2005 Week 13 (21-26 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  22 Arizona State             over   67 Arizona                    35.0 to 21.0
   1 Texas                     over   40 Texas A&M                  42.0 to 24.5
   4 Louisville                over   98 Syracuse                   45.5 to 14.0
  20 Oklahoma                  over   73 Oklahoma State             35.0 to 14.0
  83 Southern Mississippi      over  139 Tulane                     35.0 to 17.5
   5 Virginia Tech             over   84 North Carolina             35.0 to  7.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  62 Bowling Green             over   96 Toledo                     28.0 to 17.5
  61 Northern Illinois         over  110 Western Michigan           38.5 to 24.5
 109 Akron                     over  163 Kent State                 24.5 to 14.0
  25 Colorado                  over   58 Nebraska                   28.0 to 17.5
  28 Wisconsin                 over  101 Hawaii                     35.0 to 24.5
  12 Louisiana State           over   38 Arkansas                   28.0 to 17.5
 154 California - Davis        over  187 Northern Colorado          21.0 to 10.5
 118 Furman                    over  138 Nicholls State             42.0 to 31.5
  53 Richmond                  over  147 Hampton                    24.5 to 10.5
 115 Houston                   over  149 Rice                       35.0 to 24.5
  34 Boise State               over  112 Louisiana Tech             42.0 to 31.5
  77 Memphis                   over  113 Marshall                   28.0 to 17.5
  13 Miami - Florida           over   39 Virginia                   24.5 to 14.0
  21 Fresno State              over  102 Nevada - Reno              38.5 to 24.5
 142 San Jose State            over  175 Idaho                      38.5 to 28.0
  17 Notre Dame                over   99 Stanford                   28.0 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  92 Miami - Ohio              over  146 Ohio                       28.0 to 21.0
  16 West Virginia             over   23 Pittsburgh                 21.0 to 14.0
  65 Lafayette                 over  122 Appalachian State          21.0 to 17.5
  72 Alabama - Birmingham      over  123 East Carolina              31.5 to 24.5
  26 Florida                   over   32 Florida State              28.0 to 24.5
 161 Florida International     over  155 Florida Atlantic           21.0 to 21.0
  43 Tennessee                 over  100 Kentucky                   28.0 to 21.0
  87 Mississippi               over  135 Mississippi State          14.0 to 10.5
  48 New Hampshire             over   82 Colgate                    35.0 to 24.5
 169 New Mexico State          over  168 Utah State                 21.0 to 17.5
  41 North Carolina State      over   51 Maryland                   24.5 to 17.5
 152 Northeast Louisiana       over  140 Louisiana - Lafayette      31.5 to 31.5
 174 Grambling                 over  202 Southern                   28.0 to 21.0
  81 Rutgers                   over   90 Cincinnati                 24.5 to 17.5
  85 Georgia Southern          over  126 Texas State - San Marcos   28.0 to 24.5
 131 Troy State                over  132 Middle Tennessee State     14.0 to 10.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 232 Prairie View              over  235 Texas Southern             17.5 to 17.5
  44 South Florida             over   71 Connecticut                21.0 to 21.0
 125 Southern Illinois         over  145 Eastern Illinois           17.5 to 17.5
  11 Georgia                   over   30 Georgia Tech               17.5 to 17.5
  29 Iowa State                over   59 Kansas                     21.0 to 17.5
 130 Montana                   over  117 California Poly            17.5 to 17.5
 124 Northern Iowa             over  107 Eastern Washington         28.0 to 28.0
 159 Arkansas State            over  188 North Texas                21.0 to 21.0
 114 Southern Methodist        over   93 Texas - El Paso            21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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