2005 Week 8 (20-22 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  21 Clemson                   over  197 Temple                     45.5 to  3.5
 144 Dayton                    over  237 Valparaiso                 45.5 to  7.0
  79 Toledo                    over  205 Buffalo                    28.0 to  0.0

80-90% chance of victory:

 132 Coastal Carolina          over  230 Liberty                    31.5 to 10.5
   3 Virginia Tech             over   49 Maryland                   28.0 to 10.5
 229 Jacksonville              over  239 Austin Peay                35.0 to 17.5
  56 Bowling Green             over  152 Western Michigan           49.0 to 28.0
  80 Lehigh                    over  178 Bucknell                   35.0 to 17.5
  31 Colorado                  over   78 Kansas                     21.0 to  7.0
  17 Florida State             over  118 Duke                       31.5 to 14.0
  47 Miami - Ohio              over  155 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 17.5
 122 Eastern Washington        over  183 Weber State                35.0 to 17.5
 116 Furman                    over  209 Elon                       35.0 to 10.5
   9 Georgia                   over   54 Arkansas                   35.0 to 17.5
 109 Georgia Southern          over  177 The Citadel                31.5 to 14.0
  33 Fresno State              over  193 Idaho                      49.0 to 17.5
  10 Penn State                over  100 Illinois                   35.0 to 14.0
   5 Ohio State                over   81 Indiana                    35.0 to 17.5
  37 Massachusetts             over  156 Maine                      24.5 to  7.0
  40 New Hampshire             over  139 Northeastern               49.0 to 28.0
  12 Oklahoma                  over   75 Baylor                     28.0 to  7.0
  30 Pittsburgh                over  108 Syracuse                   31.5 to 10.5
 125 Portland State            over  199 Northern Arizona           35.0 to 17.5
 120 San Diego                 over  192 Drake                      38.5 to 21.0
  87 Tulsa                     over  133 Southern Methodist         28.0 to 10.5
   2 Southern California       over   86 Washington                 38.5 to 14.0
  65 William & Mary            over  166 Towson                     42.0 to 17.5
  13 Wisconsin                 over   69 Purdue                     38.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  16 Alabama                   over   29 Tennessee                  21.0 to 14.0
  24 Oregon                    over  107 Arizona                    31.5 to 17.5
 123 Arkansas State            over  167 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 17.5
  44 California                over   63 Washington State           31.5 to 21.0
  18 California - Los Angeles  over   34 Oregon State               42.0 to 31.5
   8 Louisville                over   88 Cincinnati                 49.0 to 31.5
 126 Dartmouth                 over  164 Columbia                   21.0 to 10.5
  41 James Madison             over  115 Delaware                   28.0 to 17.5
 174 Eastern Kentucky          over  219 Southeast Missouri State   35.0 to 17.5
  62 Harvard                   over   93 Princeton                  24.5 to 17.5
  68 Iowa State                over  119 Oklahoma State             24.5 to 10.5
 105 Louisiana Tech            over  160 North Texas                28.0 to 14.0
  90 Memphis                   over  124 East Carolina              31.5 to 21.0
   6 Miami - Florida           over   36 Georgia Tech               24.5 to  7.0
  27 Michigan State            over   45 Northwestern               42.0 to 35.0
  73 Mississippi               over  114 Kentucky                   28.0 to 17.5
 213 Morehead State            over  233 Davidson                   17.5 to  3.5
 135 Eastern Illinois          over  218 Murray State               35.0 to 21.0
  55 Utah                      over  138 Nevada - Las Vegas         31.5 to 17.5
  14 Notre Dame                over   59 Brigham Young              31.5 to 17.5
  57 Pennsylvania              over   89 Yale                       21.0 to 14.0
  77 Navy                      over  154 Rice                       42.0 to 31.5
  39 Hofstra                   over  101 Richmond                   21.0 to 10.5
 191 Southern                  over  222 Alcorn State               28.0 to 17.5
  23 Arizona State             over   72 Stanford                   31.5 to 21.0
 168 Jacksonville State        over  220 Tennessee State            28.0 to 14.0
   1 Texas                     over    4 Texas Tech                 42.0 to 35.0
  97 Texas State - San Marcos  over  151 Northwestern State         24.5 to 10.5
