ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
9 Boston College over 188 Buffalo 49.0 to 3.5
4 Michigan over 127 Northwestern 38.5 to 3.5
59 San Diego over 230 Morehead State 52.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
40 Tulsa over 109 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
41 Alabama over 152 Florida International 35.0 to 7.0
131 Albany over 209 Wagner 24.5 to 3.5
182 Bethune - Cookman over 236 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 10.5
158 Duquesne over 206 Iona 24.5 to 7.0
48 Hawaii over 151 Idaho 42.0 to 21.0
18 Iowa over 90 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
211 Marist over 235 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 10.5
13 Auburn over 116 Mississippi 28.0 to 10.5
102 Montana over 186 Idaho State 42.0 to 24.5
28 Arkansas over 163 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 14.0
73 Nevada - Reno over 150 New Mexico State 35.0 to 17.5
95 Northern Iowa over 166 Western Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
1 Ohio State over 45 Minnesota 31.5 to 7.0
63 North Dakota State over 213 Southern Utah 31.5 to 7.0
172 Grambling over 231 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
47 Utah over 140 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 14.0
194 Davidson over 238 Valparaiso 38.5 to 21.0
145 Western Kentucky over 218 Indiana State 45.5 to 21.0
82 Western Michigan over 160 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 14.0
15 Wisconsin over 97 Illinois 28.0 to 7.0
126 Wofford over 205 Western Carolina 35.0 to 14.0
19 Rutgers over 54 Connecticut 24.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
10 Brigham Young over 85 Air Force 38.5 to 21.0
103 Appalachian State over 134 Furman 28.0 to 17.5
187 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 225 Jackson State 28.0 to 14.0
170 Georgetown over 219 Charleston Southern 24.5 to 14.0
49 Cincinnati over 83 Syracuse 24.5 to 14.0
155 Coastal Carolina over 195 Liberty 28.0 to 17.5
46 Princeton over 120 Cornell 21.0 to 14.0
84 Delaware over 128 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
117 Arkansas State over 167 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 10.5
193 Gardner - Webb over 226 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
75 Houston over 110 Central Florida 28.0 to 17.5
207 Howard over 222 Norfolk State 28.0 to 17.5
87 Illinois State over 122 Youngstown State 28.0 to 17.5
227 Mississippi Valley State over 229 Prairie View 17.5 to 10.5
139 Montana State over 185 Weber State 31.5 to 14.0
61 New Hampshire over 143 Hofstra 42.0 to 24.5
7 Florida over 27 Georgia 24.5 to 17.5
36 Massachusetts over 111 Northeastern 24.5 to 17.5
29 Oregon over 76 Portland State 28.0 to 14.0
6 Southern California over 43 Oregon State 28.0 to 17.5
24 Penn State over 96 Purdue 28.0 to 17.5
200 Sacred Heart over 232 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
174 Sam Houston State over 190 McNeese State 28.0 to 17.5
108 San Diego State over 149 California Poly 17.5 to 7.0
121 San Jose State over 159 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 24.5
137 Southern Illinois over 203 Southwest Missouri State 24.5 to 14.0
173 Stony Brook over 196 Robert Morris 24.5 to 14.0
105 Bowling Green over 192 Temple 28.0 to 14.0
23 Texas Christian over 37 Wyoming 21.0 to 14.0
2 Texas over 26 Texas Tech 28.0 to 21.0
132 Troy State over 161 North Texas 21.0 to 14.0
99 Yale over 156 Columbia 24.5 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
178 Jacksonville State over 220 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 17.5
8 Virginia Tech over 5 Clemson 21.0 to 17.5
30 Texas A&M over 65 Baylor 31.5 to 28.0
165 Bucknell over 180 Fordham 21.0 to 14.0
33 California - Los Angeles over 34 Washington State 21.0 to 17.5
129 Colgate over 130 Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
50 Harvard over 124 Dartmouth 24.5 to 17.5
197 Drake over 223 Dayton 17.5 to 10.5
72 Vanderbilt over 123 Duke 17.5 to 17.5
204 Florida A&M over 202 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
44 Georgia Tech over 39 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 17.5
42 Michigan State over 94 Indiana 38.5 to 31.5
57 Kansas State over 64 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
88 Kent State over 81 Ohio 17.5 to 14.0
101 Marshall over 107 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
118 Miami - Ohio over 138 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
77 Mississippi State over 86 Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
22 Missouri over 16 Oklahoma 24.5 to 24.5
162 Monmouth over 157 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
215 Murray State over 224 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
201 Alabama A&M over 216 Alabama State 24.5 to 17.5
20 Notre Dame over 51 Navy 24.5 to 17.5
56 Wake Forest over 125 North Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
169 Northwestern State over 181 Texas State - San Marcos 21.0 to 14.0
21 Nebraska over 55 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 24.5
100 Pennsylvania over 93 Brown 21.0 to 17.5
71 Richmond over 60 James Madison 17.5 to 14.0
208 Sacramento State over 221 Northern Colorado 21.0 to 14.0
177 Stephen F. Austin over 217 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0
67 Southern Mississippi over 66 East Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
176 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 179 Elon 24.5 to 17.5
184 Tennessee - Martin over 175 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
198 Tennessee State over 210 Samford 21.0 to 17.5
142 Georgia Southern over 183 The Citadel 28.0 to 21.0
80 Army over 135 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
70 Virginia over 68 North Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
25 Arizona State over 52 Washington 24.5 to 21.0
136 William & Mary over 144 Villanova 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
98 Colorado State over 74 New Mexico 21.0 to 21.0
171 Delaware State over 154 South Carolina State 17.5 to 17.5
164 Northern Arizona over 189 Eastern Washington 24.5 to 21.0
78 Lehigh over 112 Holy Cross 24.5 to 24.5
89 Kansas over 53 Colorado 21.0 to 21.0
115 Middle Tennessee State over 148 Louisiana - Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
38 Florida State over 58 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
113 Maine over 147 Rhode Island 17.5 to 17.5
17 Tennessee over 35 South Carolina 17.5 to 17.5
153 South Dakota State over 146 California - Davis 28.0 to 24.5
91 Akron over 119 Toledo 24.5 to 24.5
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