2005 Week 10 (1-5 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 155 Dayton                    over  239 Butler                     45.5 to  7.0
  64 Lehigh                    over  193 Georgetown                 38.5 to  7.0
   1 Southern California       over   59 Stanford                   42.0 to 10.5
  36 Virginia                  over  175 Temple                     35.0 to  3.5

80-90% chance of victory:

 210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  236 Prairie View               28.0 to 10.5
   2 Texas                     over   96 Baylor                     35.0 to 10.5
  34 Boise State               over  162 New Mexico State           45.5 to 17.5
  33 Clemson                   over  131 Duke                       31.5 to  7.0
  51 Harvard                   over  179 Columbia                   31.5 to 10.5
 168 Duquesne                  over  227 La Salle                   35.0 to 14.0
  12 Florida                   over   63 Vanderbilt                 31.5 to 14.0
  38 Fresno State              over  158 San Jose State             42.0 to 14.0
  27 Iowa State                over   80 Kansas State               31.5 to 14.0
   7 Auburn                    over   95 Kentucky                   31.5 to 10.5
   8 Louisiana State           over  122 Appalachian State          42.0 to 10.5
  76 Miami - Ohio              over  183 Buffalo                    35.0 to 10.5
 101 Montana                   over  206 Northern Arizona           31.5 to 14.0
   5 Ohio State                over   88 Illinois                   35.0 to  7.0
  69 Richmond                  over  200 Virginia Military          38.5 to  7.0
 128 Coastal Carolina          over  237 Savannah State             49.0 to 17.5
 165 Eastern Illinois          over  226 Tennessee State            24.5 to 10.5
 188 Drake                     over  235 Valparaiso                 38.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  28 West Virginia             over   57 Connecticut                28.0 to 17.5
  11 Louisville                over   29 Pittsburgh                 38.5 to 28.0
 190 Alabama A&M               over  222 Jackson State              31.5 to 17.5
 182 Albany                    over  205 Robert Morris              21.0 to 10.5
  19 California - Los Angeles  over   73 Arizona                    35.0 to 24.5
  83 Central Michigan          over  123 Northern Illinois          28.0 to 14.0
  22 Colorado                  over   44 Missouri                   28.0 to 17.5
 202 Florida A&M               over  217 North Carolina A&T         21.0 to 10.5
  20 Florida State             over   42 North Carolina State       28.0 to 17.5
 195 Gardner - Webb            over  225 Charleston Southern        38.5 to 24.5
  86 Georgia Southern          over  109 Furman                     42.0 to 35.0
 133 South Carolina State      over  218 Howard                     21.0 to  7.0
  26 Minnesota                 over   91 Indiana                    38.5 to 28.0
 192 Marist                    over  230 Iona                       28.0 to 17.5
  21 Alabama                   over  111 Mississippi State          21.0 to  7.0
 156 Montana State             over  207 Sacramento State           28.0 to 14.0
 177 Eastern Kentucky          over  228 Murray State               35.0 to 21.0
  68 Navy                      over  115 Tulane                     31.5 to 21.0
  47 Brigham Young             over  130 Nevada - Las Vegas         35.0 to 24.5
 146 North Dakota State        over  189 Northern Colorado          28.0 to 14.0
 157 Northeast Louisiana       over  187 Florida International      28.0 to 17.5
   9 Notre Dame                over   37 Tennessee                  28.0 to 14.0
  23 Oregon                    over   31 California                 31.5 to 21.0
  13 Penn State                over   25 Wisconsin                  28.0 to 21.0
 181 Monmouth                  over  223 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   31.5 to 21.0
 173 South Dakota State        over  212 Southern Utah              35.0 to 17.5
  98 Southern Illinois         over  144 Youngstown State           21.0 to 10.5
 108 California - Davis        over  197 Stephen F. Austin          31.5 to 17.5
 203 Samford                   over  233 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to 21.0
  66 Texas - El Paso           over   89 Tulsa                      24.5 to 17.5
 124 Texas State - San Marcos  over  184 McNeese State              35.0 to 21.0
