2006 Week 3 (14-16 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  97 Arizona                   over  200 Stephen F. Austin          38.5 to  7.0
  77 Illinois State            over  181 Eastern Illinois           42.0 to 14.0
 161 Monmouth                  over  239 Saint Peter's              35.0 to  0.0
  19 New Hampshire             over  185 Stony Brook                42.0 to  3.5
  45 Northwestern              over  195 Eastern Michigan           45.5 to  7.0
  68 Oklahoma State            over  201 Florida Atlantic           35.0 to  3.5
   8 Virginia Tech             over  235 Duke                       35.0 to  0.0

80-90% chance of victory:

 129 Middle Tennessee State    over  222 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to  3.5
 197 Samford                   over  236 Austin Peay                38.5 to 10.5
  11 West Virginia             over   55 Maryland                   28.0 to  7.0
  29 Alabama                   over  139 Northeast Louisiana        28.0 to  3.5
  76 Brown                     over  174 Georgetown                 28.0 to  3.5
 202 Robert Morris             over  237 Butler                     31.5 to 10.5
  27 Connecticut               over  150 Wake Forest                45.5 to 14.0
 146 Duquesne                  over  219 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   38.5 to 17.5
   7 Georgia                   over   93 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to  7.0
 128 Hampton                   over  208 North Carolina A&T         35.0 to 10.5
  59 Harvard                   over  136 Holy Cross                 35.0 to 17.5
  66 Houston                   over  171 Grambling                  45.5 to 17.5
 157 Idaho                     over  213 Idaho State                38.5 to 21.0
  15 Iowa                      over   69 Iowa State                 38.5 to 17.5
 148 Jacksonville State        over  225 Southeast Missouri State   28.0 to  7.0
   3 Louisville                over   37 Miami - Florida            35.0 to 14.0
  79 Montana State             over  144 California - Davis         28.0 to 10.5
 153 New Mexico State          over  216 Texas Southern             31.5 to 14.0
  86 Northern Illinois         over  175 Buffalo                    38.5 to 14.0
 119 Northern Iowa             over  186 South Dakota State         28.0 to 10.5
 167 Southern                  over  233 Prairie View               35.0 to 14.0
  35 Texas A&M                 over  134 Army                       31.5 to 10.5
   1 Ohio State                over   48 Cincinnati                 24.5 to  3.5
   9 Oregon                    over   30 Oklahoma                   35.0 to 21.0
  17 Pittsburgh                over   80 Michigan State             38.5 to 17.5
  65 Purdue                    over  125 Ball State                 45.5 to 28.0
   6 Texas                     over  102 Rice                       38.5 to 14.0
  51 Richmond                  over  215 Virginia Military          38.5 to  3.5
  31 Rutgers                   over  113 Ohio                       28.0 to  7.0
  67 California Poly           over  209 Sacramento State           24.5 to  3.5
 140 Towson                    over  228 Liberty                    31.5 to  7.0
  40 Utah                      over  141 Utah State                 28.0 to 10.5
  57 Massachusetts             over  154 Villanova                  28.0 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  89 Cornell                   over  187 Bucknell                   31.5 to 14.0
  16 California                over   49 Portland State             28.0 to 10.5
 109 Colgate                   over  138 Dartmouth                  21.0 to 10.5
  36 Arizona State             over  105 Colorado                   28.0 to 17.5
  96 Delaware                  over  166 Albany                     24.5 to  3.5
  50 Georgia Tech              over   85 Troy State                 14.0 to  7.0
  52 Indiana                   over  120 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 14.0
 183 Indiana State             over  221 Murray State               38.5 to 24.5
  60 Kentucky                  over  123 Mississippi                31.5 to 17.5
 130 Louisiana Tech            over  163 Nicholls State             35.0 to 21.0
 191 Marist                    over  205 Wagner                     21.0 to 14.0
  99 Miami - Ohio              over  160 Kent State                 24.5 to  7.0
  62 Minnesota                 over  149 Temple                     17.5 to  0.0
