ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
6 Kansas over 114 Baylor 42.0 to 14.0
90 North Dakota State over 231 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 7.0
4 Ohio State over 113 Kent State 35.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
145 Albany over 203 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 10.5
150 Dayton over 225 Davidson 38.5 to 17.5
62 Delaware over 185 Northeastern 31.5 to 3.5
180 Eastern Kentucky over 227 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 10.5
56 Holy Cross over 154 Dartmouth 42.0 to 21.0
70 Houston over 157 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
127 Illinois State over 219 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
17 Texas over 120 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
222 Marist over 235 La Salle 28.0 to 10.5
196 Eastern Illinois over 234 Murray State 35.0 to 21.0
143 Grambling over 220 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 7.0
65 New Hampshire over 172 Iona 38.5 to 14.0
116 Northeast Louisiana over 216 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
210 Southeast Louisiana over 236 Northwestern State 35.0 to 21.0
12 Oregon over 92 Washington State 42.0 to 21.0
110 Montana over 217 Sacramento State 35.0 to 10.5
162 Duquesne over 232 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 10.5
14 Southern California over 69 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
23 South Florida over 89 Central Florida 38.5 to 21.0
206 Tennessee - Martin over 229 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
55 Tulsa over 119 Marshall 38.5 to 24.5
106 Wofford over 193 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 14.0
19 Yale over 85 Lehigh 28.0 to 10.5
84 Youngstown State over 191 Southern Utah 31.5 to 7.0
7 Boise State over 98 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
36 Hawaii over 117 San Jose State 38.5 to 28.0
103 Akron over 156 Temple 31.5 to 17.5
9 Arizona State over 32 Washington 28.0 to 17.5
100 Ball State over 142 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
13 California over 46 Oregon State 35.0 to 24.5
187 Central Connecticut over 199 Robert Morris 17.5 to 10.5
15 Cincinnati over 41 Louisville 38.5 to 28.0
101 Pennsylvania over 178 Columbia 24.5 to 14.0
107 Cornell over 136 Colgate 28.0 to 17.5
18 Virginia Tech over 96 Duke 28.0 to 14.0
124 Fordham over 183 Georgetown 28.0 to 17.5
195 Morehead State over 233 Jacksonville 28.0 to 14.0
20 Kansas State over 31 Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
48 Massachusetts over 77 Villanova 28.0 to 17.5
128 McNeese State over 184 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 14.0
28 Tennessee over 95 Mississippi State 28.0 to 21.0
175 Morgan State over 211 Howard 28.0 to 17.5
34 Brigham Young over 109 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 17.5
131 Hampton over 207 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
16 South Carolina over 73 North Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
179 Delaware State over 223 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 10.5
188 Northern Arizona over 221 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
189 Weber State over 230 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
11 Boston College over 81 Notre Dame 24.5 to 14.0
3 Oklahoma over 10 Missouri 35.0 to 24.5
21 Penn State over 57 Wisconsin 35.0 to 21.0
71 James Madison over 140 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
105 Richmond over 159 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
177 Nicholls State over 226 Stephen F. Austin 21.0 to 10.5
26 Rutgers over 91 Syracuse 24.5 to 17.5
165 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 205 Western Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
40 Utah over 82 San Diego State 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
64 Pittsburgh over 80 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
22 Florida State over 67 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
5 Auburn over 29 Arkansas 24.5 to 21.0
133 Arkansas State over 152 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
138 Buffalo over 144 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
141 California Poly over 173 California - Davis 28.0 to 28.0
104 Central Michigan over 125 Army 24.5 to 17.5
163 Eastern Washington over 166 Montana State 17.5 to 14.0
112 Elon over 129 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 35.0
60 Harvard over 66 Lafayette 17.5 to 10.5
108 Fresno State over 167 Idaho 28.0 to 21.0
2 Louisiana State over 25 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
169 Louisiana Tech over 164 New Mexico State 24.5 to 21.0
153 Maine over 168 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
59 Miami - Florida over 54 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 21.0
97 Miami - Ohio over 111 Bowling Green 28.0 to 21.0
27 Michigan over 45 Purdue 28.0 to 17.5
30 Alabama over 78 Mississippi 24.5 to 17.5
171 Monmouth over 176 Wagner 17.5 to 10.5
50 Nebraska over 47 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 24.5
87 Western Michigan over 155 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
86 Northern Iowa over 102 Southern Illinois 21.0 to 14.0
79 Northwestern over 94 Minnesota 35.0 to 28.0
139 Ohio over 149 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 17.5
190 Southern over 198 Jackson State 24.5 to 21.0
122 Southern Mississippi over 134 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5
35 Stanford over 51 Texas Christian 17.5 to 14.0
218 Alcorn State over 228 Texas Southern 17.5 to 14.0
33 Texas Tech over 42 Texas A&M 35.0 to 28.0
158 The Citadel over 160 Furman 21.0 to 17.5
93 Hofstra over 132 Towson 28.0 to 21.0
24 Connecticut over 53 Virginia 17.5 to 17.5
38 Wyoming over 44 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
213 Tennessee Tech over 202 Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
147 Alabama - Birmingham over 135 Tulane 28.0 to 28.0
212 Alabama State over 204 Prairie View 14.0 to 14.0
197 Jacksonville State over 209 Austin Peay 24.5 to 24.5
121 Brown over 115 Princeton 38.5 to 35.0
75 Air Force over 99 Colorado State 24.5 to 21.0
63 Iowa over 49 Illinois 17.5 to 17.5
137 Memphis over 123 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
52 Indiana over 74 Michigan State 31.5 to 31.5
148 San Diego over 130 Drake 28.0 to 24.5
200 South Carolina State over 194 Florida A&M 17.5 to 14.0
88 Texas - El Paso over 76 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
214 Butler over 224 Valparaiso 24.5 to 21.0
61 Vanderbilt over 43 Georgia 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net