2005 Week 12 (15-19 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 144 Hampton                   over  236 Savannah State             42.0 to  7.0
  61 Navy                      over  184 Temple                     38.5 to 10.5
  13 Notre Dame                over  130 Syracuse                   38.5 to  7.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  48 Boise State               over  149 Idaho                      42.0 to 17.5
 129 California Poly           over  193 Idaho State                35.0 to 21.0
  69 Brown                     over  173 Columbia                   31.5 to 14.0
 187 Delaware State            over  217 Howard                     21.0 to  7.0
 112 Appalachian State         over  214 Elon                       24.5 to  7.0
 102 Colgate                   over  215 Georgetown                 24.5 to  7.0
  51 James Madison             over  141 Towson                     38.5 to 14.0
   7 Miami - Florida           over   46 Georgia Tech               24.5 to  7.0
   5 Louisiana State           over   93 Mississippi                24.5 to  7.0
  33 New Hampshire             over  115 Maine                      35.0 to 14.0
 127 Nicholls State            over  182 McNeese State              38.5 to 21.0
 117 South Carolina State      over  223 North Carolina A&T         35.0 to  7.0
  42 North Carolina State      over  138 Middle Tennessee State     31.5 to 10.5
  19 Oregon                    over   58 Oregon State               35.0 to 17.5
 145 San Diego                 over  222 Morehead State             35.0 to 14.0
   2 Southern California       over   28 Fresno State               31.5 to 10.5
  21 South Florida             over  128 Cincinnati                 31.5 to  3.5
 106 Texas State - San Marcos  over  196 Sam Houston State          35.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  59 Miami - Ohio              over   92 Bowling Green              35.0 to 28.0
  71 Toledo                    over   94 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 21.0
  81 Army                      over  146 Arkansas State             31.5 to 14.0
   8 Auburn                    over   37 Alabama                    24.5 to 10.5
 150 Coastal Carolina          over  212 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 21.0
  16 Georgia                   over   74 Kentucky                   35.0 to 17.5
  85 Houston                   over  134 Southern Methodist         28.0 to 14.0
  25 Purdue                    over   83 Indiana                    31.5 to 21.0
 152 Jacksonville State        over  176 Eastern Illinois           24.5 to 14.0
  52 Lehigh                    over   96 Lafayette                  24.5 to 14.0
 103 Marshall                  over  147 East Carolina              31.5 to 17.5
  56 Arkansas                  over  118 Mississippi State          21.0 to 10.5
  84 Colorado State            over  160 Nevada - Las Vegas         28.0 to 17.5
  55 New Mexico                over   88 Air Force                  35.0 to 24.5
  63 North Carolina            over  122 Duke                       28.0 to 14.0
 123 Northern Iowa             over  180 Northern Arizona           31.5 to 14.0
 190 Alabama A&M               over  230 Prairie View               21.0 to 10.5
 121 Rhode Island              over  139 Northeastern               35.0 to 24.5
 142 Duquesne                  over  213 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   31.5 to 21.0
  45 San Diego State           over   97 Wyoming                    24.5 to 14.0
  65 Southern Mississippi      over  107 Memphis                    35.0 to 21.0
  34 Tennessee                 over   89 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 17.5
 114 Furman                    over  200 Tennessee - Chattanooga    42.0 to 28.0
 171 Eastern Kentucky          over  226 Tennessee State            24.5 to 14.0
  54 Texas - El Paso           over  101 Alabama - Birmingham       28.0 to 17.5
  64 Tulsa                     over  148 Tulane                     31.5 to 21.0
 109 Nevada - Reno             over  170 Utah State                 31.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 136 Akron                     over  137 Ohio                       24.5 to 21.0
  72 Baylor                    over   67 Oklahoma State             14.0 to 10.5
  41 Brigham Young             over   49 Utah                       31.5 to 24.5
  95 Princeton                 over  133 Dartmouth                  17.5 to 14.0
 119 Eastern Washington        over  132 California - Davis         24.5 to 17.5
 177 Fordham                   over  189 Albany                     14.0 to 10.5
 158 Wofford                   over  202 Gardner - Webb             24.5 to 21.0
  60 Hofstra                   over   77 Massachusetts              24.5 to 17.5
  73 Northwestern              over  124 Illinois                   28.0 to 24.5
  12 Iowa                      over   14 Minnesota                  24.5 to 21.0
 220 Alcorn State              over  233 Jackson State              28.0 to 24.5
  18 Boston College            over   50 Maryland                   21.0 to 17.5
   3 Ohio State                over   11 Michigan                   21.0 to 17.5
   9 Penn State                over   39 Michigan State             28.0 to 21.0
 113 Montana                   over  165 Montana State              24.5 to 17.5
 174 Bethune - Cookman         over  204 Florida A&M                31.5 to 21.0
 221 Norfolk State             over  229 Liberty                    31.5 to 21.0
 155 Northwestern State        over  168 Stephen F. Austin          24.5 to 17.5
 100 Central Florida           over  135 Rice                       31.5 to 28.0
  87 Richmond                  over   98 William & Mary             24.5 to 17.5
 154 San Jose State            over  164 New Mexico State           31.5 to 24.5
 162 South Dakota State        over  179 Northern Colorado          24.5 to 17.5
 111 Southern Illinois         over  104 North Dakota State         24.5 to 17.5
 219 Tennessee - Martin        over  210 Murray State               24.5 to 21.0
  24 Texas Tech                over   20 Oklahoma                   31.5 to 28.0
   6 Virginia Tech             over   30 Virginia                   24.5 to 17.5
  53 Washington                over   57 Washington State           24.5 to 21.0
  40 Harvard                   over   79 Yale                       17.5 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 120 Central Michigan          over  143 Ball State                 28.0 to 24.5
 126 Holy Cross                over  151 Bucknell                   24.5 to 21.0
 178 Buffalo                   over  157 Eastern Michigan           17.5 to 17.5
 163 Western Kentucky          over  191 Florida International      21.0 to 21.0
  43 Missouri                  over   76 Kansas State               31.5 to 28.0
 198 Marist                    over  188 Stony Brook                24.5 to 24.5
 192 Southeast Louisiana       over  207 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to 31.5
 167 North Texas               over  153 Northeast Louisiana        28.0 to 28.0
  90 Pennsylvania              over   70 Cornell                    24.5 to 21.0
  23 Clemson                   over   38 South Carolina             24.5 to 21.0
 209 Southern Utah             over  195 Weber State                21.0 to 21.0
  44 Stanford                  over   31 California                 21.0 to 17.5
 218 Tennessee Tech            over  205 Southeast Missouri State   31.5 to 31.5
 225 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  234 Texas Southern             17.5 to 17.5
  80 Delaware                  over  116 Villanova                  21.0 to 21.0
 197 Virginia Military         over  181 The Citadel                21.0 to 17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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