ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
157 Alabama State over 237 Prairie View 42.0 to 3.5
50 Bowling Green over 202 Buffalo 38.5 to 10.5
128 California - Davis over 224 Southern Utah 28.0 to 3.5
24 Fresno State over 168 Utah State 45.5 to 7.0
112 Towson over 234 Liberty 35.0 to 7.0
212 Morehead State over 239 Austin Peay 35.0 to 3.5
2 Miami - Florida over 197 Temple 52.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
104 Arkansas State over 177 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 21.0
64 Toledo over 172 Ball State 38.5 to 21.0
52 Boise State over 163 San Jose State 45.5 to 17.5
23 Boston College over 87 Wake Forest 31.5 to 10.5
121 Coastal Carolina over 204 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 17.5
81 Colgate over 176 Fordham 35.0 to 10.5
42 Pennsylvania over 160 Columbia 31.5 to 10.5
103 Cornell over 170 Georgetown 21.0 to 7.0
154 Duquesne over 231 Saint Peter's 42.0 to 14.0
47 Hofstra over 117 Maine 24.5 to 7.0
77 Holy Cross over 148 Dartmouth 24.5 to 7.0
22 Iowa over 61 Indiana 31.5 to 14.0
71 Navy over 149 Kent State 35.0 to 17.5
75 Northern Illinois over 155 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
119 Northern Iowa over 219 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
187 Bethune - Cookman over 235 Savannah State 38.5 to 17.5
12 Oregon over 70 Washington 28.0 to 7.0
147 South Carolina State over 199 Florida A&M 24.5 to 7.0
35 Texas Christian over 140 Army 35.0 to 10.5
10 Georgia over 100 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
88 Western Kentucky over 158 Southwest Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
142 Youngstown State over 208 Western Illinois 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
14 North Carolina State over 38 Clemson 28.0 to 17.5
58 Air Force over 124 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 17.5
6 Auburn over 56 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
236 Butler over 238 Valparaiso 31.5 to 21.0
29 California over 48 Oregon State 31.5 to 24.5
108 Central Michigan over 130 Ohio 21.0 to 14.0
37 Connecticut over 135 Cincinnati 35.0 to 17.5
31 Georgia Tech over 116 Duke 28.0 to 14.0
129 Eastern Kentucky over 186 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
188 Elon over 214 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 14.0
97 Houston over 114 Memphis 35.0 to 24.5
165 Jacksonville State over 205 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 21.0
7 Louisiana State over 21 Florida 24.5 to 14.0
76 Marshall over 110 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0
137 McNeese State over 167 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 31.5
78 Miami - Ohio over 131 Akron 38.5 to 24.5
15 Alabama over 67 Mississippi 24.5 to 10.5
53 Missouri over 69 Iowa State 35.0 to 28.0
159 Monmouth over 201 Wagner 28.0 to 17.5
99 New Hampshire over 134 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
156 Nicholls State over 216 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 10.5
150 Hampton over 213 Norfolk State 31.5 to 21.0
45 William & Mary over 151 Northeastern 38.5 to 24.5
111 Troy State over 179 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
161 Northwestern State over 189 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 17.5
8 Ohio State over 26 Michigan State 28.0 to 17.5
73 Tulsa over 162 Rice 35.0 to 21.0
3 Texas over 9 Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
39 Texas A&M over 91 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 14.0
210 Texas Southern over 232 Alcorn State 28.0 to 14.0
13 Texas Tech over 54 Kansas State 45.5 to 28.0
44 Utah over 66 San Diego State 21.0 to 14.0
1 Louisville over 33 West Virginia 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
83 Texas - El Paso over 126 Tulane 21.0 to 17.5
90 Brown over 96 Princeton 24.5 to 21.0
132 Villanova over 174 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
178 Central Connecticut over 184 Robert Morris 31.5 to 28.0
113 Delaware over 115 Richmond 21.0 to 17.5
139 Florida Atlantic over 143 Middle Tennessee State 10.5 to 7.0
171 Florida International over 166 North Texas 21.0 to 17.5
141 Hawaii over 146 New Mexico State 21.0 to 17.5
226 Jacksonville over 233 Davidson 24.5 to 21.0
20 James Madison over 41 Massachusetts 14.0 to 10.5
18 Michigan over 11 Penn State 17.5 to 17.5
19 Minnesota over 30 Wisconsin 35.0 to 28.0
118 Montana over 136 Eastern Washington 21.0 to 17.5
193 Morgan State over 209 Howard 38.5 to 31.5
79 Nevada - Reno over 68 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
5 Southern California over 17 Notre Dame 28.0 to 24.5
120 Portland State over 145 Montana State 24.5 to 17.5
49 Purdue over 57 Northwestern 42.0 to 35.0
215 Samford over 221 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
127 Southern Methodist over 125 East Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
93 Southern Mississippi over 80 Central Florida 21.0 to 17.5
195 Stony Brook over 191 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 14.0
92 Syracuse over 74 Rutgers 21.0 to 17.5
123 Furman over 169 The Citadel 31.5 to 28.0
16 Florida State over 55 Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
27 California - Los Angeles over 84 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
173 Wofford over 180 Virginia Military 21.0 to 17.5
59 Wyoming over 86 New Mexico 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
229 Tennessee Tech over 223 Tennessee State 21.0 to 21.0
218 Albany over 211 Sacred Heart 17.5 to 14.0
89 Georgia Southern over 107 Appalachian State 24.5 to 24.5
85 Arizona over 63 Stanford 21.0 to 21.0
200 Grambling over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 17.5 to 17.5
34 Nebraska over 62 Baylor 14.0 to 14.0
65 Brigham Young over 51 Colorado State 28.0 to 28.0
138 Dayton over 133 San Diego 17.5 to 17.5
109 Lafayette over 101 Harvard 17.5 to 17.5
94 Lehigh over 72 Yale 17.5 to 14.0
43 Kansas over 46 Oklahoma 17.5 to 17.5
182 Delaware State over 196 North Carolina A&T 10.5 to 10.5
25 South Florida over 40 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 21.0
207 Jackson State over 220 Southern 24.5 to 24.5
122 Illinois State over 153 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
190 Weber State over 185 Sacramento State 28.0 to 24.5
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