ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
116 Eastern Kentucky over 218 Samford 42.0 to 14.0
16 Fresno State over 166 New Mexico State 45.5 to 14.0
32 Pittsburgh over 141 Cincinnati 38.5 to 10.5
90 San Diego over 237 Butler 59.5 to 3.5
1 Southern California over 128 Arizona 45.5 to 3.5
2 Virginia Tech over 111 Marshall 42.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
82 Alabama - Birmingham over 161 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 14.0
192 Albany over 225 Stony Brook 21.0 to 7.0
28 Boise State over 157 Portland State 52.5 to 17.5
67 Brown over 176 Fordham 42.0 to 21.0
36 Florida over 94 Mississippi State 24.5 to 7.0
9 Florida State over 86 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
95 Georgia Southern over 175 Western Carolina 21.0 to 3.5
112 Lafayette over 163 Columbia 24.5 to 10.5
56 Massachusetts over 136 Northeastern 35.0 to 17.5
4 Miami - Florida over 117 Duke 38.5 to 3.5
65 Mississippi over 149 The Citadel 28.0 to 10.5
45 San Diego State over 143 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 21.0
69 Pennsylvania over 152 Bucknell 28.0 to 10.5
49 Princeton over 108 Colgate 35.0 to 17.5
42 Southern Mississippi over 114 Tulsa 31.5 to 10.5
58 Maryland over 205 Temple 42.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
122 Troy State over 182 North Texas 21.0 to 14.0
142 South Carolina State over 215 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
52 Connecticut over 79 Syracuse 24.5 to 14.0
231 Alcorn State over 236 Prairie View 17.5 to 7.0
19 Boston College over 59 Virginia 24.5 to 10.5
48 Bowling Green over 120 Ohio 42.0 to 24.5
132 Akron over 200 Buffalo 24.5 to 14.0
62 Harvard over 153 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
235 Davidson over 238 Austin Peay 17.5 to 7.0
150 Bethune - Cookman over 209 Delaware State 35.0 to 24.5
110 Dayton over 197 Drake 35.0 to 21.0
155 Hampton over 216 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
193 Grambling over 227 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 17.5
68 Indiana over 80 Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
55 Iowa State over 83 Baylor 28.0 to 17.5
151 Alabama State over 210 Jackson State 28.0 to 17.5
44 James Madison over 107 Maine 35.0 to 17.5
57 Lehigh over 84 Holy Cross 42.0 to 28.0
198 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 234 Liberty 28.0 to 14.0
190 Marist over 220 La Salle 42.0 to 31.5
7 Michigan over 39 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
169 Jacksonville State over 226 Murray State 28.0 to 17.5
72 Arkansas over 154 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
133 Eastern Washington over 199 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
15 Wisconsin over 73 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
103 California - Davis over 186 South Dakota State 24.5 to 7.0
3 Texas over 31 Oklahoma 28.0 to 14.0
41 Missouri over 105 Oklahoma State 21.0 to 10.5
144 Central Connecticut over 214 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
66 South Carolina over 98 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
87 Texas State - San Marcos over 185 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
179 Eastern Illinois over 222 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 14.0
188 Southern over 228 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 17.5
125 Northern Iowa over 181 Southwest Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
93 Toledo over 148 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
180 Virginia Military over 224 Charleston Southern 24.5 to 7.0
70 Washington State over 97 Stanford 35.0 to 24.5
129 Montana State over 194 Weber State 31.5 to 21.0
159 Western Michigan over 189 Ball State 35.0 to 21.0
38 New Hampshire over 109 William & Mary 38.5 to 28.0
170 Wofford over 206 Elon 21.0 to 7.0
91 Yale over 137 Dartmouth 21.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
8 North Carolina State over 30 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
229 Saint Peter's over 232 Iona 28.0 to 17.5
18 Arizona State over 33 Oregon 38.5 to 28.0
26 California - Los Angeles over 25 California 24.5 to 21.0
21 Colorado over 29 Texas A&M 24.5 to 17.5
51 Colorado State over 46 Utah 35.0 to 35.0
74 Delaware over 99 Hofstra 28.0 to 21.0
131 East Carolina over 145 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
100 Appalachian State over 147 Furman 35.0 to 31.5
165 Idaho State over 160 Montana 31.5 to 28.0
101 Illinois State over 102 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
156 Youngstown State over 195 Indiana State 21.0 to 14.0
217 Jacksonville over 219 Morehead State 21.0 to 17.5
37 Kansas over 76 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
158 Louisiana - Lafayette over 174 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 17.5
20 Louisville over 22 North Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
64 Navy over 71 Air Force 35.0 to 28.0
11 Texas Tech over 34 Nebraska 28.0 to 24.5
135 Nevada - Reno over 140 Idaho 21.0 to 14.0
88 Houston over 126 Tulane 24.5 to 17.5
106 Rhode Island over 119 Towson 31.5 to 24.5
171 Monmouth over 203 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
173 Northwestern State over 201 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 31.5
127 Nicholls State over 178 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 28.0
168 Utah State over 167 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5
27 Louisiana State over 78 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 21.0
164 Southern Illinois over 213 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
47 Wyoming over 53 Texas Christian 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
61 Miami - Ohio over 89 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
130 Army over 118 Central Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
115 California Poly over 92 North Dakota State 14.0 to 14.0
85 Memphis over 113 Central Florida 24.5 to 24.5
177 Georgetown over 162 Duquesne 14.0 to 14.0
81 Hawaii over 121 Louisiana Tech 24.5 to 24.5
96 New Mexico over 75 Brigham Young 31.5 to 31.5
187 Morgan State over 196 North Carolina A&T 17.5 to 17.5
13 Penn State over 6 Ohio State 21.0 to 21.0
24 Iowa over 43 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
104 Villanova over 138 Richmond 17.5 to 14.0
202 Robert Morris over 191 Wagner 21.0 to 21.0
35 West Virginia over 63 Rutgers 24.5 to 24.5
10 Georgia over 23 Tennessee 21.0 to 17.5
221 Tennessee - Martin over 212 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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