 158 Troy State                over  187 Florida International      24.5 to 14.0
  58 Boise State               over  159 Utah State                 35.0 to 21.0
 110 Villanova                 over  146 Rhode Island               31.5 to 17.5
 103 Western Kentucky          over  202 Western Illinois           45.5 to 28.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  43 Southern Mississippi      over  106 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 24.5
  60 Air Force                 over   51 Texas Christian            31.5 to 31.5
 215 Alabama A&M               over  212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      14.0 to 10.5
 112 Central Florida           over  127 Tulane                     28.0 to 21.0
 225 Charleston Southern       over  232 Savannah State             24.5 to 17.5
  53 Colorado State            over   67 Wyoming                    28.0 to 21.0
  66 Cornell                   over   71 Brown                      38.5 to 31.5
 196 Delaware State            over  194 Morgan State               21.0 to 17.5
 175 Fordham                   over  207 Georgetown                 14.0 to 10.5
 111 South Carolina State      over  149 Hampton                    17.5 to 14.0
  92 Holy Cross                over   91 Colgate                    21.0 to 17.5
 204 Howard                    over  211 North Carolina A&T         14.0 to 10.5
 104 Illinois State            over  113 Northern Iowa              35.0 to 28.0
 140 Southern Illinois         over  201 Indiana State              24.5 to 17.5
  19 Iowa                      over   11 Michigan                   21.0 to 17.5
 200 Grambling                 over  221 Jackson State              24.5 to 21.0
  20 Texas A&M                 over   76 Kansas State               42.0 to 35.0
  82 Northern Illinois         over  131 Kent State                 31.5 to 24.5
 128 Middle Tennessee State    over  157 Louisiana - Lafayette      28.0 to 17.5
  99 Mississippi State         over  117 Houston                    21.0 to 14.0
 227 Mississippi Valley State  over  228 Texas Southern             28.0 to 21.0
 182 Monmouth                  over  185 Robert Morris              21.0 to 17.5
  95 California Poly           over  134 Montana                    17.5 to 14.0
  35 Virginia                  over   85 North Carolina             28.0 to 21.0
 129 North Dakota State        over  148 California - Davis         17.5 to 14.0
 143 Ohio                      over  171 Ball State                 28.0 to 17.5
 172 Idaho State               over  208 Sacramento State           28.0 to 21.0
 198 Albany                    over  223 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   24.5 to 21.0
 165 Stephen F. Austin         over  203 Sam Houston State          28.0 to 21.0
  52 San Diego State           over   64 New Mexico                 24.5 to 17.5
 102 Hawaii                    over  136 San Jose State             35.0 to 31.5
  46 South Carolina            over   61 Vanderbilt                 28.0 to 21.0
 142 McNeese State             over  195 Southeast Louisiana        31.5 to 24.5
 179 Northern Colorado         over  210 Southern Utah              24.5 to 21.0
 216 Tennessee - Martin        over  217 Samford                    31.5 to 24.5
  84 Texas - El Paso           over   83 Marshall                   24.5 to 21.0
 186 Virginia Military         over  188 Gardner - Webb             31.5 to 28.0
  38 North Carolina State      over   74 Wake Forest                28.0 to 24.5
  98 Appalachian State         over  147 Wofford                    24.5 to 17.5
 163 Youngstown State          over  153 Southwest Missouri State   17.5 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 141 Akron                     over  130 Army                       28.0 to 24.5
  70 Connecticut               over   50 Rutgers                    21.0 to 21.0
 206 Norfolk State             over  224 Florida A&M                28.0 to 24.5
   7 Auburn                    over   22 Louisiana State            17.5 to 17.5
 162 Duquesne                  over  176 Marist                     14.0 to 14.0
  42 Missouri                  over   32 Nebraska                   24.5 to 24.5
 189 Stony Brook               over  214 Sacred Heart               21.0 to 21.0
  26 West Virginia             over   48 South Florida              24.5 to 21.0
 180 Western Carolina          over  190 Tennessee - Chattanooga    17.5 to 17.5
 184 Wagner                    over  173 Central Connecticut        21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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