Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 6.16 12.0-2.0 5.8-8.2 IA Big_12 Missouri 2 1 6.11 12.0-2.0 5.9-8.1 IA SEC Louisiana State 3 2 5.55 11.0-2.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Southern California 4 3 5.45 11.0-2.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_East West Virginia 5 2 5.43 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Georgia 6 4 4.91 12.0-1.0 7.1-5.9 IA Big_12 Kansas 7 4 4.81 11.0-3.0 6.2-7.8 IA ACC Boston College 8 4 4.67 11.0-2.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 9 4 4.66 11.0-3.0 6.3-7.7 IA ACC Virginia Tech 10 4 4.64 11.0-3.0 6.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 11 4 4.63 11.0-2.0 6.4-6.6 IA MWC Brigham Young 12 6 4.54 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 13 5 4.30 10.0-4.0 5.7-8.3 IA SEC Tennessee 14 7 4.05 9.0-4.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Oregon 15 5 4.01 9.0-4.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 16 4 3.99 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 17 4 3.72 10.0-3.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_East Cincinnati 18 6 3.63 9.0-4.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_East South Florida 19 5 3.55 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Florida 20 7 3.42 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan 21 8 3.20 9.0-4.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Auburn 22 5 3.18 12.0-1.0 8.8-4.2 IA WAC Hawaii 23 7 3.15 9.0-4.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Illinois 24 7 3.01 9.0-4.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Wake Forest 25 5 2.98 9.0-4.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Clemson 26 8 2.77 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA ACC Virginia 27 8 2.59 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IA MWC Utah 28 8 2.58 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 29 7 2.46 9.0-4.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_East Connecticut 30 7 2.43 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Kentucky 31 9 2.41 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Penn State 32 9 2.38 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Mississippi State 33 8 2.34 9.0-4.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 34 10 2.19 9.0-4.0 6.8-6.2 IA MWC Air Force 35 11 2.09 10.0-4.0 7.9-6.1 IA CUSA Central Florida 36 15 1.85 7.0-6.0 5.1-7.9 IA PAC_10 California 37 8 1.83 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Florida State 38 10 1.72 8.0-5.0 6.3-6.7 IA SEC Arkansas 39 12 1.68 6.0-7.0 4.3-8.7 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 40 11 1.63 10.0-4.0 8.4-5.6 IA CUSA Tulsa 41 10 1.61 9.0-4.0 7.4-5.6 IA MWC New Mexico 42 8 1.41 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 43 13 1.36 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 44 10 1.35 8.0-5.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_East Rutgers 45 10 1.30 8.0-5.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Purdue 46 9 1.25 8.0-5.0 6.8-6.2 IA MWC Texas Christian 47 10 1.20 9.0-4.0 7.8-5.2 IA WAC Fresno State 48 10 1.16 6.0-6.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC South Carolina 49 11 1.15 10.0-3.0 8.9-4.1 IA WAC Boise State 50 9 1.11 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Alabama 51 11 1.09 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 52 15 0.95 8.0-5.0 7.0-6.0 IA CUSA East Carolina 53 10 0.84 6.0-7.0 5.2-7.8 IA Big_12 Colorado 54 11 0.78 7.0-6.0 6.2-6.8 IA ACC Georgia Tech 55 8 0.69 6.0-6.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_East Louisville 56 8 0.58 8.0-4.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 57 10 0.54 8.0-5.0 7.5-5.5 IA Indep Navy 58 10 0.46 6.0-7.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC Maryland 59 10 0.34 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Arizona 60 9 0.20 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Nebraska 61 11 0.19 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 Washington State 62 11 0.16 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA CUSA Houston 63 10 0.08 7.0-6.0 6.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Indiana 64 11 0.06 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 65 11 -0.20 5.0-7.0 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Vanderbilt 66 13 -0.23 8.0-6.0 8.2-5.8 IA MAC Central Michigan 67 13 -0.30 5.0-7.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC North Carolina State 68 11 -0.31 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 69 13 -0.38 8.0-5.0 8.4-4.6 IA MAC Bowling Green 70 10 -0.39 6.0-6.0 6.4-5.6 IA Big_Ten Iowa 71 10 -0.41 4.0-7.0 4.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Kansas State 72 13 -0.45 4.0-9.0 4.4-8.6 IA PAC_10 Washington 73 13 -0.53 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 74 13 -0.70 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Stanford 75 9 -0.71 5.0-7.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC Miami - Florida 76 11 -0.86 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA MAC Ball State 77 12 -0.91 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 78 10 -0.99 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IA MWC Wyoming 79 10 -1.32 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC North Carolina 80 12 -1.59 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 81 17 -1.71 3.0-9.0 4.7-7.3 IA Indep Notre Dame 82 14 -1.71 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA MWC San Diego State 83 14 -1.84 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Iowa State 84 14 -1.92 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA WAC San Jose State 85 16 -2.00 4.0-7.0 6.0-5.0 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 86 17 -2.01 5.0-5.0 7.0-3.0 IA Indep Western Kentucky 87 17 -2.08 6.0-7.0 8.1-4.9 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 88 16 -2.09 3.0-9.