ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
27 Boise State over 182 Utah State 38.5 to 0.0
6 Florida over 208 Western Carolina 52.5 to 3.5
1 Louisiana State over 108 Mississippi 38.5 to 3.5
56 Navy over 187 Temple 38.5 to 7.0
150 South Carolina State over 236 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 3.5
19 Wisconsin over 166 Buffalo 42.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
184 Alabama A&M over 232 Prairie View 28.0 to 7.0
190 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 233 Texas Southern 35.0 to 14.0
10 Oklahoma over 113 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
7 Brigham Young over 78 New Mexico 38.5 to 14.0
145 California - Davis over 198 Sacramento State 28.0 to 14.0
143 California Poly over 239 Savannah State 45.5 to 3.5
141 Coastal Carolina over 202 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 21.0
82 Fresno State over 171 Idaho 38.5 to 17.5
85 Wofford over 205 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 14.0
40 Georgia Tech over 117 Duke 24.5 to 7.0
47 Nevada - Reno over 168 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 21.0
36 Massachusetts over 139 Hofstra 31.5 to 7.0
58 North Dakota State over 157 South Dakota State 35.0 to 14.0
15 Notre Dame over 105 Army 38.5 to 14.0
20 Penn State over 80 Michigan State 31.5 to 14.0
60 Princeton over 140 Dartmouth 28.0 to 10.5
87 Southern Illinois over 207 Southern Utah 38.5 to 10.5
50 Southern Mississippi over 121 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 7.0
37 Texas Christian over 115 San Diego State 24.5 to 7.0
167 Western Kentucky over 234 Austin Peay 35.0 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
90 Ohio over 114 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
18 Boston College over 45 Maryland 28.0 to 17.5
174 Eastern Kentucky over 199 Tennessee State 24.5 to 17.5
160 Elon over 179 The Citadel 24.5 to 14.0
55 Florida State over 120 Western Michigan 28.0 to 10.5
57 Harvard over 83 Yale 28.0 to 21.0
46 Hawaii over 91 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
31 Missouri over 106 Iowa State 28.0 to 21.0
142 Kent State over 153 Eastern Michigan 21.0 to 14.0
63 Kentucky over 122 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 14.0
11 Louisville over 49 South Florida 28.0 to 14.0
54 Houston over 128 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
16 Arkansas over 79 Mississippi State 24.5 to 14.0
152 Northern Arizona over 201 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
72 Northwestern over 97 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 9 Michigan 17.5 to 10.5
17 Oregon over 53 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
51 Purdue over 94 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
34 South Carolina over 96 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 10.5
2 Southern California over 26 California 28.0 to 17.5
172 Stephen F. Austin over 189 Northwestern State 21.0 to 14.0
125 Troy State over 158 Arkansas State 21.0 to 14.0
178 Liberty over 229 Virginia Military 28.0 to 17.5
70 Washington State over 109 Washington 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
92 Toledo over 107 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
126 Bowling Green over 119 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
8 West Virginia over 42 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 28.0
22 Arizona State over 30 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
111 Brown over 137 Columbia 24.5 to 17.5
28 Rutgers over 66 Cincinnati 24.5 to 21.0
74 Pennsylvania over 124 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0
186 Fordham over 203 Georgetown 21.0 to 14.0
214 Jackson State over 217 Alcorn State 31.5 to 24.5
52 New Hampshire over 88 Maine 21.0 to 17.5
98 Marshall over 84 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0
180 McNeese State over 188 Nicholls State 21.0 to 17.5
32 Minnesota over 39 Iowa 24.5 to 17.5
133 Montana over 146 Montana State 21.0 to 17.5
193 Tennessee - Martin over 224 Murray State 24.5 to 17.5
191 Bethune - Cookman over 209 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
65 North Carolina State over 131 North Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
127 Northeastern over 134 Rhode Island 24.5 to 21.0
155 North Texas over 161 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 14.0
175 Sam Houston State over 181 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 24.5
38 Connecticut over 89 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
25 Texas Tech over 24 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 31.5
62 James Madison over 102 Towson 21.0 to 21.0
112 Central Florida over 156 Tulane 24.5 to 21.0
29 Tennessee over 69 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 24.5
48 Miami - Florida over 86 Virginia 17.5 to 14.0
4 Virginia Tech over 23 Wake Forest 14.0 to 7.0
50-60% chance of victory:
67 Central Michigan over 95 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
41 Utah over 68 Air Force 21.0 to 21.0
33 Alabama over 21 Auburn 17.5 to 17.5
136 Colgate over 165 Bucknell 21.0 to 17.5
110 Delaware over 99 Villanova 28.0 to 28.0
149 Jacksonville State over 169 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
159 Louisiana - Lafayette over 185 Florida International 17.5 to 17.5
173 Delaware State over 197 Howard 14.0 to 10.5
194 Weber State over 216 Idaho State 24.5 to 21.0
61 Kansas over 44 Kansas State 24.5 to 24.5
100 Lafayette over 76 Lehigh 24.5 to 24.5
93 Wyoming over 132 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 24.5
138 Northern Iowa over 116 Illinois State 24.5 to 24.5
104 Rice over 77 East Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
219 Tennessee Tech over 226 Southeast Missouri State 17.5 to 17.5
71 Tulsa over 103 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 24.5
59 Stanford over 43 Oregon State 14.0 to 14.0
101 Richmond over 135 William & Mary 21.0 to 21.0
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