ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
11 Clemson over 136 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 14.0
41 Hawaii over 176 Eastern Illinois 49.0 to 14.0
3 Louisiana State over 128 Mississippi State 28.0 to 0.0
131 Central Connecticut over 238 Saint Peter's 45.5 to 7.0
84 Southern Illinois over 210 Indiana State 52.5 to 21.0
8 Texas over 186 Sam Houston State 52.5 to 3.5
73 Vanderbilt over 194 Temple 31.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
78 Appalachian State over 170 Elon 24.5 to 3.5
166 Tennessee - Martin over 235 Austin Peay 35.0 to 14.0
29 Boston College over 123 Maine 35.0 to 10.5
49 California - Los Angeles over 117 Stanford 28.0 to 14.0
124 California Poly over 199 Southern Utah 24.5 to 3.5
75 San Diego over 214 Davidson 42.0 to 14.0
193 Drake over 231 Morehead State 28.0 to 10.5
147 Eastern Washington over 223 Sacramento State 35.0 to 14.0
5 Florida over 31 Alabama 24.5 to 10.5
116 Holy Cross over 180 Fordham 21.0 to 3.5
47 Iowa State over 99 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 17.5
18 Tennessee over 119 Memphis 35.0 to 14.0
38 Michigan State over 101 Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
15 Georgia over 135 Mississippi 28.0 to 7.0
30 Missouri over 89 Colorado 28.0 to 10.5
160 Monmouth over 206 Stony Brook 21.0 to 7.0
192 Murray State over 228 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 14.0
4 Nebraska over 77 Kansas 42.0 to 10.5
202 Norfolk State over 236 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 17.5
19 Notre Dame over 71 Purdue 42.0 to 24.5
22 Penn State over 94 Northwestern 28.0 to 7.0
33 Richmond over 153 Northeastern 38.5 to 7.0
91 North Dakota State over 183 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 17.5
37 James Madison over 217 Virginia Military 52.5 to 10.5
17 Virginia Tech over 58 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 10.5
27 Wake Forest over 203 Liberty 24.5 to 0.0
1 Southern California over 54 Washington State 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
23 Texas Christian over 34 Brigham Young 24.5 to 17.5
174 Weber State over 190 Northern Colorado 21.0 to 14.0
46 Air Force over 83 New Mexico 31.5 to 17.5
48 Washington over 102 Arizona 17.5 to 10.5
95 Army over 148 Rice 28.0 to 14.0
216 Dayton over 237 Butler 28.0 to 14.0
66 Cincinnati over 122 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 14.0
127 Colgate over 167 Georgetown 21.0 to 10.5
35 Connecticut over 59 Navy 28.0 to 14.0
42 New Hampshire over 141 Delaware 31.5 to 17.5
130 Florida International over 165 Arkansas State 24.5 to 14.0
43 Fresno State over 80 Colorado State 28.0 to 14.0
65 Kentucky over 96 Central Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
149 Bucknell over 220 Marist 28.0 to 14.0
40 Miami - Florida over 68 Houston 28.0 to 14.0
161 Northeast Louisiana over 200 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 14.0
169 Grambling over 225 Prairie View 31.5 to 17.5
109 Pennsylvania over 137 Dartmouth 17.5 to 10.5
26 Pittsburgh over 63 Toledo 35.0 to 21.0
93 Brown over 178 Rhode Island 42.0 to 28.0
100 San Jose State over 126 San Diego State 28.0 to 21.0
113 Youngstown State over 204 Southwest Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
61 Syracuse over 97 Wyoming 24.5 to 14.0
92 Texas - El Paso over 140 New Mexico State 42.0 to 28.0
139 Georgia Southern over 201 Western Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
118 William & Mary over 172 Hofstra 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
45 Southern Mississippi over 90 Central Florida 24.5 to 21.0
14 Auburn over 55 South Carolina 17.5 to 10.5
112 Alabama - Birmingham over 111 Troy State 21.0 to 17.5
20 Oregon over 50 Arizona State 35.0 to 28.0
76 Northern Illinois over 134 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
82 Baylor over 81 Kansas State 17.5 to 10.5
57 Princeton over 125 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
152 Delaware State over 146 Hampton 21.0 to 17.5
158 Jacksonville State over 197 Eastern Kentucky 17.5 to 10.5
2 Ohio State over 16 Iowa 14.0 to 10.5
67 Akron over 108 Kent State 14.0 to 10.5
115 Lafayette over 110 Yale 14.0 to 10.5
44 Harvard over 98 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0
150 Louisiana - Lafayette over 154 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 17.5
157 South Dakota State over 185 McNeese State 21.0 to 21.0
171 Bethune - Cookman over 208 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
74 Nevada - Las Vegas over 79 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
151 Montana State over 179 Northern Arizona 17.5 to 14.0
144 North Texas over 133 Middle Tennessee State 17.5 to 14.0
104 Ohio over 121 Bowling Green 24.5 to 17.5
9 California over 25 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
86 Portland State over 85 Montana 28.0 to 24.5
195 Sacred Heart over 184 Wagner 21.0 to 17.5
211 Southeast Louisiana over 215 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 17.5
196 Southern over 213 Alabama State 31.5 to 24.5
6 Texas Tech over 28 Texas A&M 28.0 to 21.0
70 Southern Methodist over 143 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
232 Valparaiso over 234 Jacksonville 24.5 to 21.0
159 Western Kentucky over 164 Western Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
103 Furman over 145 Wofford 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
62 South Florida over 51 Rutgers 17.5 to 17.5
142 Albany over 168 Cornell 10.5 to 10.5
138 Duke over 107 Virginia 7.0 to 7.0
52 Wisconsin over 87 Indiana 17.5 to 17.5
24 Minnesota over 12 Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
205 Florida A&M over 207 Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
218 Robert Morris over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 21.0
226 Southeast Missouri State over 219 Samford 21.0 to 17.5
221 Jackson State over 233 Texas Southern 28.0 to 28.0
182 The Citadel over 177 Tennessee - Chattanooga 21.0 to 17.5
39 Utah over 32 Boise State 21.0 to 17.5
189 Utah State over 173 Idaho 10.5 to 10.5
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