2006 Week 1 (31 Aug - 4 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:


80-90% chance of victory:

  25 Arkansas                  over  166 Utah State                 38.5 to  3.5
  19 California - Los Angeles  over  144 Rice                       49.0 to 17.5
  42 Georgia Tech              over  208 Samford                    45.5 to  3.5
  35 Kansas                    over  164 Northeast Louisiana        42.0 to 10.5
  80 Kansas State              over  187 Florida Atlantic           38.5 to 10.5
  34 Miami - Florida           over  220 Florida A&M                45.5 to  0.0
  74 Michigan State            over  177 Eastern Michigan           38.5 to 14.0
  13 Nebraska                  over  127 Nicholls State             45.5 to 10.5
  82 Southern Mississippi      over  193 Southeast Louisiana        38.5 to 10.5
   8 Louisville                over  195 Temple                     56.0 to 10.5
  33 Texas A&M                 over  150 Louisiana - Lafayette      42.0 to 14.0
  16 West Virginia             over  167 Eastern Washington         52.5 to 14.0
  30 Wisconsin                 over  162 Western Illinois           42.0 to  7.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 120 Albany                    over  197 Fordham                    24.5 to  3.5
 105 Baylor                    over  158 Northwestern State         28.0 to 10.5
 200 Bethune - Cookman         over  233 Savannah State             38.5 to 21.0
  61 Bowling Green             over  174 Buffalo                    28.0 to  3.5
  14 Florida                   over   84 Central Florida            38.5 to 14.0
  11 Florida State             over   70 Troy State                 24.5 to  3.5
   4 Oregon                    over   48 Fresno State               35.0 to 21.0
  95 Georgia Southern          over  139 Central Connecticut        35.0 to 17.5
 143 Hampton                   over  207 Howard                     28.0 to  7.0
  94 Houston                   over  133 Tulane                     31.5 to 17.5
   7 Louisiana State           over   40 Arizona                    21.0 to  3.5
  39 Maryland                  over  136 Middle Tennessee State     21.0 to  3.5
 103 Memphis                   over  170 Tennessee - Chattanooga    35.0 to 17.5
  17 Michigan                  over   89 Central Michigan           35.0 to 10.5
   6 Auburn                    over  198 Mississippi State          28.0 to  3.5
 161 Monmouth                  over  231 Morgan State               28.0 to  3.5
   2 Virginia Tech             over   98 North Carolina             28.0 to  7.0
  60 Northern Illinois         over  135 Ohio                       28.0 to 10.5
  31 Oklahoma                  over   93 Washington                 31.5 to 14.0
  44 Portland State            over  194 Northern Colorado          35.0 to  3.5
  59 Purdue                    over  132 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 14.0
  41 Rutgers                   over   85 Illinois                   31.5 to 17.5
  54 South Florida             over  145 Florida International      31.5 to  7.0
  20 Iowa                      over  107 Syracuse                   28.0 to 10.5
  22 Tennessee                 over   73 Air Force                  38.5 to 17.5
  12 Texas Christian           over  126 California - Davis         31.5 to  3.5
  58 Utah                      over  154 Northern Arizona           28.0 to  7.0
  69 Wake Forest               over  215 Duke                       31.5 to  0.0
  79 Washington State          over  124 Idaho                      35.0 to 21.0
 138 Wofford                   over  191 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  10 Pittsburgh                over   56 Cincinnati                 21.0 to 10.5
  29 Alabama                   over   63 Vanderbilt                 21.0 to 10.5
  67 Alabama - Birmingham      over  111 East Carolina              31.5 to 17.5
  38 James Madison             over   99 Appalachian State          24.5 to 17.5
  51 Arizona State             over   88 Nevada - Reno              35.0 to 24.5
 131 Army                      over  206 Kent State                 10.5 to  0.0
  65 Indiana                   over  119 Ball State                 31.5 to 24.5
  49 California                over   83 Minnesota                  28.0 to 17.5
 160 Delaware State            over  188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   24.5 to 14.0
 142 Western Kentucky          over  201 Eastern Kentucky           24.5 to 14.0
 204 Gardner - Webb            over  232 Tennessee Tech             28.0 to 10.5
 130 Holy Cross                over  155 Northeastern               28.0 to 17.5
  37 Iowa State                over   66 Nevada - Las Vegas         35.0 to 24.5
 106 Kentucky                  over  108 Texas State - San Marcos   31.5 to 24.5
  62 Missouri                  over   77 Mississippi                28.0 to 21.0
 121 Montana                   over  148 South Dakota State         24.5 to 17.5
  46 Oklahoma State            over  112 Arkansas State             24.5 to 14.0
  81 Colorado State            over  109 Colorado                   17.5 to 14.0
  36 North Carolina State      over   86 Akron                      24.5 to 14.0
  23 Northwestern              over   45 New Hampshire              28.0 to 14.0
  21 Notre Dame                over   24 Penn State                 24.5 to 17.5
 169 Duquesne                  over  196 Robert Morris              28.0 to 24.5
   9 Georgia                   over   50 South Carolina             28.0 to 17.5
   1 Texas                     over    5 Ohio State                 31.5 to 21.0
  15 Texas Tech                over   53 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 24.5
 171 The Citadel               over  209 Charleston Southern        24.5 to 10.5
 140 Villanova                 over  156 Lehigh                     28.0 to 21.0
 203 Wagner                    over  230 Iona                       24.5 to 10.5
 113 California Poly           over  179 Weber State                24.5 to 14.0
  55 Toledo                    over  134 Western Michigan           45.5 to 35.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  32 Boise State               over   28 Oregon State               31.5 to 28.0
 186 Alabama A&M               over  183 Grambling                  31.5 to 28.0
 221 Alabama State             over  222 Texas Southern             21.0 to 17.5
 213 Alcorn State              over  235 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      10.5 to  7.0
  26 Boston College            over   18 Clemson                    24.5 to 24.5
  64 Brigham Young             over   47 Tulsa                      21.0 to 21.0
 125 Lafayette                 over  153 Bucknell                   24.5 to 21.0
 184 Eastern Illinois          over  180 Indiana State              35.0 to 31.5
 141 Towson                    over  172 Elon                       14.0 to 14.0
 185 Georgetown                over  175 Stony Brook                10.5 to  7.0
 190 Sacred Heart              over  217 Marist                     21.0 to 17.5
  92 Hofstra                   over  123 Marshall                   21.0 to 17.5
  43 Massachusetts             over   71 Navy                       21.0 to 21.0
 149 New Mexico State          over  152 New Mexico                 17.5 to 14.0
 211 Norfolk State             over  205 Virginia Military          31.5 to 28.0
 115 Southern Methodist        over  146 North Texas                17.5 to 17.5
 104 Stanford                  over  129 San Jose State             31.5 to 31.5
 178 Southern                  over  181 Mississippi Valley State   21.0 to 17.5
 223 Tennessee State           over  214 Murray State               21.0 to 21.0
  68 Virginia                  over   52 Wyoming                    24.5 to 24.5
 128 Youngstown State          over  117 Maine                      17.5 to 14.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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