ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
155 Albany over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 7.0
10 Auburn over 152 Tulane 45.5 to 10.5
1 Louisiana State over 82 Fresno State 45.5 to 10.5
14 Massachusetts over 146 Rhode Island 38.5 to 3.5
75 Northern Illinois over 197 Temple 38.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
29 Arizona State over 119 Stanford 35.0 to 10.5
31 Arkansas over 86 Mississippi 28.0 to 10.5
22 Brigham Young over 113 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
4 California over 60 Washington 35.0 to 10.5
150 California - Davis over 218 Southern Utah 38.5 to 14.0
9 Clemson over 43 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 21.0
185 Davidson over 226 Dayton 28.0 to 14.0
71 San Diego over 175 Drake 28.0 to 10.5
174 Eastern Illinois over 215 Murray State 31.5 to 14.0
26 Georgia over 89 Mississippi State 24.5 to 10.5
25 Boise State over 159 Idaho 38.5 to 14.0
53 James Madison over 143 William & Mary 31.5 to 10.5
30 Missouri over 78 Kansas State 24.5 to 10.5
35 Hawaii over 142 New Mexico State 42.0 to 28.0
93 Ohio over 178 Buffalo 31.5 to 10.5
3 Ohio State over 76 Indiana 35.0 to 7.0
23 Penn State over 116 Illinois 35.0 to 10.5
54 Richmond over 134 Delaware 24.5 to 7.0
97 Montana over 188 Weber State 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
74 Central Michigan over 99 Bowling Green 28.0 to 21.0
79 Akron over 110 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
168 Central Connecticut over 208 Wagner 24.5 to 10.5
91 Central Florida over 130 Rice 24.5 to 14.0
133 Columbia over 153 Dartmouth 17.5 to 10.5
28 Miami - Florida over 120 Duke 17.5 to 7.0
169 Duquesne over 205 Marist 24.5 to 14.0
127 Furman over 180 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 17.5
191 Grambling over 212 Jackson State 31.5 to 24.5
88 Houston over 108 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
122 Montana State over 195 Idaho State 28.0 to 17.5
176 Jacksonville State over 210 Tennessee State 28.0 to 14.0
106 Lehigh over 151 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
104 Maine over 136 Hofstra 17.5 to 7.0
37 Tulsa over 111 Memphis 31.5 to 21.0
5 Michigan over 24 Iowa 24.5 to 14.0
72 Nevada - Reno over 114 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
61 New Hampshire over 148 Northeastern 35.0 to 28.0
158 Northern Arizona over 199 Sacramento State 35.0 to 21.0
39 Michigan State over 123 Northwestern 24.5 to 14.0
19 Notre Dame over 32 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
12 Oklahoma over 45 Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
13 Wisconsin over 65 Purdue 28.0 to 21.0
144 Monmouth over 194 Robert Morris 17.5 to 10.5
59 Air Force over 137 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
118 Southern Illinois over 160 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
166 Stephen F. Austin over 209 McNeese State 31.5 to 17.5
173 Stony Brook over 200 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 21.0
18 Louisville over 84 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
17 Tennessee over 41 Alabama 28.0 to 17.5
187 Texas State - San Marcos over 207 Southeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
181 The Citadel over 206 Western Carolina 24.5 to 14.0
126 Villanova over 161 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
20 Virginia Tech over 50 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 10.5
68 Illinois State over 157 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
131 Louisiana - Lafayette over 170 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 21.0
44 Utah over 92 New Mexico 21.0 to 14.0
95 Virginia over 124 North Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
16 West Virginia over 56 Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
105 Alabama - Birmingham over 103 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
36 Oregon State over 81 Arizona 17.5 to 14.0
190 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 201 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 14.0
121 Arkansas State over 138 North Texas 21.0 to 14.0
33 Texas Christian over 70 Army 21.0 to 14.0
77 Baylor over 87 Kansas 35.0 to 24.5
147 California Poly over 156 South Dakota State 14.0 to 10.5
220 Charleston Southern over 223 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
90 East Carolina over 83 Southern Methodist 21.0 to 17.5
112 Toledo over 164 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
11 Boston College over 40 Florida State 24.5 to 21.0
141 Colgate over 183 Fordham 24.5 to 17.5
193 Southwest Missouri State over 216 Indiana State 24.5 to 24.5
229 Iona over 225 La Salle 17.5 to 14.0
115 Lafayette over 132 Holy Cross 24.5 to 17.5
184 Liberty over 192 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 14.0
62 Minnesota over 63 North Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0
227 Morehead State over 230 Jacksonville 28.0 to 21.0
198 Nicholls State over 196 Northwestern State 24.5 to 21.0
117 Middle Tennessee State over 162 Northeast Louisiana 17.5 to 14.0
15 Pittsburgh over 21 Rutgers 17.5 to 10.5
125 Portland State over 140 Eastern Washington 17.5 to 14.0
189 Eastern Kentucky over 222 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
224 Mississippi Valley State over 237 Texas Southern 21.0 to 17.5
27 Oregon over 55 Washington State 21.0 to 17.5
46 Wyoming over 52 Colorado State 24.5 to 17.5
85 Yale over 96 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 14.0
107 Youngstown State over 102 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
204 Southern over 214 Alcorn State 31.5 to 31.5
98 Western Michigan over 128 Ball State 24.5 to 24.5
94 Cornell over 109 Brown 28.0 to 28.0
235 Valparaiso over 238 Butler 21.0 to 17.5
149 Wofford over 171 Elon 24.5 to 24.5
101 Appalachian State over 139 Georgia Southern 17.5 to 17.5
34 Texas Tech over 66 Iowa State 28.0 to 28.0
172 Louisiana Tech over 165 Utah State 14.0 to 14.0
73 Maryland over 58 North Carolina State 24.5 to 24.5
203 Morgan State over 182 Delaware State 17.5 to 17.5
2 Texas over 8 Nebraska 24.5 to 24.5
221 Norfolk State over 213 Florida A&M 31.5 to 28.0
219 Howard over 232 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 21.0
49 Oklahoma State over 38 Texas A&M 28.0 to 28.0
67 Princeton over 48 Harvard 17.5 to 17.5
202 Samford over 186 Tennessee - Martin 17.5 to 14.0
129 Hampton over 163 South Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0
51 Vanderbilt over 42 South Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
69 Cincinnati over 47 South Florida 21.0 to 17.5
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