ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
29 Alabama over 124 Mississippi State 35.0 to 7.0
135 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 236 Prairie View 52.5 to 14.0
12 Bowling Green over 190 Western Michigan 59.5 to 17.5
3 California over 57 Oregon 42.0 to 10.5
154 Coastal Carolina over 239 Savannah State 52.5 to 10.5
7 Florida State over 119 Duke 42.0 to 7.0
39 Lehigh over 188 Georgetown 38.5 to 10.5
28 Harvard over 133 Columbia 38.5 to 7.0
23 Southern Illinois over 160 Illinois State 42.0 to 17.5
6 Georgia over 150 Kentucky 45.5 to 7.0
1 Southern California over 51 Oregon State 42.0 to 14.0
143 Eastern Kentucky over 234 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 10.5
21 Texas Tech over 147 Baylor 56.0 to 21.0
25 West Virginia over 157 Temple 45.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
62 Alabama - Birmingham over 163 South Florida 42.0 to 21.0
11 Louisville over 80 Memphis 38.5 to 21.0
75 Marshall over 165 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
140 Appalachian State over 213 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
22 Arizona State over 59 Stanford 28.0 to 14.0
40 Boston College over 111 Rutgers 31.5 to 14.0
126 Kent State over 212 Buffalo 35.0 to 21.0
123 Cornell over 175 Dartmouth 21.0 to 7.0
139 Houston over 196 East Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
102 Northern Iowa over 203 Indiana State 38.5 to 21.0
89 Jacksonville State over 194 Samford 45.5 to 24.5
106 Duquesne over 228 La Salle 45.5 to 21.0
8 Miami - Florida over 42 Clemson 35.0 to 17.5
99 Montana over 181 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 17.5
149 Nevada - Reno over 208 San Jose State 42.0 to 28.0
9 Virginia Tech over 82 North Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
128 Portland State over 192 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0
125 Montana State over 220 Sacramento State 35.0 to 14.0
152 Wagner over 224 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 14.0
122 Sam Houston State over 214 McNeese State 42.0 to 21.0
110 South Carolina State over 193 Howard 35.0 to 14.0
131 Tulsa over 221 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 17.5
70 Western Kentucky over 179 Southwest Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
4 Texas over 19 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 32 Texas A&M 38.5 to 21.0
167 The Citadel over 226 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 21.0
56 Navy over 158 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
10 Utah over 81 Colorado State 42.0 to 17.5
31 Florida over 105 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 21.0
109 Wofford over 199 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
60 Miami - Ohio over 104 Toledo 38.5 to 28.0
100 Air Force over 173 Army 38.5 to 24.5
231 Davidson over 237 Austin Peay 28.0 to 21.0
94 Brigham Young over 107 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
36 California - Los Angeles over 72 Washington State 35.0 to 24.5
87 Eastern Washington over 127 California Poly 31.5 to 17.5
15 Georgia Southern over 52 Furman 35.0 to 24.5
108 Alabama State over 186 Grambling 38.5 to 28.0
90 Hampton over 115 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 24.5
166 Holy Cross over 207 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
222 Iona over 230 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 21.0
211 Southeast Louisiana over 232 Jacksonville 35.0 to 24.5
49 Kansas over 83 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
191 Alcorn State over 225 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 17.5
217 Morgan State over 235 Norfolk State 42.0 to 35.0
145 Southern Utah over 204 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
162 Northwestern State over 178 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 24.5
20 Pennsylvania over 88 Princeton 28.0 to 17.5
61 New Hampshire over 116 Rhode Island 35.0 to 28.0
55 Fresno State over 141 Rice 31.5 to 17.5
26 Tennessee over 38 Notre Dame 24.5 to 17.5
183 Tennessee State over 209 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0
184 Tennessee Tech over 205 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
97 Troy State over 112 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 14.0
227 Valparaiso over 233 Butler 28.0 to 21.0
17 Virginia over 33 Maryland 21.0 to 14.0
137 North Dakota State over 197 Weber State 24.5 to 14.0
27 Villanova over 71 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
73 Brown over 92 Yale 24.5 to 21.0
156 Central Connecticut over 155 Stony Brook 28.0 to 24.5
159 Ohio over 198 Central Florida 24.5 to 21.0
64 Colgate over 67 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
174 Louisiana - Lafayette over 172 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
43 Michigan State over 41 Ohio State 24.5 to 24.5
45 Missouri over 47 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5
117 Monmouth over 134 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 17.5
96 Wyoming over 120 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 21.0
132 Middle Tennessee State over 180 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
177 Arkansas State over 206 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
37 North Carolina State over 46 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
76 Northeastern over 85 Massachusetts 28.0 to 21.0
68 Penn State over 86 Northwestern 21.0 to 14.0
146 Richmond over 164 Towson 21.0 to 17.5
30 Arkansas over 44 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
78 Southern Mississippi over 91 Cincinnati 24.5 to 17.5
201 Liberty over 223 Virginia Military 21.0 to 17.5
153 Washington over 161 Arizona 17.5 to 14.0
170 Western Illinois over 168 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
34 Wisconsin over 35 Minnesota 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
98 Bucknell over 84 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
176 Eastern Michigan over 169 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
148 Hawaii over 136 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 35.0
113 Indiana over 138 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
24 Iowa over 16 Purdue 17.5 to 17.5
63 Nebraska over 101 Iowa State 21.0 to 17.5
195 Jackson State over 187 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 17.5
50 Delaware over 77 James Madison 24.5 to 21.0
48 Hofstra over 69 Maine 31.5 to 31.5
142 Nicholls State over 129 Stephen F. Austin 21.0 to 21.0
189 Northeast Louisiana over 182 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
130 Albany over 151 Robert Morris 24.5 to 24.5
103 San Diego over 95 Dayton 24.5 to 24.5
79 Syracuse over 58 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5
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