   3 Texas Tech                over   41 Texas A&M                  42.0 to 21.0
  94 Villanova                 over  166 Towson                     31.5 to 21.0
   4 Virginia Tech             over   10 Miami - Florida            21.0 to 14.0
  17 Arizona State             over   75 Washington State           42.0 to 31.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  92 Memphis                   over  107 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 28.0
  87 Toledo                    over  143 Ohio                       31.5 to 24.5
  82 Air Force                 over  102 Army                       28.0 to 21.0
 221 Alcorn State              over  216 Mississippi Valley State   24.5 to 21.0
 125 California Poly           over  132 Eastern Washington         28.0 to 21.0
  84 Central Florida           over   97 Houston                    28.0 to 21.0
 105 Cornell                   over  150 Dartmouth                  24.5 to 21.0
  58 Massachusetts             over  104 Delaware                   21.0 to 17.5
 152 Fordham                   over  151 Bucknell                   24.5 to 21.0
  45 Georgia Tech              over   46 Wake Forest                21.0 to 17.5
 141 Portland State            over  185 Idaho State                31.5 to 28.0
 159 Western Illinois          over  209 Indiana State              28.0 to 21.0
  50 Kansas                    over   54 Nebraska                   17.5 to 14.0
 119 Nevada - Reno             over  113 Hawaii                     31.5 to 28.0
  24 Boston College            over   70 North Carolina             21.0 to 14.0
 136 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  186 North Texas                28.0 to 24.5
  15 Iowa                      over   55 Northwestern               28.0 to 24.5
 149 Northwestern State        over  129 Nicholls State             21.0 to 17.5
  62 Pennsylvania              over   71 Princeton                  24.5 to 21.0
  56 Rutgers                   over   43 South Florida              21.0 to 21.0
 170 Central Connecticut       over  204 Sacred Heart               31.5 to 24.5
 135 Southern Methodist        over  137 Rice                       28.0 to 24.5
 194 Stony Brook               over  208 Wagner                     28.0 to 21.0
 201 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  199 The Citadel                28.0 to 24.5
 196 Southeast Missouri State  over  219 Tennessee - Martin         28.0 to 24.5
  30 Texas Christian           over   40 Colorado State             31.5 to 24.5
 215 Southern                  over  234 Texas Southern             28.0 to 21.0
  52 Utah                      over   65 Wyoming                    31.5 to 24.5
 106 Louisiana Tech            over  147 Utah State                 24.5 to 21.0
  77 Washington                over   74 Oregon State               24.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 171 Grambling                 over  191 Alabama State              31.5 to 31.5
  49 Arkansas                  over   32 South Carolina             28.0 to 28.0
 103 Akron                     over  140 Ball State                 24.5 to 21.0
 174 Bethune - Cookman         over  153 Hampton                    21.0 to 21.0
 112 Western Michigan          over  139 Eastern Michigan           28.0 to 24.5
  61 Hofstra                   over   39 New Hampshire              35.0 to 35.0
 121 Bowling Green             over  167 Kent State                 24.5 to 21.0
 116 Lafayette                 over  100 Colgate                    21.0 to 21.0
 127 Arkansas State            over  154 Middle Tennessee State     17.5 to 17.5
 213 Norfolk State             over  220 Morgan State               31.5 to 31.5
 110 Maine                     over  142 Northeastern               28.0 to 24.5
  18 Michigan State            over   35 Purdue                     28.0 to 28.0
 180 Sam Houston State         over  161 Southeast Louisiana        28.0 to 28.0
 134 Illinois State            over  176 Southwest Missouri State   31.5 to 28.0
 160 Troy State                over  148 Florida Atlantic           14.0 to 14.0
 145 Wofford                   over  169 Western Carolina           17.5 to 17.5
 138 Western Kentucky          over  117 Northern Iowa              21.0 to 21.0
  67 James Madison             over   93 William & Mary             24.5 to 24.5
  81 Yale                      over   60 Brown                      21.0 to 17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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