2005 Week 3 (15-17 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  59 Rutgers                   over  214 Buffalo                    38.5 to  7.0
   8 Minnesota                 over  122 Florida Atlantic           38.5 to  3.5
  50 New Mexico                over  182 New Mexico State           38.5 to  7.0
  30 Toledo                    over  211 Temple                     52.5 to 14.0
   7 Texas                     over  167 Rice                       59.5 to 14.0
   1 Texas Tech                over  159 Sam Houston State          56.0 to  7.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  52 Alabama - Birmingham      over  193 Jacksonville State         38.5 to  3.5
  13 Auburn                    over  183 Ball State                 45.5 to  3.5
  91 Illinois State            over  213 Eastern Illinois           42.0 to 21.0
 143 Furman                    over  203 Samford                    42.0 to 24.5
   4 Georgia                   over  202 Northeast Louisiana        56.0 to  3.5
  22 Iowa                      over   86 Northern Iowa              35.0 to 14.0
  55 Kansas                    over  127 Louisiana Tech             31.5 to 10.5
  96 Maine                     over  177 Richmond                   17.5 to  3.5
  40 Michigan                  over  126 Eastern Michigan           31.5 to  7.0
  36 Nebraska                  over   87 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 10.5
 191 Morgan State              over  229 Savannah State             42.0 to 28.0
  10 North Carolina State      over  173 Eastern Kentucky           49.0 to 10.5
 149 Northern Arizona          over  230 Southern Utah              35.0 to  7.0
  69 Northern Illinois         over  198 Tennessee Tech             49.0 to 17.5
  21 Ohio State                over   78 San Diego State            28.0 to 10.5
  46 Oklahoma State            over  152 Arkansas State             35.0 to 10.5
  60 Penn State                over  136 Central Michigan           35.0 to 14.0
 128 Portland State            over  209 Sacramento State           31.5 to 10.5
 176 Robert Morris             over  234 Butler                     31.5 to  7.0
  39 Stanford                  over  162 California - Davis         42.0 to 10.5
  38 Texas A&M                 over  106 Southern Methodist         35.0 to 14.0
 205 Morehead State            over  238 Valparaiso                 42.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

 155 Hampton                   over  215 North Carolina A&T         24.5 to 10.5
  31 Utah                      over   92 Texas Christian            28.0 to 17.5
  32 Arizona State             over   53 Northwestern               45.5 to 35.0
  29 California                over   63 Illinois                   31.5 to 17.5
  18 California - Los Angeles  over   58 Oklahoma                   35.0 to 21.0
 121 Cornell                   over  178 Bucknell                   24.5 to 10.5
 174 Dayton                    over  235 Austin Peay                31.5 to  3.5
   9 Florida                   over   35 Tennessee                  28.0 to 14.0
  99 Brown                     over  197 Georgetown                 28.0 to 10.5
  89 Hofstra                   over  163 Stony Brook                31.5 to 14.0
 208 Sacred Heart              over  239 Iona                       28.0 to  7.0
 120 James Madison             over  179 Delaware State             31.5 to 17.5
 109 Youngstown State          over  223 Liberty                    31.5 to  7.0
 101 Massachusetts             over  186 Albany                     21.0 to  3.5
 156 Memphis                   over  180 Tennessee - Chattanooga    24.5 to 17.5
  61 Missouri                  over   84 Troy State                 28.0 to 17.5
 129 North Dakota State        over  196 Weber State                24.5 to  7.0
  25 Oregon                    over   42 Fresno State               38.5 to 28.0
  57 Pennsylvania              over  124 Duquesne                   24.5 to  7.0
 204 Southern                  over  233 Prairie View               38.5 to 21.0
  17 Southern California       over   56 Arkansas                   28.0 to 14.0
  85 New Hampshire             over  171 Towson                     24.5 to 14.0
   2 Virginia Tech             over  110 Ohio                       28.0 to  0.0
  82 Washington                over  148 Idaho                      35.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 192 Wagner                    over  225 Saint Peter's              17.5 to 10.5
