ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
25 Alabama over 154 Utah State 35.0 to 3.5
187 Drake over 239 Butler 49.0 to 14.0
149 Jacksonville State over 231 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 7.0
12 Louisiana State over 176 North Texas 42.0 to 3.5
64 Northern Illinois over 180 Ball State 42.0 to 14.0
1 Texas over 124 Oklahoma State 45.5 to 7.0
130 San Diego over 237 Valparaiso 49.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
3 Virginia Tech over 20 Boston College 21.0 to 7.0
106 Appalachian State over 206 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 14.0
7 Auburn over 92 Mississippi 28.0 to 3.5
110 Bowling Green over 184 Akron 35.0 to 14.0
139 Dayton over 233 Davidson 31.5 to 10.5
160 Eastern Illinois over 226 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 17.5
183 Grambling over 229 Texas Southern 35.0 to 17.5
80 Illinois State over 199 Western Illinois 42.0 to 14.0
148 Duquesne over 234 Iona 31.5 to 7.0
116 Lafayette over 164 Bucknell 21.0 to 7.0
4 Miami - Florida over 87 North Carolina 28.0 to 3.5
143 Montana State over 222 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 14.0
45 Texas - El Paso over 157 Rice 35.0 to 14.0
2 Southern California over 63 Washington State 45.5 to 24.5
62 Miami - Ohio over 173 Temple 35.0 to 17.5
175 Western Carolina over 214 Elon 14.0 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
188 Marist over 232 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 17.5
32 Arizona State over 67 Washington 35.0 to 24.5
14 Texas Tech over 82 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5
66 Boise State over 93 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
162 Coastal Carolina over 192 Virginia Military 35.0 to 24.5
17 Florida State over 54 Maryland 28.0 to 14.0
179 Gardner - Webb over 218 Liberty 38.5 to 24.5
74 Harvard over 127 Dartmouth 24.5 to 14.0
40 Fresno State over 120 Hawaii 35.0 to 24.5
18 Wisconsin over 84 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
55 James Madison over 89 Richmond 31.5 to 17.5
8 Colorado over 86 Kansas State 35.0 to 21.0
98 Louisiana Tech over 152 San Jose State 42.0 to 28.0
47 Michigan State over 77 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
169 Alabama State over 210 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 14.0
57 Oregon State over 95 Arizona 28.0 to 17.5
13 Penn State over 49 Purdue 28.0 to 14.0
76 Princeton over 111 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
46 Rutgers over 72 Navy 28.0 to 17.5
207 Sacred Heart over 224 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 24.5
201 Samford over 227 Tennessee State 24.5 to 10.5
133 South Carolina State over 186 Delaware State 24.5 to 10.5
97 Georgia Southern over 159 South Dakota State 28.0 to 17.5
141 North Dakota State over 212 Southern Utah 24.5 to 10.5
178 Southwest Missouri State over 208 Indiana State 31.5 to 17.5
21 Tennessee over 36 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
16 Texas A&M over 43 Iowa State 38.5 to 24.5
59 William & Mary over 125 Villanova 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
48 New Mexico over 52 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0
68 Brigham Young over 70 Air Force 28.0 to 24.5
34 Pennsylvania over 71 Brown 31.5 to 28.0
131 Ohio over 189 Buffalo 17.5 to 10.5
115 California - Davis over 126 California Poly 24.5 to 21.0
174 Central Connecticut over 168 Monmouth 21.0 to 17.5
69 Colgate over 91 Lehigh 24.5 to 17.5
105 Yale over 155 Columbia 21.0 to 14.0
60 Wake Forest over 107 Duke 28.0 to 24.5
114 Holy Cross over 172 Fordham 31.5 to 21.0
42 Georgia Tech over 41 Clemson 21.0 to 17.5
220 Jackson State over 223 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 17.5
31 Missouri over 75 Kansas 31.5 to 24.5
108 Kentucky over 117 Mississippi State 21.0 to 14.0
145 Louisiana - Lafayette over 150 Troy State 21.0 to 17.5
83 Delaware over 132 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
5 Ohio State over 23 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0
140 New Mexico State over 165 Idaho 21.0 to 14.0
109 Texas State - San Marcos over 156 Nicholls State 24.5 to 21.0
196 Howard over 215 Norfolk State 21.0 to 17.5
185 Bethune - Cookman over 219 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 14.0
137 Northwestern State over 144 Northeastern 31.5 to 28.0
217 Mississippi Valley State over 235 Prairie View 24.5 to 17.5
204 Robert Morris over 202 Stony Brook 17.5 to 14.0
153 Eastern Washington over 203 Sacramento State 24.5 to 17.5
33 Texas Christian over 73 San Diego State 24.5 to 21.0
200 Southeast Missouri State over 213 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
11 California - Los Angeles over 39 Stanford 35.0 to 31.5
151 Southeast Louisiana over 198 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 28.0
100 Syracuse over 96 Cincinnati 21.0 to 17.5
190 Wagner over 194 Albany 17.5 to 17.5
123 Western Kentucky over 136 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
112 Western Michigan over 158 Kent State 28.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
101 Central Michigan over 88 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
99 Central Florida over 121 East Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
161 Middle Tennessee State over 181 Florida International 14.0 to 14.0
56 Massachusetts over 37 New Hampshire 21.0 to 17.5
170 Sam Houston State over 191 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
122 Montana over 103 Portland State 24.5 to 21.0
205 Florida A&M over 216 Morgan State 28.0 to 28.0
22 Oklahoma over 50 Nebraska 21.0 to 21.0
15 Georgia over 19 Florida 21.0 to 17.5
58 North Carolina State over 44 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
138 Northern Iowa over 128 Youngstown State 17.5 to 14.0
9 Michigan over 30 Northwestern 24.5 to 24.5
102 Marshall over 119 Tulane 21.0 to 21.0
78 Hofstra over 118 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
166 Wofford over 193 The Citadel 21.0 to 21.0
177 Weber State over 167 Idaho State 28.0 to 28.0
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