2007 Week 11 (6-10 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 162 Duquesne                  over  236 La Salle                   35.0 to  3.5
   3 Louisiana State           over  141 Louisiana Tech             49.0 to  7.0
  85 Northern Iowa             over  229 Indiana State              38.5 to  3.5
   5 Oklahoma                  over  121 Baylor                     42.0 to  7.0
  13 Penn State                over  163 Temple                     38.5 to  7.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  60 Central Florida           over  167 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to 17.5
  68 Appalachian State         over  198 Western Carolina           45.5 to 17.5
  97 Colgate                   over  205 Georgetown                 35.0 to 17.5
 140 Liberty                   over  225 Virginia Military          42.0 to 17.5
 149 McNeese State             over  219 Northwestern State         38.5 to 21.0
 127 Middle Tennessee State    over  190 Louisiana - Lafayette      35.0 to 17.5
  81 Navy                      over  207 North Texas                52.5 to 31.5
   6 Ohio State                over   48 Illinois                   24.5 to  7.0
 120 South Dakota State        over  200 Southern Utah              35.0 to 17.5
  76 Southern Mississippi      over  145 Memphis                    31.5 to 14.0
 194 Tennessee - Martin        over  231 Murray State               38.5 to 21.0
  19 Boise State               over  161 Utah State                 42.0 to 17.5
 174 Wagner                    over  226 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   28.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   7 West Virginia             over   27 Louisville                 35.0 to 24.5
  36 Rutgers                   over  137 Army                       31.5 to 14.0
 166 Eastern Kentucky          over  217 Austin Peay                31.5 to 21.0
  94 Lehigh                    over  160 Bucknell                   24.5 to 14.0
   9 Arizona State             over   79 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 17.5
  74 North Dakota State        over  142 California Poly            31.5 to 24.5
  16 Clemson                   over   43 Wake Forest                28.0 to 17.5
 186 Davidson                  over  223 Valparaiso                 38.5 to 28.0
 187 Delaware State            over  201 Norfolk State              21.0 to 14.0
 119 Dayton                    over  210 Drake                      31.5 to 14.0
 169 Hampton                   over  214 Florida A&M                35.0 to 17.5
  62 Harvard                   over  104 Pennsylvania               21.0 to  7.0
  32 Hawaii                    over   88 Fresno State               45.5 to 31.5
  55 Holy Cross                over   83 Lafayette                  24.5 to 17.5
 113 Montana                   over  218 Idaho State                42.0 to 21.0
  49 Iowa                      over  100 Minnesota                  28.0 to 17.5
 179 Jacksonville State        over  195 Eastern Illinois           24.5 to 17.5
  75 East Carolina             over  148 Marshall                   35.0 to 28.0
  10 Missouri                  over   57 Texas A&M                  35.0 to 17.5
  51 North Carolina State      over   78 North Carolina             21.0 to 14.0
   1 Kansas                    over   40 Oklahoma State             38.5 to 28.0
  33 Purdue                    over   53 Michigan State             35.0 to 28.0
 196 Robert Morris             over  220 Sacred Heart               28.0 to 21.0
 134 San Jose State            over  158 New Mexico State           28.0 to 17.5
   2 Florida                   over   42 South Carolina             35.0 to 24.5
 168 South Carolina State      over  204 Morgan State               24.5 to 14.0
 177 Sam Houston State         over  221 Southeast Louisiana        28.0 to 21.0
 114 Southern Illinois         over  153 Illinois State             35.0 to 24.5
  22 South Florida             over   98 Syracuse                   28.0 to 14.0
  90 Villanova                 over  156 Towson                     28.0 to 21.0
  41 Utah                      over   77 Wyoming                    24.5 to 14.0
   8 Virginia Tech             over   28 Florida State              17.5 to  7.0
  73 James Madison             over  157 William & Mary             38.5 to 28.0
 132 Youngstown State          over  152 Western Illinois           17.5 to 10.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 102 Western Michigan          over  112 Central Michigan           35.0 to 28.0