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Mississippi 89 16 -2.10 6.0-7.0 8.1-4.9 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 90 20 -2.19 7.0-6.0 9.2-3.8 IA CUSA Memphis 91 15 -2.25 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_12 Baylor 92 16 -2.45 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 93 16 -2.51 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Buffalo 94 14 -2.62 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Toledo 95 13 -2.66 6.0-6.0 8.7-3.3 IA MAC Ohio 96 12 -2.76 5.0-7.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 97 11 -2.88 3.0-9.0 5.9-6.1 IA MWC Colorado State 98 15 -2.89 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 99 14 -3.15 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA Big_East Syracuse 100 13 -3.17 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 101 11 -3.31 3.0-9.0 6.3-5.7 IA CUSA Marshall 102 12 -3.45 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Akron 103 13 -3.49 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 104 13 -3.55 3.0-9.0 6.6-5.4 IA Indep Army 105 12 -3.74 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Temple 106 14 -3.74 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA CUSA Tulane 107 15 -3.76 2.0-*** 5.8-6.2 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 108 10 -4.04 1.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Duke 109 12 -4.23 3.0-9.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Rice 110 12 -4.25 4.0-9.0 8.2-4.8 IA WAC New Mexico State 111 9 -4.66 2.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 112 9 -4.74 2.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Utah State 113 9 -4.90 3.0-9.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 114 9 -4.91 3.0-9.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Kent State 115 8 -5.18 1.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 116 11 -5.64 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Northern Illinois 117 12 -5.73 2.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 118 10 -5.80 1.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 119 6 -6.24 1.0-*** 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 120 7 -6.30 1.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA WAC Idaho
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 10 2.57 9.0-1.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Yale 2 10 2.28 12.0-2.0 9.7-4.3 IAA Southern Appalachian State 3 11 2.18 11.0-3.0 8.8-5.2 IAA Atl_10 Richmond 4 11 2.06 8.0-2.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Ivy Harvard 5 11 1.96 10.0-1.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Gateway Northern Iowa 6 11 1.83 10.0-3.0 8.2-4.8 IAA Atl_10 Massachusetts 7 11 1.26 10.0-1.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Great_West North Dakota State 8 13 1.23 10.0-4.0 8.8-5.2 IAA Atl_10 Delaware 9 13 0.83 10.0-2.0 9.2-2.8 IAA Gateway Southern Illinois 10 12 0.77 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Atl_10 Villanova 11 14 0.35 9.0-1.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 12 10 0.33 10.0-1.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Big_Sky Montana 13 15 0.30 7.0-4.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 14 12 0.18 8.0-4.0 7.8-4.2 IAA Atl_10 James Madison 15 14 -0.08 9.0-1.0 9.1-0.9 IAA Southland McNeese State 16 16 -0.22 9.0-2.0 9.2-1.8 IAA MEAC Delaware State 17 17 -0.32 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Patriot Colgate 18 18 -0.32 8.0-4.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Patriot Fordham 19 15 -0.35 7.0-4.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Patriot Lafayette 20 13 -0.60 8.0-4.0 8.6-3.4 IAA Southern Wofford 21 13 -0.62 7.0-5.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Atl_10 New Hampshire 22 14 -0.66 7.0-4.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Atl_10 Hofstra 23 15 -0.86 6.0-4.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Southern Elon 24 16 -0.89 9.0-3.0 9.9-2.1 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 25 16 -0.96 8.0-2.0 9.0-1.0 IAA Pioneer San Diego 26 11 -1.12 6.0-4.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 27 10 -1.22 5.0-3.0 6.2-1.8 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 28 11 -1.25 6.0-4.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southern The Citadel 29 15 -1.31 8.0-4.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 30 13 -1.35 5.0-4.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Gateway Youngstown State 31 20 -1.36 8.0-4.0 9.4-2.6 IAA NE Albany 32 16 -1.40 5.0-5.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Cornell 33 20 -1.49 6.0-3.0 7.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 34 17 -1.50 5.0-5.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ivy Brown 35 12 -1.64 5.0-3.0 6.6-1.4 IAA Big_South Liberty 36 17 -1.71 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Southern Furman 37 18 -1.73 6.0-4.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Great_West South Dakota State 38 14 -1.76 4.0-3.0 5.8-1.2 IAA MAAC Iona 39 21 -1.77 6.0-4.0 7.8-2.2 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 40 21 -1.91 5.0-6.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Patriot Lehigh 41 19 -2.08 4.0-3.0 6.1-0.9 IAA Pioneer Davidson 42 22 -2.10 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Princeton 43 22 -2.12 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 44 23 -2.15 8.0-4.0 10.