ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
13 Boston College over 207 Ball State 49.0 to 0.0
143 McNeese State over 225 Southern Utah 31.5 to 7.0
172 Grambling over 238 Prairie View 42.0 to 3.5
44 Vanderbilt over 181 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
76 Alabama - Birmingham over 140 Rice 35.0 to 17.5
42 Connecticut over 145 Army 31.5 to 14.0
223 Morehead State over 236 Butler 31.5 to 14.0
12 California - Los Angeles over 75 Washington 38.5 to 17.5
163 Drake over 234 Davidson 38.5 to 7.0
126 Dayton over 208 Jacksonville 31.5 to 3.5
102 Georgia Southern over 203 Elon 28.0 to 10.5
7 Florida State over 92 Syracuse 35.0 to 7.0
125 Furman over 221 Gardner - Webb 56.0 to 24.5
151 Hampton over 211 Delaware State 28.0 to 7.0
111 Western Kentucky over 200 Indiana State 35.0 to 14.0
50 Louisville over 152 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 17.5
130 Maine over 193 Albany 31.5 to 10.5
110 Marshall over 168 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 10.5
104 Tulane over 201 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 14.0
185 Robert Morris over 228 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 14.0
123 Wofford over 224 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 17.5
22 Texas A&M over 121 Baylor 45.5 to 17.5
5 Texas Tech over 61 Kansas 45.5 to 24.5
128 Western Carolina over 187 The Citadel 24.5 to 7.0
95 Northern Iowa over 218 Western Illinois 52.5 to 28.0
139 Western Michigan over 210 Buffalo 24.5 to 3.5
1 Virginia Tech over 46 West Virginia 28.0 to 7.0
14 Wisconsin over 69 Indiana 35.0 to 17.5
37 Wyoming over 137 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
103 Akron over 155 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
16 Auburn over 40 South Carolina 28.0 to 14.0
132 Bowling Green over 167 Temple 38.5 to 24.5
43 California over 81 Arizona 28.0 to 14.0
157 Central Connecticut over 222 Saint Peter's 35.0 to 14.0
73 Pennsylvania over 156 Dartmouth 35.0 to 21.0
48 Southern Mississippi over 129 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
106 Lafayette over 175 Georgetown 14.0 to 7.0
41 Harvard over 88 Lehigh 45.5 to 31.5
29 Hawaii over 58 Boise State 24.5 to 14.0
119 Utah State over 177 Idaho 24.5 to 14.0
33 Iowa over 74 Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
220 La Salle over 232 Iona 24.5 to 14.0
178 Virginia Military over 235 Liberty 24.5 to 7.0
91 Central Florida over 159 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
4 Miami - Florida over 28 South Florida 24.5 to 10.5
15 Louisiana State over 86 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
149 Montana over 195 Weber State 28.0 to 14.0
116 Montana State over 169 Idaho State 38.5 to 24.5
56 New Hampshire over 83 Villanova 31.5 to 21.0
62 Arkansas State over 166 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
90 California Poly over 197 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
82 Princeton over 117 Columbia 24.5 to 17.5
154 Southern Illinois over 184 Southwest Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
36 Oregon over 107 Stanford 31.5 to 24.5
182 Monmouth over 227 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
20 Tennessee over 57 Mississippi 24.5 to 10.5
204 Murray State over 230 Tennessee Tech 21.0 to 10.5
98 Texas State - San Marcos over 171 South Dakota State 28.0 to 10.5
55 Delaware over 160 Towson 35.0 to 17.5
30 Clemson over 122 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
78 Illinois State over 190 Youngstown State 28.0 to 7.0
60-70% chance of victory:
54 Fresno State over 60 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
94 Miami - Ohio over 105 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
216 Alabama A&M over 214 Texas Southern 17.5 to 17.5
217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 233 Alcorn State 21.0 to 14.0
2 Southern California over 11 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
237 Valparaiso over 239 Austin Peay 21.0 to 17.5
180 Bethune - Cookman over 179 Morgan State 45.5 to 42.0
85 Brown over 97 Rhode Island 24.5 to 21.0
213 Charleston Southern over 205 Howard 17.5 to 14.0
135 Colgate over 150 Cornell 24.5 to 17.5
146 Eastern Michigan over 141 Kent State 28.0 to 28.0
131 Portland State over 170 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 21.0
188 Florida International over 194 Florida A&M 28.0 to 21.0
144 Louisiana Tech over 138 New Mexico State 21.0 to 17.5
71 Texas - El Paso over 112 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0
8 Michigan State over 9 Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
3 Texas over 26 Missouri 35.0 to 24.5
162 Alabama State over 191 Southern 21.0 to 17.5
53 Nebraska over 51 Iowa State 17.5 to 14.0
24 North Carolina over 31 Utah 24.5 to 17.5
100 North Dakota State over 113 Nicholls State 24.5 to 17.5
206 North Carolina A&T over 219 Tennessee State 17.5 to 14.0
45 Oklahoma over 49 Kansas State 24.5 to 21.0
23 Purdue over 19 Notre Dame 35.0 to 31.5
59 San Diego State over 68 Brigham Young 35.0 to 28.0
209 Norfolk State over 231 Savannah State 42.0 to 35.0
148 South Carolina State over 161 Coastal Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
89 Tulsa over 115 Houston 24.5 to 17.5
192 Wagner over 199 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
80 Yale over 84 Holy Cross 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
39 Air Force over 67 Colorado State 42.0 to 42.0
215 Southeast Missouri State over 229 Samford 28.0 to 24.5
47 Rutgers over 25 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 21.0
21 Florida over 38 Alabama 17.5 to 17.5
164 Marist over 189 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
118 Duke over 109 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
87 Hofstra over 70 James Madison 35.0 to 35.0
153 Jacksonville State over 136 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
32 Virginia over 64 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
35 Colorado over 65 Oklahoma State 10.5 to 10.5
52 Washington State over 77 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
10 Minnesota over 27 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
196 Sacramento State over 186 Northern Arizona 21.0 to 21.0
142 Nevada - Reno over 165 San Jose State 28.0 to 28.0
72 Texas Christian over 63 New Mexico 28.0 to 24.5
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