2005 Week 14 (2-3 Dec) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  40 Fresno State              over  108 Louisiana Tech             35.0 to 17.5
  30 New Hampshire             over  117 Northern Iowa              45.5 to 28.0
   4 Virginia Tech             over   42 Florida State              28.0 to 10.5
   1 Texas                     over   49 Colorado                   35.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

 162 Grambling                 over  222 Alcorn State               35.0 to 24.5
   7 Louisville                over   59 Connecticut                35.0 to 24.5
  69 Richmond                  over  135 Furman                     31.5 to 17.5
   2 Southern California       over   29 California - Los Angeles   45.5 to 28.0
   8 West Virginia             over   51 South Florida              24.5 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  55 San Diego State           over  107 Hawaii                     28.0 to 21.0
   5 Georgia                   over   19 Louisiana State            17.5 to 10.5
  74 Navy                      over   90 Army                       28.0 to 24.5
  92 Texas State - San Marcos  over  119 California Poly            31.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  98 Appalachian State         over   85 Southern Illinois          21.0 to 17.5
  96 Central Florida           over   83 Tulsa                      24.5 to 21.0
 134 Florida International     over  118 Middle Tennessee State     21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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