 42.0 to 3.5
52 Connecticut over 167 Temple 42.0 to 14.0
62 Dayton over 233 Butler 49.0 to 3.5
20 Virginia over 135 Duke 38.5 to 14.0
53 Furman over 198 Elon 42.0 to 14.0
13 Louisiana State over 117 Troy State 35.0 to 3.5
79 Marshall over 210 Buffalo 42.0 to 7.0
66 Miami - Ohio over 199 Central Florida 45.5 to 17.5
18 Florida over 164 Mississippi State 42.0 to 10.5
15 Bowling Green over 137 Ohio 42.0 to 17.5
1 Oklahoma over 39 Kansas 38.5 to 10.5
149 Sacred Heart over 230 Saint Peter's 38.5 to 10.5
2 Southern California over 147 Washington 56.0 to 3.5
86 Southern Mississippi over 205 East Carolina 38.5 to 10.5
37 Southern Illinois over 172 Southwest Missouri State 38.5 to 14.0
16 Georgia Southern over 163 The Citadel 45.5 to 14.0
12 Utah over 112 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 10.5
165 Western Carolina over 232 Tennessee - Chattanooga 45.5 to 17.5
68 Western Kentucky over 185 Indiana State 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
25 West Virginia over 90 Syracuse 35.0 to 17.5
65 Brown over 144 Cornell 28.0 to 7.0
157 Central Connecticut over 222 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 14.0
41 Memphis over 128 Cincinnati 38.5 to 24.5
146 Drake over 223 Valparaiso 42.0 to 21.0
217 Florida A&M over 238 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
107 Florida Atlantic over 195 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 14.0
158 Florida International over 220 McNeese State 38.5 to 21.0
177 Gardner - Webb over 229 Virginia Military 31.5 to 14.0
116 Hawaii over 193 San Jose State 45.5 to 31.5
38 Minnesota over 118 Illinois 42.0 to 24.5
125 Monmouth over 184 Georgetown 24.5 to 10.5
156 Montana State over 208 South Dakota State 28.0 to 10.5
213 Morehead State over 231 Jacksonville 24.5 to 10.5
69 Navy over 138 Rice 35.0 to 17.5
73 Ohio State over 127 Indiana 31.5 to 17.5
124 Sam Houston State over 203 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
119 San Diego over 227 Davidson 49.0 to 21.0
201 Eastern Illinois over 235 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
59 Jacksonville State over 200 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 24.5
14 Texas A&M over 70 Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
106 Stephen F. Austin over 206 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 17.5
92 Toledo over 179 Central Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
51 Alabama - Birmingham over 190 Tulane 42.0 to 21.0
43 Villanova over 126 Towson 28.0 to 7.0
4 Florida State over 60 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
108 Eastern Washington over 202 Weber State 38.5 to 21.0
67 Northern Illinois over 194 Western Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
22 Wisconsin over 100 Northwestern 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
76 Air Force over 111 Brigham Young 31.5 to 21.0
160 Akron over 196 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
23 Arizona State over 45 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 21.0
103 Iowa State over 180 Baylor 31.5 to 17.5
35 Boise State over 80 Fresno State 42.0 to 31.5
182 Coastal Carolina over 211 Liberty 31.5 to 21.0
75 Colgate over 133 Holy Cross 31.5 to 17.5
148 Columbia over 189 Dartmouth 21.0 to 10.5
36 Delaware over 88 William & Mary 31.5 to 17.5
54 Fordham over 82 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
181 Grambling over 209 Jackson State 35.0 to 24.5
174 Idaho State over 215 Sacramento State 38.5 to 24.5
166 Illinois State over 187 Youngstown State 28.0 to 21.0
42 Lehigh over 96 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
152 Middle Tennessee State over 186 Idaho 31.5 to 21.0
197 Murray State over 216 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 17.5
74 New Mexico over 101 San Diego State 21.0 to 14.0
109 Northwestern State over 168 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
176 Howard over 219 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 10.5
3 Miami - Florida over 29 North Carolina State 28.0 to 14.0
113 Northern Iowa over 142 Western Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
175 North Texas over 204 New Mexico State 28.0 to 21.0
64 Pittsburgh over 121 Rutgers 31.5 to 17.5
8 Purdue over 19 Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
71 James Madison over 154 Richmond 28.0 to 17.5
102 Texas Christian over 136 Houston 42.0 to 31.5
226 Mississippi Valley State over 239 Texas Southern 24.5 to 10.5
26 Pennsylvania over 91 Yale 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
89 Colorado State over 93 Wyoming 24.5 to 21.0
145 Southern over 191 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
9 Georgia over 33 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
61 Kansas State over 72 Nebraska 31.5 to 24.5
171 Louisiana - Lafayette over 178 Arkansas State 31.5 to 24.5
85 Texas - El Paso over 129 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
21 Oklahoma State over 40 Missouri 28.0 to 24.5
214 Morgan State over 221 Delaware State 38.5 to 35.0
151 Northern Arizona over 155 Portland State 24.5 to 21.0
30 Notre Dame over 31 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
28 Harvard over 56 Princeton 28.0 to 24.5
94 South Carolina State over 99 Hampton 31.5 to 28.0
110 California - Davis over 153 Southern Utah 35.0 to 28.0
44 Stanford over 57 Oregon 28.0 to 24.5
183 Tennessee State over 192 Samford 35.0 to 31.5
10 Texas Tech over 17 Texas 31.5 to 24.5
120 Vanderbilt over 115 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
105 Wofford over 123 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5
55 Clemson over 48 Maryland 21.0 to 17.5
218 Marist over 225 La Salle 35.0 to 35.0
84 Maine over 63 Northeastern 28.0 to 28.0
141 Nevada - Reno over 134 Tulsa 28.0 to 28.0
58 Hofstra over 83 New Hampshire 38.5 to 38.5
150 North Dakota State over 132 California Poly 17.5 to 17.5
50 Washington State over 77 Oregon State 21.0 to 21.0
49 Penn State over 32 Iowa 17.5 to 17.5
81 Massachusetts over 95 Rhode Island 24.5 to 24.5
139 Albany over 161 Stony Brook 21.0 to 21.0
27 Tennessee over 24 Alabama 21.0 to 21.0
143 Robert Morris over 162 Wagner 21.0 to 21.0
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