ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
26 Alabama over 202 Duke 24.5 to 0.0
114 Army over 215 Virginia Military 38.5 to 10.5
17 Boise State over 157 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 3.5
25 Brigham Young over 147 San Diego State 35.0 to 3.5
88 Northern Iowa over 206 Southwest Missouri State 38.5 to 10.5
24 Notre Dame over 123 Stanford 35.0 to 7.0
1 Ohio State over 86 Bowling Green 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
129 Jacksonville State over 222 Murray State 28.0 to 3.5
6 Louisville over 109 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 7.0
13 Auburn over 37 Arkansas 24.5 to 10.5
27 California - Los Angeles over 97 Arizona 24.5 to 7.0
160 Central Connecticut over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 14.0
49 Colorado State over 115 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 7.0
125 Columbia over 228 Iona 35.0 to 7.0
65 Montana over 171 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 21.0
53 Harvard over 145 Cornell 35.0 to 17.5
60 Houston over 142 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 17.5
19 Iowa over 63 Purdue 31.5 to 14.0
73 James Madison over 153 Rhode Island 31.5 to 10.5
39 Massachusetts over 130 William & Mary 31.5 to 10.5
8 Michigan over 58 Michigan State 38.5 to 17.5
15 West Virginia over 128 Mississippi State 31.5 to 10.5
187 Morgan State over 236 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 14.0
110 San Diego over 235 Butler 45.5 to 7.0
182 Charleston Southern over 239 Savannah State 49.0 to 14.0
2 Southern California over 51 Washington 31.5 to 7.0
80 Southern Illinois over 162 Western Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
12 Texas Tech over 42 Missouri 35.0 to 17.5
75 Fresno State over 192 Utah State 31.5 to 10.5
3 Clemson over 64 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
34 Wisconsin over 99 Northwestern 21.0 to 7.0
117 Youngstown State over 218 Indiana State 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
141 Arkansas State over 165 Northeast Louisiana 21.0 to 10.5
124 California Poly over 139 California - Davis 14.0 to 7.0
70 Cincinnati over 103 Akron 28.0 to 17.5
94 Furman over 155 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
188 Davidson over 226 Jacksonville 28.0 to 14.0
225 Dayton over 232 Morehead State 28.0 to 17.5
168 Eastern Illinois over 207 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
170 Elon over 203 Western Carolina 24.5 to 14.0
90 Lehigh over 175 Georgetown 28.0 to 17.5
32 Georgia Tech over 79 Maryland 28.0 to 17.5
10 Nebraska over 54 Iowa State 38.5 to 31.5
43 Miami - Florida over 92 North Carolina 24.5 to 10.5
163 Monmouth over 190 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 17.5
161 Nicholls State over 212 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 17.5
174 Northwestern State over 200 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 21.0
227 Prairie View over 231 Alcorn State 21.0 to 10.5
83 Kent State over 191 Temple 21.0 to 7.0
95 Appalachian State over 172 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 17.5
85 Toledo over 106 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
111 Towson over 132 Maine 17.5 to 10.5
149 Wofford over 177 The Citadel 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
50 Tulsa over 40 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
93 Marshall over 102 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
23 Florida State over 66 North Carolina State 24.5 to 17.5
181 Tennessee - Martin over 223 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 17.5
193 Alabama A&M over 195 Southern 31.5 to 28.0
71 Alabama - Birmingham over 104 Memphis 21.0 to 14.0
11 California over 16 Oregon 31.5 to 24.5
55 Princeton over 116 Colgate 17.5 to 10.5
78 East Carolina over 87 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
4 Florida over 7 Louisiana State 24.5 to 17.5
14 Georgia over 18 Tennessee 17.5 to 14.0
98 North Dakota State over 143 Georgia Southern 17.5 to 17.5
36 Hawaii over 56 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 21.0
133 Hofstra over 131 Villanova 31.5 to 28.0
136 Holy Cross over 134 Brown 24.5 to 21.0
137 New Mexico State over 164 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
82 Illinois over 91 Indiana 24.5 to 17.5
67 Kansas State over 59 Oklahoma State 21.0 to 17.5
167 Grambling over 219 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 21.0
101 Portland State over 151 Montana State 21.0 to 14.0
33 New Hampshire over 52 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0
204 Northern Colorado over 211 Idaho State 35.0 to 28.0
72 Western Michigan over 121 Ohio 21.0 to 17.5
45 Oregon State over 38 Washington State 28.0 to 24.5
166 Weber State over 205 Sacramento State 21.0 to 17.5
196 South Carolina State over 194 Norfolk State 28.0 to 24.5
138 Albany over 178 Stony Brook 17.5 to 14.0
20 Pittsburgh over 61 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
186 Texas State - San Marcos over 180 Stephen F. Austin 24.5 to 21.0
119 Rice over 158 Tulane 31.5 to 28.0
198 Wagner over 210 Robert Morris 14.0 to 7.0
113 Illinois State over 156 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 35.0
76 Northern Illinois over 107 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
46 Utah over 29 Texas Christian 14.0 to 14.0
31 Navy over 57 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
169 Delaware State over 189 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 21.0
120 Pennsylvania over 152 Bucknell 21.0 to 17.5
135 Ball State over 159 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
62 Baylor over 89 Colorado 14.0 to 14.0
140 Dartmouth over 118 Yale 17.5 to 17.5
150 Duquesne over 176 Fordham 21.0 to 21.0
35 Texas A&M over 74 Kansas 28.0 to 28.0
68 Kentucky over 41 South Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
221 La Salle over 209 Marist 21.0 to 21.0
197 McNeese State over 183 Southern Utah 24.5 to 21.0
30 Minnesota over 21 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
77 Vanderbilt over 105 Mississippi 21.0 to 17.5
217 Jackson State over 224 Alabama State 24.5 to 24.5
96 New Mexico over 81 Wyoming 17.5 to 17.5
112 Delaware over 148 Northeastern 28.0 to 24.5
154 North Texas over 144 Florida International 17.5 to 17.5
5 Texas over 9 Oklahoma 28.0 to 24.5
220 Samford over 213 Eastern Kentucky 14.0 to 10.5
69 South Florida over 47 Connecticut 17.5 to 17.5
84 Southern Methodist over 108 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 35.0
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