  44 Air Force                 over   48 Wyoming                    28.0 to 21.0
 201 Mississippi Valley State  over  219 Alabama A&M                21.0 to 17.5
  20 Purdue                    over   68 Arizona                    28.0 to 21.0
  75 Baylor                    over  131 Army                       35.0 to 28.0
  71 Montana State             over  138 California Poly            24.5 to 17.5
 220 Charleston Southern       over  231 Jacksonville               24.5 to 14.0
 144 Duke                      over  189 Virginia Military          10.5 to  3.5
 195 Howard                    over  216 Florida A&M                17.5 to 14.0
  15 Georgia Tech              over   19 Connecticut                21.0 to 14.0
  37 Harvard                   over   66 Holy Cross                 31.5 to 28.0
  90 Indiana                   over   88 Kentucky                   28.0 to 21.0
 125 Kent State                over  123 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 28.0
  27 Louisville                over   41 Oregon State               31.5 to 24.5
 150 Central Connecticut       over  185 Marist                     21.0 to 17.5
  16 West Virginia             over   47 Maryland                   17.5 to 14.0
 139 Montana                   over  147 South Dakota State         28.0 to 21.0
 212 Murray State              over  224 Indiana State              24.5 to 14.0
  95 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  142 Nevada - Reno              28.0 to 24.5
   6 Wisconsin                 over   34 North Carolina             35.0 to 28.0
 158 Southeast Louisiana       over  206 Northern Colorado          31.5 to 21.0
  33 South Carolina            over   51 Alabama                    21.0 to 14.0
  79 Southern Mississippi      over  103 McNeese State              28.0 to 17.5
 100 South Florida             over  104 Central Florida            21.0 to 17.5
 188 Southwest Missouri State  over  199 Southeast Missouri State   31.5 to 24.5
 187 Stephen F. Austin         over  207 Western Illinois           35.0 to 24.5
  73 Syracuse                  over   76 Virginia                   21.0 to 14.0
 221 Tennessee State           over  236 Tennessee - Martin         31.5 to 17.5
  49 Vanderbilt                over   43 Mississippi                17.5 to 14.0
 141 Villanova                 over  161 Northeastern               31.5 to 21.0
 112 Wake Forest               over  164 East Carolina              35.0 to 21.0
 113 Wofford                   over  115 Georgia Southern           31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  81 Houston                   over  108 Texas - El Paso            24.5 to 24.5
 151 Appalachian State         over  146 Coastal Carolina           24.5 to 21.0
 194 Alabama State             over  210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      21.0 to 21.0
  12 Boston College            over    5 Florida State              17.5 to 14.0
  83 Western Carolina          over  116 Cincinnati                 24.5 to 24.5
  11 Miami - Florida           over   28 Clemson                    21.0 to 17.5
 111 Colgate                   over  140 Dartmouth                  17.5 to 17.5
 165 Fordham                   over  154 Columbia                   24.5 to 21.0
 226 Jackson State             over  232 Texas Southern             14.0 to  7.0
  94 Princeton                 over  119 Lafayette                  17.5 to 17.5
 190 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  175 Northwestern State         21.0 to 21.0
 117 Akron                     over  153 Middle Tennessee State     28.0 to 24.5
 172 South Carolina State      over  169 Bethune - Cookman          21.0 to 21.0
  98 North Texas               over  107 Tulsa                      21.0 to 14.0
  23 Notre Dame                over   14 Michigan State             24.5 to 21.0
 114 Tulane                    over  118 Mississippi State          21.0 to 21.0
  67 Washington State          over   70 Grambling                  21.0 to 21.0
 102 Rhode Island              over   93 William & Mary             24.5 to 21.0
 105 Yale                      over  135 San Diego                  28.0 to 28.0
 130 Southern Illinois         over  157 Western Michigan           28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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