ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
25 Arkansas over 166 Utah State 38.5 to 3.5
19 California - Los Angeles over 144 Rice 49.0 to 17.5
42 Georgia Tech over 208 Samford 45.5 to 3.5
35 Kansas over 164 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 10.5
80 Kansas State over 187 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 10.5
34 Miami - Florida over 220 Florida A&M 45.5 to 0.0
74 Michigan State over 177 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
13 Nebraska over 127 Nicholls State 45.5 to 10.5
82 Southern Mississippi over 193 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 10.5
8 Louisville over 195 Temple 56.0 to 10.5
33 Texas A&M over 150 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 14.0
16 West Virginia over 167 Eastern Washington 52.5 to 14.0
30 Wisconsin over 162 Western Illinois 42.0 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
120 Albany over 197 Fordham 24.5 to 3.5
105 Baylor over 158 Northwestern State 28.0 to 10.5
200 Bethune - Cookman over 233 Savannah State 38.5 to 21.0
61 Bowling Green over 174 Buffalo 28.0 to 3.5
14 Florida over 84 Central Florida 38.5 to 14.0
11 Florida State over 70 Troy State 24.5 to 3.5
4 Oregon over 48 Fresno State 35.0 to 21.0
95 Georgia Southern over 139 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
143 Hampton over 207 Howard 28.0 to 7.0
94 Houston over 133 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
7 Louisiana State over 40 Arizona 21.0 to 3.5
39 Maryland over 136 Middle Tennessee State 21.0 to 3.5
103 Memphis over 170 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 17.5
17 Michigan over 89 Central Michigan 35.0 to 10.5
6 Auburn over 198 Mississippi State 28.0 to 3.5
161 Monmouth over 231 Morgan State 28.0 to 3.5
2 Virginia Tech over 98 North Carolina 28.0 to 7.0
60 Northern Illinois over 135 Ohio 28.0 to 10.5
31 Oklahoma over 93 Washington 31.5 to 14.0
44 Portland State over 194 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 3.5
59 Purdue over 132 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 14.0
41 Rutgers over 85 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
54 South Florida over 145 Florida International 31.5 to 7.0
20 Iowa over 107 Syracuse 28.0 to 10.5
22 Tennessee over 73 Air Force 38.5 to 17.5
12 Texas Christian over 126 California - Davis 31.5 to 3.5
58 Utah over 154 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 7.0
69 Wake Forest over 215 Duke 31.5 to 0.0
79 Washington State over 124 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
138 Wofford over 191 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
10 Pittsburgh over 56 Cincinnati 21.0 to 10.5
29 Alabama over 63 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 10.5
67 Alabama - Birmingham over 111 East Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
38 James Madison over 99 Appalachian State 24.5 to 17.5
51 Arizona State over 88 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
131 Army over 206 Kent State 10.5 to 0.0
65 Indiana over 119 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
49 California over 83 Minnesota 28.0 to 17.5
160 Delaware State over 188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 14.0
142 Western Kentucky over 201 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 14.0
204 Gardner - Webb over 232 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 10.5
130 Holy Cross over 155 Northeastern 28.0 to 17.5
37 Iowa State over 66 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
106 Kentucky over 108 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 24.5
62 Missouri over 77 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
121 Montana over 148 South Dakota State 24.5 to 17.5
46 Oklahoma State over 112 Arkansas State 24.5 to 14.0
81 Colorado State over 109 Colorado 17.5 to 14.0
36 North Carolina State over 86 Akron 24.5 to 14.0
23 Northwestern over 45 New Hampshire 28.0 to 14.0
21 Notre Dame over 24 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
169 Duquesne over 196 Robert Morris 28.0 to 24.5
9 Georgia over 50 South Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
1 Texas over 5 Ohio State 31.5 to 21.0
15 Texas Tech over 53 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
171 The Citadel over 209 Charleston Southern 24.5 to 10.5
140 Villanova over 156 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0
203 Wagner over 230 Iona 24.5 to 10.5
113 California Poly over 179 Weber State 24.5 to 14.0
55 Toledo over 134 Western Michigan 45.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
32 Boise State over 28 Oregon State 31.5 to 28.0
186 Alabama A&M over 183 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
221 Alabama State over 222 Texas Southern 21.0 to 17.5
213 Alcorn State over 235 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 10.5 to 7.0
26 Boston College over 18 Clemson 24.5 to 24.5
64 Brigham Young over 47 Tulsa 21.0 to 21.0
125 Lafayette over 153 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
184 Eastern Illinois over 180 Indiana State 35.0 to 31.5
141 Towson over 172 Elon 14.0 to 14.0
185 Georgetown over 175 Stony Brook 10.5 to 7.0
190 Sacred Heart over 217 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
92 Hofstra over 123 Marshall 21.0 to 17.5
43 Massachusetts over 71 Navy 21.0 to 21.0
149 New Mexico State over 152 New Mexico 17.5 to 14.0
211 Norfolk State over 205 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0
115 Southern Methodist over 146 North Texas 17.5 to 17.5
104 Stanford over 129 San Jose State 31.5 to 31.5
178 Southern over 181 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 17.5
223 Tennessee State over 214 Murray State 21.0 to 21.0
68 Virginia over 52 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
128 Youngstown State over 117 Maine 17.5 to 14.0
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