2004 Week 14 (2-4 Dec) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   1 Oklahoma                  over   46 Colorado                   38.5 to 14.0
   3 California                over  108 Southern Mississippi       42.0 to 10.5
   4 Louisville                over  120 Tulane                     56.0 to 21.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  96 Alabama State             over  158 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      35.0 to 21.0
   2 Southern California       over   42 California - Los Angeles   38.5 to 21.0
   5 Auburn                    over   34 Tennessee                  31.5 to 14.0
  79 Navy                      over  180 Army                       38.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  72 Eastern Washington        over  107 Sam Houston State          42.0 to 31.5
  58 Michigan State            over  135 Hawaii                     42.0 to 31.5
  49 Pittsburgh                over  126 South Florida              31.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 129 Florida Atlantic          over  172 Florida International      28.0 to 21.0
  38 Furman                    over   52 James Madison              24.5 to 17.5
   7 Miami - Florida           over    9 Virginia Tech              24.5 to 17.5
  26 New Hampshire             over   47 Montana                    35.0 to 31.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  67 Toledo                    over   66 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 31.5
  53 William & Mary            over   41 Delaware                   28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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