 220 Morehead State            over  234 Valparaiso                 31.5 to 10.5
  83 North Carolina            over  122 Furman                     28.0 to 14.0
 116 Delaware State            over  182 Northwestern State         38.5 to 31.5
  33 Penn State                over   94 Youngstown State           28.0 to 14.0
 198 Sacred Heart              over  226 Iona                       24.5 to  7.0
  23 South Carolina            over  164 Wofford                    35.0 to  3.5
 206 Southeast Louisiana       over  230 Jacksonville               21.0 to 10.5
   5 Southern California       over   12 Nebraska                   28.0 to 21.0
 168 Texas State - San Marcos  over  212 Northern Colorado          24.5 to  7.0
  84 Tulsa                     over  133 North Texas                31.5 to 17.5
 189 Weber State               over  214 Southern Utah              21.0 to  7.0
 147 Western Kentucky          over  180 Tennessee - Chattanooga    31.5 to 21.0
  98 William & Mary            over  145 Maine                      35.0 to 17.5
  46 Wisconsin                 over   87 San Diego State            24.5 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 203 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  227 Alabama State              17.5 to 10.5
  26 Boston College            over   34 Brigham Young              31.5 to 24.5
 162 Columbia                  over  165 Fordham                    17.5 to 14.0
 104 East Carolina             over  100 Memphis                    24.5 to 21.0
 124 Florida International     over  126 Bowling Green              38.5 to 31.5
 137 Georgia Southern          over  159 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 24.5
  78 Hawaii                    over   71 Nevada - Las Vegas         28.0 to 24.5
 204 Florida A&M               over  232 Howard                     28.0 to 21.0
 118 Illinois                  over  108 Syracuse                   17.5 to 17.5
  54 Kansas State              over   64 Marshall                   38.5 to 28.0
  75 Princeton                 over  132 Lehigh                     28.0 to 21.0
 176 Mississippi State         over  192 Tulane                     10.5 to  3.5
  44 Missouri                  over  103 New Mexico                 28.0 to 21.0
 111 North Dakota State        over  135 Northeastern               21.0 to 10.5
  10 Notre Dame                over   14 Michigan                   28.0 to 21.0
 218 Tennessee State           over  229 Jackson State              21.0 to 17.5
  18 Washington State          over   42 Baylor                     28.0 to 21.0
 156 South Carolina State      over  151 Bethune - Cookman          28.0 to 24.5
 155 Southern Methodist        over  172 Sam Houston State          21.0 to 14.0
  39 Southern Mississippi      over   47 North Carolina State       21.0 to 10.5
  63 Navy                      over  114 Stanford                   31.5 to 28.0
   4 Florida                   over   21 Tennessee                  24.5 to 17.5
  24 Texas Christian           over   22 Texas Tech                 28.0 to 24.5
  74 Virginia                  over   92 Western Michigan           24.5 to 17.5
  41 Fresno State              over   91 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0
 158 Western Carolina          over  194 Eastern Kentucky           17.5 to  7.0
  20 Boise State               over   53 Wyoming                    24.5 to 21.0
 101 Yale                      over  142 San Diego                  31.5 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  81 Kansas                    over  110 Toledo                     28.0 to 28.0
   2 Louisiana State           over   13 Auburn                     21.0 to 17.5
  72 South Florida             over  106 Central Florida            21.0 to 17.5
  95 Central Michigan          over   73 Akron                      28.0 to 28.0
  32 Florida State             over   25 Clemson                    28.0 to 28.0
  90 Pennsylvania              over  115 Lafayette                  14.0 to 10.5
 188 Alabama A&M               over  210 Mississippi Valley State   21.0 to 17.5
  82 Colorado State            over  117 Nevada - Reno              28.0 to 24.5
 217 Tennessee - Martin        over  199 Gardner - Webb             21.0 to 21.0
  58 Vanderbilt                over   38 Arkansas                   17.5 to 14.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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