ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
13 Auburn over 138 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 7.0
2 Texas Tech over 221 Indiana State 77.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
31 Iowa State over 157 Army 31.5 to 7.0
30 California over 152 New Mexico State 35.0 to 10.5
182 Alabama State over 231 Alcorn State 35.0 to 14.0
164 Coastal Carolina over 222 Delaware State 31.5 to 10.5
211 Drake over 237 Austin Peay 38.5 to 10.5
162 Eastern Kentucky over 210 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 10.5
35 Hofstra over 145 Furman 38.5 to 17.5
117 Georgia Southern over 200 Tennessee - Chattanooga 45.5 to 21.0
97 Illinois State over 193 Murray State 38.5 to 14.0
17 Florida over 100 Kentucky 35.0 to 14.0
7 Louisiana State over 39 Tennessee 24.5 to 7.0
29 Pennsylvania over 110 Villanova 35.0 to 14.0
4 Texas A&M over 122 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 3.5
46 Vanderbilt over 135 Richmond 28.0 to 7.0
26 West Virginia over 163 East Carolina 45.5 to 14.0
148 William & Mary over 232 Liberty 38.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
124 Florida Atlantic over 183 Northeast Louisiana 21.0 to 10.5
36 Alabama over 96 Arkansas 38.5 to 21.0
168 Central Connecticut over 194 Albany 21.0 to 10.5
141 Central Michigan over 186 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
74 Colorado State over 106 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
67 Delaware over 90 Holy Cross 35.0 to 28.0
185 Gardner - Webb over 229 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 21.0
49 Hawaii over 159 Idaho 35.0 to 17.5
12 Michigan State over 64 Illinois 45.5 to 35.0
228 Jacksonville over 235 Butler 31.5 to 17.5
55 Kansas State over 161 North Texas 31.5 to 3.5
116 Lafayette over 170 Fordham 28.0 to 14.0
53 Massachusetts over 88 Rhode Island 24.5 to 14.0
8 Miami - Florida over 28 Colorado 24.5 to 10.5
27 Georgia over 93 Mississippi State 24.5 to 14.0
207 Mississippi Valley State over 225 Jackson State 28.0 to 17.5
77 New Hampshire over 127 Dartmouth 31.5 to 17.5
11 North Carolina State over 58 North Carolina 31.5 to 10.5
189 Northwestern State over 227 Texas Southern 38.5 to 21.0
201 Florida A&M over 230 Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
139 Ohio over 153 Kent State 17.5 to 10.5
1 Southern California over 43 Oregon 45.5 to 21.0
14 Arizona State over 73 Oregon State 45.5 to 31.5
140 Portland State over 176 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 10.5
118 California - Davis over 192 Sacramento State 24.5 to 10.5
82 San Diego State over 142 San Jose State 31.5 to 17.5
165 Jacksonville State over 217 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
177 Southern over 194 Albany 21.0 to 10.5
174 Stephen F. Austin over 223 Southern Utah 31.5 to 21.0
9 Louisville over 76 South Florida 35.0 to 21.0
102 Appalachian State over 188 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
61 Tulsa over 78 Memphis 21.0 to 14.0
236 Valparaiso over 239 Davidson 21.0 to 10.5
66 Lehigh over 195 Virginia Military 42.0 to 17.5
22 Notre Dame over 68 Washington 24.5 to 14.0
172 Northern Arizona over 224 Weber State 28.0 to 14.0
5 Wisconsin over 10 Michigan 21.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
41 Utah over 50 Air Force 38.5 to 28.0
121 Arkansas State over 134 Florida International 24.5 to 17.5
91 Marshall over 143 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
20 Clemson over 33 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
129 Columbia over 120 Duquesne 21.0 to 17.5
197 Eastern Illinois over 212 Samford 28.0 to 17.5
203 Elon over 206 North Carolina A&T 14.0 to 10.5
38 Harvard over 56 Brown 14.0 to 7.0
45 Southern Mississippi over 131 Houston 35.0 to 21.0
166 Idaho State over 167 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 35.0
218 La Salle over 216 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 35.0
16 Minnesota over 19 Purdue 35.0 to 28.0
83 North Dakota State over 146 Montana State 17.5 to 10.5
126 Dayton over 204 Morehead State 21.0 to 7.0
113 Nicholls State over 137 Western Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
180 Bethune - Cookman over 215 Norfolk State 31.5 to 21.0
37 Penn State over 81 Northwestern 31.5 to 24.5
21 Ohio State over 24 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
80 Pittsburgh over 99 Youngstown State 17.5 to 7.0
86 Princeton over 105 San Diego 28.0 to 21.0
95 Navy over 144 Rice 35.0 to 31.5
220 Howard over 233 Savannah State 28.0 to 21.0
71 South Carolina over 112 Troy State 24.5 to 10.5
132 Utah State over 123 Nevada - Las Vegas 21.0 to 17.5
62 Virginia over 94 Duke 28.0 to 17.5
3 Virginia Tech over 18 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 7.0
52 Maryland over 111 Wake Forest 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
98 Boise State over 70 Bowling Green 42.0 to 42.0
69 Northern Illinois over 101 Akron 28.0 to 24.5
84 Brigham Young over 75 Texas Christian 17.5 to 17.5
42 Mississippi over 40 Wyoming 21.0 to 21.0
169 Morgan State over 173 Hampton 31.5 to 31.5
156 Northeastern over 149 Towson 31.5 to 28.0
178 Southwest Missouri State over 196 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 31.5
92 California Poly over 130 South Dakota State 21.0 to 17.5
109 Tulane over 151 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 24.5
208 Stony Brook over 199 Georgetown 14.0 to 14.0
160 Temple over 147 Western Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
79 Texas - El Paso over 57 New Mexico 31.5 to 31.5
190 Wagner over 181 Marist 21.0 to 21.0
133 Yale over 125 Cornell 14.0 to 10.5
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