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 45 20 -2.19 5.0-5.0 7.2-2.8 IAA NE Stony Brook 46 24 -2.19 8.0-3.0 10.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Jackson State 47 30 -2.22 8.0-4.0 10.2-1.8 IAA SWAC Grambling 48 24 -2.24 7.0-3.0 9.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 49 26 -2.33 7.0-3.0 9.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Prairie View 50 18 -2.36 4.0-5.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Gateway Western Illinois 51 22 -2.40 8.0-3.0 10.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Southern 52 20 -2.41 6.0-4.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Great_West California Poly 53 18 -2.50 4.0-7.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Atl_10 William & Mary 54 21 -2.65 3.0-7.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 55 25 -2.68 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA MEAC Hampton 56 23 -2.70 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 57 23 -2.71 5.0-5.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Great_West California - Davis 58 15 -2.71 4.0-4.0 6.7-1.3 IAA Southland Nicholls State 59 19 -2.81 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 60 19 -2.81 5.0-4.0 7.8-1.2 IAA MAAC Duquesne 61 16 -3.05 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Atl_10 Maine 62 15 -3.14 4.0-6.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Gateway Illinois State 63 17 -3.16 6.0-4.0 9.2-0.8 IAA NE Wagner 64 16 -3.25 5.0-6.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 65 14 -3.29 3.0-5.0 6.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 66 20 -3.36 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Drake 67 19 -3.36 6.0-4.0 9.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 68 12 -3.37 5.0-5.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 69 17 -3.37 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA NE Central Connecticut 70 14 -3.52 4.0-5.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 71 15 -3.59 3.0-8.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Atl_10 Rhode Island 72 15 -3.86 4.0-6.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 73 13 -3.88 3.0-8.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Atl_10 Northeastern 74 14 -3.92 2.0-6.0 5.9-2.1 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 75 17 -3.94 5.0-5.0 8.9-1.1 IAA MEAC Morgan State 76 16 -3.94 3.0-8.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Atl_10 Towson 77 15 -4.02 4.0-5.0 8.0-1.0 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 78 15 -4.09 6.0-5.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 79 14 -4.10 2.0-5.0 6.1-0.9 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 80 16 -4.20 4.0-6.0 8.2-1.8 IAA NE Monmouth 81 16 -4.27 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Alabama State 82 16 -4.27 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 83 12 -4.45 0.0-5.0 4.4-0.6 IAA Indep Savannah State 84 11 -4.62 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Patriot Bucknell 85 14 -4.62 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA NE Robert Morris 86 9 -4.72 2.0-7.0 6.7-2.3 IAA Southland Northwestern State 87 9 -4.87 2.0-8.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 88 9 -4.96 2.0-7.0 7.0-2.0 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 89 17 -5.12 5.0-6.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 90 12 -5.18 1.0-9.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Ivy Columbia 91 13 -5.42 0.0-6.0 5.4-0.6 IAA MAAC La Salle 92 14 -5.52 2.0-7.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 93 14 -5.62 2.0-7.0 7.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 94 13 -5.65 2.0-7.0 7.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Samford 95 14 -5.68 4.0-7.0 9.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 96 12 -5.71 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 97 12 -5.72 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA MAAC Marist 98 12 -5.73 3.0-7.0 8.7-1.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 99 12 -5.87 1.0-8.0 6.9-2.1 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 100 12 -5.95 0.0-7.0 5.9-1.1 IAA Pioneer Butler 101 11 -5.96 2.0-7.0 8.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Howard 102 11 -5.97 2.0-8.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 103 14 -5.99 3.0-7.0 9.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 104 12 -6.10 1.0-*** 7.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Georgetown 105 11 -6.11 0.0-*** 6.1-3.9 IAA Southern Western Carolina 106 11 -6.25 3.0-8.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 107 10 -6.58 2.0-8.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 108 7 -6.80 2.0-8.0 8.8-1.2 IAA NE Sacred Heart 109 9 -6.82 3.0-8.0 9.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 110 5 -6.93 0.0-*** 6.9-3.1 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 111 6 -7.01 2.0-8.0 9.0-1.0 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 112 5 -7.28 1.0-9.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 113 4 -7.35 1.0-*** 8.3-2.7 IAA Great_West Northern Colorado 114 4 -7.39 0.0-9.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 115 4 -7.60 0.0-*** 7.6-2.4 IAA Gateway Indiana State 116 3 -8.17 0.0-9.0 8.2-0.8 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 117 3 -9.35 0.0-*** 9.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Texas Southern
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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