ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
10 Arizona State over 171 San Diego State 45.5 to 7.0
13 Connecticut over 191 Temple 42.0 to 3.5
15 Georgia over 220 Western Carolina 56.0 to 3.5
4 Kansas over 139 Toledo 49.0 to 10.5
2 Louisiana State over 119 Middle Tennessee State 52.5 to 7.0
39 Miami - Florida over 192 Florida International 35.0 to 3.5
1 Oklahoma over 156 Utah State 66.5 to 3.5
57 Oregon State over 211 Idaho State 45.5 to 7.0
3 Penn State over 147 Buffalo 42.0 to 3.5
26 Rutgers over 215 Norfolk State 56.0 to 7.0
111 San Diego over 228 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 7.0
193 Bethune - Cookman over 237 Savannah State 42.0 to 10.5
28 South Carolina over 173 South Carolina State 31.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
143 Alabama - Birmingham over 225 Alcorn State 35.0 to 7.0
25 Appalachian State over 154 Northern Arizona 59.5 to 31.5
24 Auburn over 66 Mississippi State 21.0 to 7.0
101 Brown over 185 Duquesne 35.0 to 17.5
14 California over 142 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 24.5
27 Clemson over 151 Furman 45.5 to 17.5
7 Iowa over 138 Iowa State 31.5 to 7.0
81 James Madison over 213 Virginia Military 38.5 to 7.0
51 Massachusetts over 120 Towson 31.5 to 14.0
12 Cincinnati over 98 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 14.0
42 Missouri over 128 Western Michigan 49.0 to 28.0
133 Hampton over 235 North Carolina A&T 45.5 to 10.5
17 Oregon over 84 Fresno State 38.5 to 17.5
38 Purdue over 100 Central Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
43 Texas Tech over 195 Rice 42.0 to 17.5
181 Robert Morris over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 7.0
85 Southern Illinois over 209 Southern Utah 42.0 to 24.5
44 Texas A&M over 127 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 21.0
34 Vanderbilt over 82 Mississippi 31.5 to 17.5
45 Wake Forest over 124 Army 24.5 to 7.0
60 Washington State over 145 Idaho 38.5 to 17.5
22 Wisconsin over 157 The Citadel 38.5 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
18 West Virginia over 64 Maryland 31.5 to 24.5
36 Oklahoma State over 97 Troy State 42.0 to 31.5
169 Alabama A&M over 208 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 14.0
58 Arizona over 104 New Mexico 24.5 to 14.0
68 Arkansas State over 131 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 10.5
110 Baylor over 168 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 24.5
35 Boise State over 73 Wyoming 31.5 to 17.5
180 California Poly over 214 Weber State 31.5 to 17.5
8 Texas over 78 Central Florida 35.0 to 17.5
103 Cornell over 164 Bucknell 28.0 to 14.0
91 Delaware over 161 Rhode Island 35.0 to 21.0
5 Florida over 32 Tennessee 38.5 to 24.5
62 Yale over 174 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
121 Memphis over 179 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 17.5
30 Michigan State over 49 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0
6 Nebraska over 16 Southern California 28.0 to 17.5
40 Hawaii over 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 28.0
116 Nevada - Reno over 163 Nicholls State 28.0 to 17.5
79 Minnesota over 152 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 21.0
48 North Carolina over 108 Virginia 28.0 to 14.0
86 North Dakota State over 201 Sam Houston State 38.5 to 14.0
170 Northeastern over 199 Northwestern State 21.0 to 10.5
113 Northern Illinois over 177 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 10.5
59 Northwestern over 109 Duke 28.0 to 14.0
189 Southern over 219 Prairie View 24.5 to 10.5
87 Stanford over 140 San Jose State 24.5 to 14.0
29 California - Los Angeles over 75 Utah 21.0 to 14.0
105 Villanova over 172 Maine 24.5 to 7.0
55 Virginia Tech over 96 Ohio 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
218 Jackson State over 229 Texas Southern 21.0 to 14.0
194 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 198 Alabama State 14.0 to 10.5
65 Colorado over 63 Florida State 24.5 to 21.0
69 East Carolina over 76 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
146 Illinois State over 202 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
50 Harvard over 102 Holy Cross 35.0 to 28.0
71 Indiana over 90 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
148 Sacred Heart over 203 Iona 28.0 to 21.0
144 Kent State over 165 Delaware State 17.5 to 10.5
129 Louisiana - Lafayette over 132 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
47 Michigan over 53 Notre Dame 17.5 to 14.0
83 Navy over 118 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
93 Texas - El Paso over 160 New Mexico State 38.5 to 31.5
94 North Carolina State over 99 Wofford 31.5 to 28.0
70 Pennsylvania over 74 Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
188 Portland State over 196 Sacramento State 14.0 to 10.5
56 Princeton over 89 Lehigh 28.0 to 17.5
92 Northern Iowa over 150 South Dakota State 24.5 to 17.5
226 Southeast Missouri State over 231 Indiana State 28.0 to 21.0
67 Illinois over 125 Syracuse 17.5 to 10.5
77 Houston over 141 Tulane 38.5 to 35.0
33 Brigham Young over 61 Tulsa 21.0 to 17.5
9 Ohio State over 37 Washington 17.5 to 10.5
167 Western Kentucky over 182 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
158 William & Mary over 187 Liberty 24.5 to 17.5
123 Youngstown State over 130 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
46 Air Force over 41 Texas Christian 17.5 to 14.0
31 Alabama over 21 Arkansas 21.0 to 21.0
117 Albany over 95 Hofstra 17.5 to 17.5
206 Tennessee State over 221 Austin Peay 14.0 to 14.0
136 Georgia Southern over 166 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
126 Dartmouth over 122 Colgate 17.5 to 14.0
137 California - Davis over 175 Eastern Washington 24.5 to 21.0
197 Howard over 210 Florida A&M 21.0 to 21.0
115 Columbia over 149 Fordham 21.0 to 17.5
23 Georgia Tech over 19 Boston College 28.0 to 28.0
20 Kentucky over 11 Louisville 45.5 to 42.0
107 Marshall over 88 New Hampshire 28.0 to 28.0
216 Wagner over 205 Marist 21.0 to 21.0
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