ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Boston College over 127 Duke 31.5 to 7.0
19 Penn State over 182 Temple 42.0 to 3.5
5 Virginia Tech over 148 Kent State 38.5 to 0.0
75 Appalachian State over 209 Western Carolina 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
4 Brigham Young over 65 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
170 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
14 Clemson over 70 North Carolina State 31.5 to 14.0
215 Davidson over 237 Butler 28.0 to 10.5
46 Navy over 163 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 14.0
8 Florida over 39 South Carolina 28.0 to 10.5
78 Fresno State over 158 New Mexico State 42.0 to 21.0
45 Hawaii over 165 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 21.0
109 Illinois State over 218 Indiana State 42.0 to 24.5
172 Jacksonville State over 225 Samford 24.5 to 7.0
115 Lafayette over 192 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
82 Lehigh over 184 Fordham 35.0 to 7.0
1 Louisiana State over 41 Alabama 28.0 to 10.5
29 Massachusetts over 76 Maine 17.5 to 3.5
64 Nevada - Reno over 161 Utah State 24.5 to 3.5
180 Elon over 236 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 7.0
2 Ohio State over 68 Northwestern 24.5 to 10.5
42 Oklahoma State over 103 Baylor 42.0 to 24.5
136 San Diego over 201 Dayton 38.5 to 17.5
195 Texas State - San Marcos over 232 Texas Southern 31.5 to 14.0
189 The Citadel over 227 Virginia Military 35.0 to 17.5
30 Utah over 104 Colorado State 24.5 to 7.0
119 Wofford over 186 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
73 Northern Illinois over 105 Toledo 31.5 to 24.5
96 Akron over 142 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
231 Saint Peter's over 235 La Salle 21.0 to 10.5
193 Alabama A&M over 214 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
197 Alabama State over 224 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 10.5
129 Albany over 150 Monmouth 17.5 to 7.0
12 California over 61 Arizona 24.5 to 17.5
10 Auburn over 31 Georgia 24.5 to 10.5
156 Central Connecticut over 176 Stony Brook 24.5 to 17.5
72 Colorado over 95 Iowa State 21.0 to 14.0
63 East Carolina over 86 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
181 Eastern Washington over 203 Idaho State 31.5 to 21.0
141 Hampton over 205 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
28 Florida State over 47 Wake Forest 24.5 to 14.0
137 Furman over 159 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 17.5
135 Coastal Carolina over 206 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 28.0
21 Michigan over 102 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
183 Drake over 226 Jacksonville 24.5 to 14.0
3 Texas over 52 Kansas State 28.0 to 17.5
149 Louisiana - Lafayette over 169 North Texas 28.0 to 21.0
200 Marist over 228 Iona 24.5 to 10.5
220 Morehead State over 234 Austin Peay 28.0 to 14.0
26 Texas Christian over 77 New Mexico 21.0 to 14.0
179 Delaware State over 222 Norfolk State 28.0 to 21.0
43 Georgia Tech over 106 North Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
79 North Dakota State over 124 California Poly 17.5 to 7.0
154 Northern Arizona over 175 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
128 Montana over 204 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 10.5
7 Oklahoma over 20 Texas Tech 31.5 to 21.0
89 Richmond over 130 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
144 Portland State over 199 Sacramento State 24.5 to 14.0
23 Boise State over 93 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
177 Sam Houston State over 219 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 17.5
143 South Dakota State over 212 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
44 South Florida over 81 Syracuse 24.5 to 14.0
213 Tennessee State over 223 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
66 Tulsa over 108 Rice 31.5 to 17.5
40 James Madison over 110 Villanova 31.5 to 21.0
69 Washington over 126 Stanford 24.5 to 10.5
16 West Virginia over 56 Cincinnati 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
97 Alabama - Birmingham over 118 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 21.0
92 Central Michigan over 90 Western Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
50 Arizona State over 55 Washington State 28.0 to 21.0
99 Middle Tennessee State over 155 Arkansas State 17.5 to 14.0
15 Oregon State over 38 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
140 Colgate over 132 Holy Cross 21.0 to 17.5
100 Cornell over 146 Columbia 17.5 to 14.0
98 Brown over 153 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
113 Delaware over 117 William & Mary 35.0 to 28.0
112 Troy State over 164 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 17.5
152 Florida International over 167 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
138 Hofstra over 147 Northeastern 21.0 to 14.0
22 Wisconsin over 53 Iowa 17.5 to 14.0
221 Jackson State over 230 Prairie View 24.5 to 17.5
60 Kentucky over 58 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
190 Liberty over 185 Charleston Southern 17.5 to 14.0
34 Maryland over 37 Miami - Florida 17.5 to 14.0
123 Memphis over 120 Central Florida 24.5 to 21.0
36 Minnesota over 80 Michigan State 31.5 to 28.0
160 South Carolina State over 196 Morgan State 17.5 to 10.5
54 Harvard over 94 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 21.0
59 New Hampshire over 125 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
216 Wagner over 233 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
121 San Diego State over 133 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 17.5
6 Southern California over 9 Oregon 28.0 to 21.0
166 Eastern Illinois over 211 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 17.5
67 Southern Mississippi over 131 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5
88 Youngstown State over 145 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
24 Rutgers over 11 Louisville 21.0 to 21.0
25 Notre Dame over 48 Air Force 24.5 to 24.5
27 Arkansas over 18 Tennessee 24.5 to 24.5
49 Connecticut over 33 Pittsburgh 17.5 to 17.5
51 Purdue over 85 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
187 Nicholls State over 178 Stephen F. Austin 17.5 to 17.5
191 Northwestern State over 173 McNeese State 21.0 to 21.0
210 Sacred Heart over 198 Robert Morris 17.5 to 17.5
208 Southern over 202 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 28.0
134 Southern Illinois over 116 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
57 Houston over 87 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 24.5
162 Western Illinois over 188 Southwest Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
194 Tennessee - Martin over 171 Eastern Kentucky 17.5 to 17.5
13 Nebraska over 35 Texas A&M 24.5 to 24.5
84 Yale over 71 Princeton 21.0 to 21.0
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