 124 Ohio                      over  159 Akron                      24.5 to 24.5
 188 Alabama A&M               over  222 Alcorn State               24.5 to 17.5
  91 Brown                     over  107 Dartmouth                  38.5 to 31.5
  11 Southern California       over   37 California                 21.0 to 21.0
  23 Cincinnati                over   21 Connecticut                24.5 to 21.0
 143 Cornell                   over  138 Columbia                   24.5 to 21.0
  47 Delaware                  over   54 Richmond                   31.5 to 28.0
 105 Georgia Southern          over  125 Furman                     38.5 to 31.5
 208 Howard                    over  212 Bethune - Cookman          28.0 to 21.0
 183 Iona                      over  197 Marist                     24.5 to 17.5
 232 Jacksonville              over  235 Butler                     24.5 to 17.5
 131 Maine                     over  126 Rhode Island               21.0 to 17.5
  64 Massachusetts             over   80 New Hampshire              31.5 to 24.5
  24 Alabama                   over   66 Mississippi State          24.5 to 17.5
 118 Albany                    over  180 Monmouth                   24.5 to 17.5
 130 San Diego                 over  171 Morehead State             31.5 to 24.5
  35 Kansas State              over   67 Nebraska                   38.5 to 35.0
  95 New Mexico                over  101 Colorado State             21.0 to 17.5
 173 Nicholls State            over  184 Texas State - San Marcos   24.5 to 21.0
 147 Northeast Louisiana       over  146 Grambling                  28.0 to 24.5
 155 Northern Arizona          over  178 Eastern Washington         28.0 to 21.0
 129 Kent State                over  181 Northern Illinois          24.5 to 21.0
  34 Oregon State              over   38 Washington                 24.5 to 21.0
 189 Portland State            over  191 Montana State              28.0 to 24.5
 185 Jackson State             over  213 Prairie View               21.0 to 17.5
  50 Yale                      over  109 Princeton                  17.5 to 10.5
 128 Southern Methodist        over  135 Rice                       38.5 to 35.0
 176 Stony Brook               over  170 Central Connecticut        31.5 to 28.0
 115 Wofford                   over  172 Tennessee - Chattanooga    31.5 to 24.5
  18 Texas                     over   26 Texas Tech                 28.0 to 21.0
 123 Elon                      over  154 The Citadel                31.5 to 28.0
  71 Tulsa                     over   65 Houston                    35.0 to 31.5
  63 Washington State          over   69 Stanford                   21.0 to 17.5
  89 Troy State                over  144 Western Kentucky           24.5 to 21.0
  14 Michigan                  over   39 Wisconsin                  24.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  30 Brigham Young             over   17 Texas Christian            21.0 to 21.0
 216 Tennessee State           over  228 Samford                    31.5 to 28.0
 117 Bowling Green             over  150 Eastern Michigan           31.5 to 28.0
 209 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  199 Southern                   17.5 to 17.5
 175 Coastal Carolina          over  164 Gardner - Webb             28.0 to 28.0
  61 Georgia Tech              over  103 Duke                       17.5 to 17.5
 139 Florida Atlantic          over  133 Arkansas State             28.0 to 24.5
  20 Georgia                   over   12 Auburn                     17.5 to 17.5
  46 Colorado                  over   82 Iowa State                 21.0 to 17.5
  31 Boston College            over   52 Maryland                   21.0 to 21.0
  70 Miami - Florida           over   59 Virginia                   21.0 to 17.5
 224 Mississippi Valley State  over  215 Alabama State              17.5 to 14.0
 108 Nevada - Las Vegas        over   96 San Diego State            21.0 to 21.0
 111 Northeastern              over   92 Hofstra                    17.5 to 17.5
 206 Sacramento State          over  227 Northern Colorado          17.5 to 14.0
  72 Indiana                   over   99 Northwestern               28.0 to 28.0
  58 Air Force                 over   84 Notre Dame                 17.5 to 17.5
  25 Tennessee                 over   15 Arkansas                   35.0 to 35.0
 122 Texas - El Paso           over  151 Tulane                     31.5 to 31.5
  29 Kentucky                  over   45 Vanderbilt                 28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net