ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
50 Northern Illinois over 202 Ball State 45.5 to 21.0
17 Texas A&M over 177 Baylor 49.0 to 17.5
13 Bowling Green over 179 Eastern Michigan 63.0 to 17.5
100 San Diego over 234 Butler 49.0 to 10.5
20 Harvard over 183 Dartmouth 42.0 to 7.0
109 South Carolina State over 221 Delaware State 38.5 to 14.0
83 Duquesne over 218 Marist 45.5 to 14.0
84 Eastern Washington over 213 Sacramento State 42.0 to 10.5
70 Fresno State over 214 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 7.0
12 Georgia Southern over 211 South Dakota State 66.5 to 10.5
184 Howard over 235 Norfolk State 38.5 to 14.0
68 James Madison over 225 Virginia Military 45.5 to 3.5
16 Louisiana State over 118 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 10.5
62 Marshall over 200 Central Florida 42.0 to 14.0
7 Auburn over 95 Mississippi 38.5 to 14.0
4 Miami - Florida over 94 North Carolina 45.5 to 21.0
138 Robert Morris over 232 Saint Peter's 42.0 to 7.0
28 Southern Illinois over 158 Western Illinois 45.5 to 14.0
113 Appalachian State over 229 Tennessee - Chattanooga 56.0 to 24.5
181 Grambling over 238 Texas Southern 38.5 to 14.0
1 Southern California over 63 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
56 Oregon State over 152 Arizona 28.0 to 10.5
133 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 201 Jackson State 28.0 to 10.5
34 Boise State over 116 Hawaii 52.5 to 31.5
3 California over 23 Arizona State 38.5 to 21.0
5 Texas over 59 Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
65 Dayton over 148 Drake 35.0 to 17.5
128 Eastern Kentucky over 197 Murray State 28.0 to 14.0
88 Fordham over 185 Georgetown 35.0 to 14.0
55 Hofstra over 144 Richmond 38.5 to 17.5
25 Iowa over 123 Illinois 31.5 to 10.5
29 Minnesota over 124 Indiana 38.5 to 21.0
10 Michigan over 57 Michigan State 35.0 to 17.5
226 Mississippi Valley State over 237 Prairie View 35.0 to 17.5
96 Alabama State over 192 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 17.5
119 Bethune - Cookman over 217 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 10.5
102 Northern Iowa over 187 Southwest Missouri State 35.0 to 14.0
15 Purdue over 103 Northwestern 38.5 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 22 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 17.5
54 Oregon over 154 Washington 35.0 to 10.5
19 Pennsylvania over 89 Brown 28.0 to 10.5
21 West Virginia over 125 Rutgers 38.5 to 17.5
11 Utah over 108 San Diego State 35.0 to 14.0
90 Texas - El Paso over 195 San Jose State 38.5 to 21.0
208 Southeast Missouri State over 230 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
101 Troy State over 194 Idaho 31.5 to 7.0
53 Wake Forest over 120 Duke 35.0 to 17.5
64 Western Kentucky over 173 Illinois State 42.0 to 17.5
111 Wofford over 182 The Citadel 28.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
9 Virginia Tech over 44 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 10.5
171 Central Michigan over 205 Western Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
74 Princeton over 140 Cornell 24.5 to 14.0
122 Florida Atlantic over 203 Florida A&M 28.0 to 17.5
97 Bucknell over 153 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
186 Idaho State over 212 Weber State 38.5 to 28.0
36 Lehigh over 73 Colgate 28.0 to 17.5
6 Florida State over 43 Maryland 21.0 to 10.5
8 Georgia over 31 Florida 28.0 to 17.5
47 Ohio State over 78 Penn State 17.5 to 7.0
91 Montana over 146 Portland State 31.5 to 21.0
35 Villanova over 107 Rhode Island 35.0 to 21.0
86 William & Mary over 151 Towson 28.0 to 17.5
85 Yale over 121 Columbia 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
134 Albany over 157 Wagner 21.0 to 14.0
39 California - Los Angeles over 48 Stanford 31.5 to 24.5
99 Cincinnati over 110 Texas Christian 35.0 to 28.0
67 Colorado State over 66 New Mexico 21.0 to 17.5
163 Army over 196 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
174 Tennessee State over 216 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
129 Houston over 145 Tulane 38.5 to 31.5
222 Iona over 228 La Salle 38.5 to 35.0
52 Kansas over 106 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
219 Liberty over 224 Charleston Southern 24.5 to 17.5
193 McNeese State over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
155 Middle Tennessee State over 168 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5
115 Monmouth over 147 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
220 Morehead State over 227 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 14.0
40 Delaware over 75 Navy 21.0 to 17.5
38 Missouri over 87 Nebraska 28.0 to 21.0
167 Florida International over 209 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
77 Northeastern over 76 New Hampshire 35.0 to 31.5
150 Northern Arizona over 164 Montana State 24.5 to 21.0
170 North Texas over 172 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
114 Stephen F. Austin over 132 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 21.0
51 Connecticut over 92 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
178 Youngstown State over 189 Indiana State 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
137 California Poly over 117 California - Davis 21.0 to 21.0
30 North Carolina State over 46 Clemson 24.5 to 21.0
191 Western Carolina over 207 Elon 17.5 to 17.5
169 Coastal Carolina over 188 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 21.0
24 Texas Tech over 45 Kansas State 38.5 to 38.5
130 Ohio over 161 Kent State 24.5 to 21.0
80 Massachusetts over 72 Maine 21.0 to 21.0
139 Mississippi State over 126 Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
142 Northwestern State over 162 North Dakota State 21.0 to 21.0
190 Samford over 180 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 31.5
42 South Carolina over 32 Tennessee 17.5 to 17.5
204 Southeast Louisiana over 198 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
131 Sacred Heart over 160 Stony Brook 28.0 to 28.0
127 Rice over 156 Tulsa 31.5 to 31.5
105 Wyoming over 98 Air Force 28.0 to 24.5
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